Compendium › Victor Volume › MS
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
MS
Alpaca Tradeable

Victor Volume's Analysis

Last Year: 2025-09-24 to present • 22 trades in period

+8.28%
Last Year Return
$21,756.19
Current Value
45%
Win Rate
$20,092.12
Period Start
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PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-24 23:53:34

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
39 neutral
20d Trend
-6.5%
5d Trend
-4.3%
EMA20 Dist
-3.4%
ATR%
2.4%
Range Pos
56%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
5/5

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

53
Lifetime
Confidence: 88%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
24.2/35
Total Return
17.5/25
Win Rate
6.2/15
Profit Factor
4.6/15
Consistency
7.2/10
Raw Quality 59.6/100
× Confidence 0.88 = 52.6

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (88%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Year)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
21,217
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-09-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
261 days
Data Gaps
None (10 market holidays)

Market Closed (10 days)

2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Year)

Period Start Capital
$20,092.12
Current Value
$21,756.19
Period P&L
$1,664.06
Max Drawdown
-18.3%
Sharpe Ratio
0.10

Trade Statistics (Last Year)

Trades in Period
22
Winners / Losers
10 / 12
Best Trade
+8.30%
Worst Trade
-4.68%
Avg Trade Return
+0.51%
Avg Hold Time
12.7d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$959,861.59
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,664.06
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,664.06
Gross Return
+8.28%
Net Return (after fees)
+8.28%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 MS Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 261 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Year - 22 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Victor Volume had $20,092.12 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Sep 22, 2025 1:35pm ET $160.64 124 $19,919.36 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 2, 2025 10:15am ET $154.13 124 $19,112.12 $19,230.33 $-807.24
(-4.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
9.9d held
2 🟢 BUY Oct 3, 2025 12:10pm ET $157.38 122 $19,200.36 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 24, 2025 12:10pm ET $164.38 122 $20,053.75 $20,083.72 +$853.39
(+4.4%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
3 🟢 BUY Oct 27, 2025 12:15pm ET $165.98 121 $20,083.58 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 7, 2025 11:15am ET $159.27 121 $19,271.67 $19,271.81 $-811.91
(-4.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
11d held
4 🟢 BUY Nov 10, 2025 3:45pm ET $165.27 116 $19,170.74 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 18, 2025 9:30am ET $158.47 116 $18,381.94 $18,483.01 $-788.80
(-4.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
7.7d held
5 🟢 BUY Nov 19, 2025 9:30am ET $160.89 114 $18,340.89 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 3, 2025 3:35pm ET $173.77 114 $19,809.78 $19,951.90 +$1,468.89
(+8.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
14.3d held
6 🟢 BUY Dec 4, 2025 3:55pm ET $174.91 114 $19,939.74 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 26, 2025 9:30am ET $181.76 114 $20,720.64 $20,732.80 +$780.90
(+3.9%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
21.7d held
7 🟢 BUY Dec 29, 2025 1:10pm ET $180.20 115 $20,723.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 20, 2026 9:30am ET $184.51 115 $21,218.66 $21,228.46 +$495.66
(+2.4%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
21.8d held
8 🟢 BUY Jan 21, 2026 9:30am ET $183.27 115 $21,076.05 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 5, 2026 10:10am ET $174.99 115 $20,123.85 $20,276.26 $-952.20
(-4.5%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
15d held
9 🟢 BUY Feb 9, 2026 2:05pm ET $183.49 110 $20,183.35 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 11:15am ET $175.25 110 $19,277.50 $19,370.41 $-905.85
(-4.5%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
21.2h held
10 🟢 BUY Mar 11, 2026 11:50am ET $158.26 122 $19,307.72 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 1, 2026 11:50am ET $167.34 122 $20,414.87 $20,477.56 +$1,107.15
(+5.7%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
11 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2026 3:00pm ET $178.53 114 $20,352.42 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 15, 2026 10:25am ET $193.35 114 $22,041.90 $22,167.04 +$1,689.48
(+8.3%) 		🎯 +5% Target
5.8d held
12 🟢 BUY Apr 17, 2026 9:30am ET $190.17 116 $22,059.72 — — —
🔴 SELL May 8, 2026 9:30am ET $191.94 116 $22,265.04 $22,372.36 +$205.32
(+0.9%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
13 🟢 BUY May 15, 2026 3:05pm ET $193.05 115 $22,200.75 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 1, 2026 10:05am ET $208.85 115 $24,017.75 $24,189.36 +$1,817.00
(+8.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
16.8d held
14 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 12:35pm ET $215.94 112 $24,185.28 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 9, 2026 12:15pm ET $207.04 112 $23,188.48 $23,192.56 $-996.80
(-4.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
7d held
15 🟢 BUY Jun 11, 2026 1:25pm ET $209.69 110 $23,065.90 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 17, 2026 10:10am ET $226.66 110 $24,932.60 $25,059.26 +$1,866.70
(+8.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
5.9d held
16 🟢 BUY Jun 25, 2026 3:55pm ET $221.17 113 $24,992.21 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 26, 2026 2:30pm ET $212.28 113 $23,987.64 $24,054.69 $-1,004.57
(-4.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
22.6h held
17 🟢 BUY Jun 30, 2026 12:10pm ET $209.68 114 $23,904.09 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 14, 2026 9:35am ET $226.94 114 $25,871.16 $26,021.76 +$1,967.07
(+8.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
13.9d held
18 🟢 BUY Jul 15, 2026 3:45pm ET $229.14 113 $25,892.82 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 16, 2026 9:50am ET $218.41 113 $24,679.89 $24,808.83 $-1,212.93
(-4.7%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
18.1h held
19 🟢 BUY Jul 17, 2026 2:25pm ET $214.76 115 $24,696.83 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 29, 2026 10:00am ET $205.03 115 $23,578.45 $23,690.45 $-1,118.38
(-4.5%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
11.8d held
20 🟢 BUY Jul 31, 2026 12:05pm ET $211.34 112 $23,670.08 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 21, 2026 12:05pm ET $210.83 112 $23,612.96 $23,633.33 $-57.12
(-0.2%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
21 🟢 BUY Aug 24, 2026 3:50pm ET $214.26 110 $23,568.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 14, 2026 1:50pm ET $205.51 110 $22,606.10 $22,670.83 $-962.50
(-4.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
20.9d held
22 🟢 BUY Sep 15, 2026 2:15pm ET $203.04 111 $22,537.99 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 24, 2026 11:30am ET $194.80 111 $21,623.35 $21,756.19 $-914.64
(-4.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
8.9d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $21,756.19
Net Profit/Loss: +$11,756.19
Total Return: +117.56%
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