MU Victor Volume's Analysis
Last Year: 2025-09-25 to present • 39 trades in period
+10.25%
Last Year Return
$27,605.09
Current Value
41%
Win Rate
$25,038.54
Period Start
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.
Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
37.4 neutral
20d Trend
-12.8%
5d Trend
-1.7%
EMA20 Dist
-6.9%
ATR%
5.6%
Range Pos
6%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
3/7
Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026
41
Lifetime
Confidence: 95%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
15.7/35
Total Return
18.7/25
Win Rate
0.8/15
Profit Factor
2.0/15
Consistency
6.3/10
Raw Quality
43.5/100
× Confidence 0.95
= 41.4
30-Day Momentum
Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (95%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last Year)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
29,436
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-09-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
260 days
Data Gaps
1 day with gaps
Data Gap Notice
The following dates had fewer candles than expected. This could be due to early market closes, API rate limits during data collection, or low volume periods. Simulation results may be slightly affected.
2025-11-28 (no data)
Market Closed (10 days)
2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last Year)
Period Start Capital
$25,038.54
Current Value
$27,605.09
Period P&L
$2,566.54
Max Drawdown
-39.3%
Sharpe Ratio
0.06
Trade Statistics (Last Year)
Trades in Period
39
Winners / Losers
16 /
23
Best Trade
+10.28%
Worst Trade
-8.28%
Avg Trade Return
+0.42%
Avg Hold Time
3.3d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$2,549,011.31
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$2,566.54
Net P&L (after fees)
$2,566.54
Gross Return
+10.25%
Net Return (after fees)
+10.25%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 MU Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 260 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last Year - 39 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Victor Volume had $25,038.54 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 19, 2025 3:10pm ET | $163.07 | 155 | $25,275.85 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 25, 2025 9:30am ET | $156.25 | 155 | $24,217.98 | $24,301.50 |
$-1,057.88 (-4.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5.8d held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 26, 2025 2:40pm ET | $156.75 | 155 | $24,295.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 1, 2025 10:00am ET | $169.90 | 155 | $26,333.73 | $26,339.75 |
+$2,038.25 (+8.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4.8d held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 2, 2025 3:55pm ET | $183.74 | 143 | $26,274.82 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 6, 2025 9:35am ET | $200.39 | 143 | $28,655.77 | $28,720.70 |
+$2,380.95 (+9.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3.7d held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 8, 2025 11:50am ET | $195.94 | 146 | $28,607.24 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 10, 2025 9:30am ET | $185.56 | 146 | $27,091.76 | $27,205.22 |
$-1,515.48 (-5.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9d held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 13, 2025 9:30am ET | $191.37 | 142 | $27,174.54 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 20, 2025 9:30am ET | $207.14 | 142 | $29,413.78 | $29,444.47 |
+$2,239.24 (+8.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
7d held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 21, 2025 9:35am ET | $202.86 | 145 | $29,415.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 22, 2025 9:30am ET | $193.94 | 145 | $28,121.30 | $28,150.69 |
$-1,293.78 (-4.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
23.9h held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 23, 2025 9:55am ET | $205.48 | 136 | $27,945.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 28, 2025 9:40am ET | $222.05 | 136 | $30,198.80 | $30,404.21 |
+$2,253.52 (+8.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
5d held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 29, 2025 10:05am ET | $229.27 | 132 | $30,262.98 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 4, 2025 9:40am ET | $220.07 | 132 | $29,049.24 | $29,190.47 |
$-1,213.74 (-4.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
6d held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 5, 2025 11:00am ET | $237.75 | 122 | $29,005.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 18, 2025 11:00am ET | $227.51 | 122 | $27,756.22 | $27,941.19 |
$-1,249.28 (-4.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
13d held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 20, 2025 9:35am ET | $204.99 | 136 | $27,878.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 24, 2025 9:30am ET | $223.49 | 136 | $30,394.64 | $30,457.19 |
+$2,516.00 (+9.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4d held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 25, 2025 10:30am ET | $225.29 | 135 | $30,414.15 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 8, 2025 9:40am ET | $243.39 | 135 | $32,857.65 | $32,900.69 |
+$2,443.50 (+8.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
13d held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 9, 2025 10:45am ET | $252.82 | 130 | $32,865.95 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 12, 2025 10:55am ET | $242.33 | 130 | $31,502.90 | $31,537.64 |
$-1,363.05 (-4.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 15, 2025 3:30pm ET | $237.72 | 132 | $31,378.38 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 17, 2025 10:50am ET | $228.10 | 132 | $30,108.54 | $30,267.80 |
$-1,269.84 (-4.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.8d held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 19, 2025 9:30am ET | $261.13 | 115 | $30,029.95 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 24, 2025 9:35am ET | $283.20 | 115 | $32,568.00 | $32,805.85 |
+$2,538.05 (+8.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
5d held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 26, 2025 3:55pm ET | $284.79 | 115 | $32,750.85 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 2, 2026 9:50am ET | $307.78 | 115 | $35,395.16 | $35,450.16 |
+$2,644.31 (+8.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
6.7d held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 5, 2026 3:55pm ET | $312.15 | 113 | $35,272.95 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 6, 2026 2:20pm ET | $337.52 | 113 | $38,139.76 | $38,316.97 |
+$2,866.81 (+8.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
