Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-09-24 20:33:56

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
79.9 overbought
20d Trend
+11.9%
5d Trend
+9.6%
EMA20 Dist
+7.7%
ATR%
2.4%
Range Pos
96%
Bounce Ratio
5.6×
Green/Red 10d
7/3

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

15
Lifetime
Confidence: 91%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.5/35
Total Return
7.3/25
Win Rate
2.9/15
Profit Factor
0.4/15
Consistency
5.5/10
Raw Quality 16.5/100
× Confidence 0.91 = 14.9

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (91%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Year)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
22,792
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-09-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
264 days
Data Gaps
None (10 market holidays)

Market Closed (10 days)

2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Year)

Period Start Capital
$6,737.38
Current Value
$10,647.22
Period P&L
$3,909.82
Max Drawdown
-45.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.38

Trade Statistics (Last Year)

Trades in Period
22
Winners / Losers
13 / 9
Best Trade
+14.40%
Worst Trade
-4.42%
Avg Trade Return
+2.19%
Avg Hold Time
13.9d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$372,762.21
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$3,909.82
Net P&L (after fees)
$3,909.82
Gross Return
+58.03%
Net Return (after fees)
+58.03%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 MRK Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 264 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Year - 22 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Victor Volume had $6,737.38 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Sep 17, 2025 2:00pm ET $81.86 84 $6,876.24 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 25, 2025 10:25am ET $78.54 84 $6,597.44 $6,611.48 $-278.80
(-4.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
7.9d held
2 🟢 BUY Sep 26, 2025 12:30pm ET $78.47 84 $6,591.06 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 1, 2025 9:30am ET $85.90 84 $7,215.60 $7,236.02 +$624.54
(+9.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
4.9d held
3 🟢 BUY Oct 2, 2025 3:20pm ET $89.27 81 $7,230.87 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 13, 2025 9:45am ET $85.55 81 $6,929.55 $6,934.70 $-301.32
(-4.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
10.8d held
4 🟢 BUY Oct 14, 2025 3:50pm ET $85.01 81 $6,885.81 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 4, 2025 2:50pm ET $83.67 81 $6,777.59 $6,826.48 $-108.22
(-1.6%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
5 🟢 BUY Nov 5, 2025 3:15pm ET $84.55 80 $6,763.92 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 12, 2025 9:30am ET $92.15 80 $7,372.00 $7,434.56 +$608.08
(+9.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
6.8d held
6 🟢 BUY Nov 13, 2025 9:30am ET $91.84 80 $7,347.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 21, 2025 12:15pm ET $99.23 80 $7,938.00 $8,025.36 +$590.80
(+8.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
8.1d held
7 🟢 BUY Nov 24, 2025 3:50pm ET $100.84 79 $7,966.36 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 9, 2025 11:25am ET $96.71 79 $7,640.09 $7,699.09 $-326.27
(-4.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
14.8d held
8 🟢 BUY Dec 10, 2025 2:55pm ET $97.49 78 $7,604.22 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 24, 2025 9:30am ET $105.96 78 $8,264.49 $8,359.36 +$660.27
(+8.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
13.8d held
9 🟢 BUY Dec 26, 2025 3:20pm ET $106.45 78 $8,303.10 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 16, 2026 3:20pm ET $109.25 78 $8,521.11 $8,577.37 +$218.01
(+2.6%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
10 🟢 BUY Jan 20, 2026 3:55pm ET $109.53 78 $8,543.34 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 4, 2026 9:30am ET $118.82 78 $9,268.35 $9,302.38 +$725.01
(+8.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
14.7d held
11 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 9:30am ET $120.77 77 $9,299.29 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 12:30pm ET $117.09 77 $9,015.93 $9,019.02 $-283.36
(-3.0%)
📅 Sim Ended
5.1d held
12 🟢 BUY Feb 19, 2026 9:30am ET $121.30 74 $8,976.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 5, 2026 10:25am ET $116.34 74 $8,609.20 $8,652.02 $-367.00
(-4.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
14d held
13 🟢 BUY Mar 10, 2026 9:30am ET $117.18 73 $8,554.14 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 31, 2026 9:30am ET $119.06 73 $8,691.02 $8,788.90 +$136.88
(+1.6%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
14 🟢 BUY Apr 16, 2026 9:30am ET $117.21 74 $8,673.54 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 21, 2026 10:50am ET $112.33 74 $8,312.42 $8,427.78 $-361.12
(-4.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5.1d held
15 🟢 BUY May 1, 2026 9:30am ET $112.56 74 $8,329.07 — — —
🔴 SELL May 22, 2026 9:30am ET $120.86 74 $8,943.64 $9,042.35 +$614.57
(+7.4%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
16 🟢 BUY May 29, 2026 9:30am ET $120.23 75 $9,017.25 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 1, 2026 10:20am ET $115.27 75 $8,645.25 $8,670.35 $-372.00
(-4.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held
17 🟢 BUY Jun 3, 2026 11:40am ET $115.93 74 $8,579.19 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 24, 2026 11:40am ET $120.21 74 $8,895.54 $8,986.70 +$316.35
(+3.7%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
18 🟢 BUY Jun 25, 2026 2:00pm ET $123.87 72 $8,918.64 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 16, 2026 2:00pm ET $128.48 72 $9,250.56 $9,318.62 +$331.92
(+3.7%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
19 🟢 BUY Jun 25, 2026 2:00pm ET $123.87 72 $8,918.64 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 30, 2026 9:35am ET $128.76 72 $9,270.72 $9,670.70 +$352.08
(+3.9%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
34.8d held
20 🟢 BUY Aug 10, 2026 9:30am ET $129.66 74 $9,594.84 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 19, 2026 9:30am ET $148.34 74 $10,976.79 $11,052.65 +$1,381.95
(+14.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
9d held
21 🟢 BUY Aug 21, 2026 3:15pm ET $153.04 72 $11,018.88 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 28, 2026 9:30am ET $146.27 72 $10,531.44 $10,565.21 $-487.44
(-4.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6.8d held
22 🟢 BUY Aug 31, 2026 1:25pm ET $148.04 71 $10,510.84 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 21, 2026 1:25pm ET $149.20 71 $10,592.85 $10,647.22 +$82.01
(+0.8%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $10,647.22
Net Profit/Loss: +$647.22
Total Return: +6.47%
Back to Victor Volume