Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-24 22:10:27

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
22.7 oversold
20d Trend
-16.1%
5d Trend
-8.1%
EMA20 Dist
-9.8%
ATR%
3.8%
Range Pos
2%
Bounce Ratio
0.3×
Green/Red 10d
2/8

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

19
Lifetime
Confidence: 85%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
2.5/35
Total Return
10.8/25
Win Rate
2.7/15
Profit Factor
1.0/15
Consistency
5.0/10
Raw Quality 21.9/100
× Confidence 0.85 = 18.6

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (85%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Year)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
29,015
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-09-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
266 days
Data Gaps
None (10 market holidays)

Market Closed (10 days)

2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Year)

Period Start Capital
$13,211.32
Current Value
$11,900.87
Period P&L
$-1,310.45
Max Drawdown
-27.2%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.07

Trade Statistics (Last Year)

Trades in Period
18
Winners / Losers
7 / 11
Best Trade
+13.72%
Worst Trade
-5.45%
Avg Trade Return
-0.38%
Avg Hold Time
11.8d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$400,635.97
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-1,310.45
Net P&L (after fees)
$-1,310.45
Gross Return
-9.92%
Net Return (after fees)
-9.92%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 MSFT Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 266 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Year - 18 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Victor Volume had $13,211.32 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Sep 11, 2025 3:50pm ET $501.50 25 $12,537.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 2, 2025 3:50pm ET $516.04 25 $12,901.08 $13,369.90 +$363.58
(+2.9%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
2 🟢 BUY Oct 3, 2025 3:55pm ET $517.35 25 $12,933.75 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 24, 2025 3:55pm ET $523.50 25 $13,087.50 $13,523.65 +$153.75
(+1.2%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
3 🟢 BUY Oct 28, 2025 9:40am ET $546.42 24 $13,114.08 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 30, 2025 11:30am ET $522.80 24 $12,547.24 $12,956.80 $-566.84
(-4.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.1d held
4 🟢 BUY Oct 31, 2025 3:55pm ET $517.82 25 $12,945.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 6, 2025 10:50am ET $496.42 25 $12,410.50 $12,421.80 $-535.00
(-4.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5.8d held
5 🟢 BUY Nov 7, 2025 11:50am ET $494.96 25 $12,373.94 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 21, 2025 9:55am ET $474.31 25 $11,857.63 $11,905.49 $-516.31
(-4.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
13.9d held
6 🟢 BUY Nov 24, 2025 12:15pm ET $475.64 25 $11,890.88 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 15, 2025 12:15pm ET $474.18 25 $11,854.38 $11,868.99 $-36.50
(-0.3%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
7 🟢 BUY Dec 16, 2025 2:35pm ET $475.72 24 $11,417.28 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 6, 2026 2:35pm ET $476.52 24 $11,436.48 $11,888.19 +$19.20
(+0.2%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
8 🟢 BUY Jan 8, 2026 3:10pm ET $477.66 24 $11,463.72 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 14, 2026 1:35pm ET $458.24 24 $10,997.76 $11,422.23 $-465.96
(-4.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5.9d held
9 🟢 BUY Jan 15, 2026 3:55pm ET $456.91 24 $10,965.84 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 29, 2026 9:30am ET $432.00 24 $10,368.00 $10,824.39 $-597.84
(-5.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
13.7d held
10 🟢 BUY Jan 30, 2026 3:25pm ET $427.26 25 $10,681.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 3, 2026 12:35pm ET $409.96 25 $10,249.12 $10,392.01 $-432.38
(-4.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.9d held
11 🟢 BUY Feb 4, 2026 3:55pm ET $414.22 25 $10,355.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 5, 2026 2:35pm ET $397.48 25 $9,936.91 $9,973.43 $-418.59
(-4.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
22.7h held
12 🟢 BUY Feb 6, 2026 3:50pm ET $401.74 24 $9,641.76 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 12:30pm ET $420.18 24 $10,084.32 $10,415.99 +$442.56
(+4.6%)
📅 Sim Ended
3.9d held
13 🟢 BUY Feb 26, 2026 9:35am ET $402.87 25 $10,071.82 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 19, 2026 10:35am ET $389.76 25 $9,744.00 $10,088.17 $-327.82
(-3.3%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
14 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 3:55pm ET $441.29 22 $9,708.38 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2026 10:00am ET $422.77 22 $9,300.93 $9,680.72 $-407.45
(-4.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.8d held
15 🟢 BUY Jun 25, 2026 3:30pm ET $353.08 27 $9,533.16 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 1, 2026 10:20am ET $382.42 27 $10,325.21 $10,472.77 +$792.05
(+8.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
5.8d held
16 🟢 BUY Jul 2, 2026 12:00pm ET $389.63 26 $10,130.38 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 23, 2026 12:00pm ET $380.30 26 $9,887.80 $10,230.19 $-242.58
(-2.4%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
17 🟢 BUY Jul 24, 2026 1:25pm ET $384.18 26 $9,988.68 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 30, 2026 9:30am ET $436.88 26 $11,358.75 $11,600.26 +$1,370.07
(+13.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
5.8d held
18 🟢 BUY Aug 21, 2026 3:55pm ET $483.35 23 $11,117.05 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 11, 2026 3:55pm ET $496.42 23 $11,417.66 $11,900.87 +$300.61
(+2.7%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $11,900.87
Net Profit/Loss: +$1,900.87
Total Return: +19.01%
Back to Victor Volume