22.4h held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 7, 2026 3:50pm ET | $339.61 | 112 | $38,035.87 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 8, 2026 10:30am ET | $325.04 | 112 | $36,404.91 | $36,686.00 |
$-1,630.97 (-4.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
18.7h held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 9, 2026 2:20pm ET | $343.59 | 106 | $36,420.53 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 20, 2026 9:30am ET | $373.07 | 106 | $39,545.42 | $39,810.89 |
+$3,124.89 (+8.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
10.8d held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 21, 2026 9:35am ET | $375.86 | 105 | $39,464.78 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 23, 2026 10:05am ET | $406.78 | 105 | $42,711.90 | $43,058.02 |
+$3,247.13 (+8.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2d held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 27, 2026 9:35am ET | $404.86 | 106 | $42,914.74 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 28, 2026 3:05pm ET | $437.85 | 106 | $46,412.10 | $46,555.38 |
+$3,497.36 (+8.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.2d held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 29, 2026 3:15pm ET | $433.89 | 107 | $46,426.23 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 30, 2026 3:05pm ET | $415.17 | 107 | $44,423.19 | $44,552.34 |
$-2,003.04 (-4.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
23.8h held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 2, 2026 3:55pm ET | $437.79 | 101 | $44,216.79 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 3, 2026 9:55am ET | $418.51 | 101 | $42,269.51 | $42,605.06 |
$-1,947.28 (-4.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
18h held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 4, 2026 2:40pm ET | $374.14 | 113 | $42,277.82 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 10, 2026 12:30pm ET | $377.01 | 113 | $42,601.57 | $42,928.81 |
+$323.74 (+0.8%) |
📅 Sim Ended
5.9d held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 26, 2026 9:30am ET | $425.51 | 100 | $42,550.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 26, 2026 10:20am ET | $405.40 | 100 | $40,540.50 | $40,918.81 |
$-2,010.00 (-4.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
50m held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 2, 2026 3:40pm ET | $1,068.76 | 38 | $40,612.69 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 4, 2026 9:30am ET | $1,013.98 | 38 | $38,531.24 | $38,837.36 |
$-2,081.45 (-5.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.7d held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 5, 2026 9:30am ET | $953.80 | 40 | $38,152.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 5, 2026 9:55am ET | $915.30 | 40 | $36,612.00 | $37,297.36 |
$-1,540.00 (-4.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
25m held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 25, 2026 3:55pm ET | $1,213.52 | 30 | $36,405.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 26, 2026 9:30am ET | $1,136.76 | 30 | $34,102.80 | $34,994.56 |
$-2,302.80 (-6.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
17.6h held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 29, 2026 9:30am ET | $1,116.98 | 31 | $34,626.53 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 29, 2026 9:55am ET | $1,061.77 | 31 | $32,914.87 | $33,282.89 |
$-1,711.66 (-4.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
25m held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 30, 2026 12:15pm ET | $1,164.49 | 28 | $32,605.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 1, 2026 9:30am ET | $1,068.12 | 28 | $29,907.36 | $30,584.53 |
$-2,698.36 (-8.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
21.3h held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $1,055.41 | 28 | $29,551.55 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 2, 2026 10:30am ET | $1,007.27 | 28 | $28,203.56 | $29,236.54 |
$-1,347.99 (-4.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1h held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 13, 2026 9:40am ET | $912.67 | 32 | $29,205.53 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 14, 2026 11:35am ET | $988.37 | 32 | $31,627.84 | $31,658.85 |
+$2,422.31 (+8.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.1d held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 16, 2026 9:30am ET | $878.35 | 36 | $31,620.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 16, 2026 1:40pm ET | $842.18 | 36 | $30,318.48 | $30,356.73 |
$-1,302.12 (-4.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4.2h held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 20, 2026 9:30am ET | $893.01 | 33 | $29,469.17 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 21, 2026 12:05pm ET | $968.62 | 33 | $31,964.46 | $32,852.03 |
+$2,495.29 (+8.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.1d held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 23, 2026 9:35am ET | $987.50 | 33 | $32,587.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 24, 2026 9:50am ET | $933.72 | 33 | $30,812.85 | $31,077.38 |
$-1,774.65 (-5.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 27, 2026 3:55pm ET | $900.96 | 34 | $30,632.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 28, 2026 9:30am ET | $832.72 | 34 | $28,312.35 | $28,757.09 |
$-2,320.29 (-7.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
17.6h held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 29, 2026 9:30am ET | $832.93 | 34 | $28,319.62 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 29, 2026 10:10am ET | $799.48 | 34 | $27,182.32 | $27,619.79 |
$-1,137.30 (-4.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
40m held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 21, 2026 3:50pm ET | $964.02 | 28 | $26,992.56 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 24, 2026 9:30am ET | $912.27 | 28 | $25,543.42 | $26,170.65 |
$-1,449.14 (-5.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.7d held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 21, 2026 3:50pm ET | $964.02 | 28 | $26,992.56 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 26, 2026 9:30am ET | $925.43 | 28 | $25,912.04 | $25,090.13 |
$-1,080.52 (-4.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4.7d held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 31, 2026 9:30am ET | $940.52 | 26 | $24,453.65 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $1,037.25 | 26 | $26,968.60 | $27,605.09 |
+$2,514.96 (+10.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
8d held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$27,605.09
Net Profit/Loss:
+$17,605.09
Total Return:
+176.05%