Compendium › Victor Volume › NFLX
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
NFLX
Alpaca Tradeable

Victor Volume's Analysis

Last Year: 2025-09-25 to present • 17 trades in period

-24.28%
Last Year Return
$14,255.15
Current Value
29%
Win Rate
$18,826.58
Period Start
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PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:12:22

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
30.2 neutral
20d Trend
-10.9%
5d Trend
-5.8%
EMA20 Dist
-5.4%
ATR%
3.3%
Range Pos
4%
Bounce Ratio
0.9×
Green/Red 10d
4/6

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

23
Lifetime
Confidence: 86%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
4.4/35
Total Return
13.6/25
Win Rate
2.5/15
Profit Factor
1.2/15
Consistency
5.3/10
Raw Quality 27.0/100
× Confidence 0.86 = 23.2

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (86%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Year)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
28,069
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-09-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
265 days
Data Gaps
None (10 market holidays)

Market Closed (10 days)

2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Year)

Period Start Capital
$18,826.58
Current Value
$14,255.15
Period P&L
$-4,571.40
Max Drawdown
-33.9%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.26

Trade Statistics (Last Year)

Trades in Period
17
Winners / Losers
5 / 12
Best Trade
+8.40%
Worst Trade
-8.47%
Avg Trade Return
-1.42%
Avg Hold Time
14d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$541,341.57
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-4,571.40
Net P&L (after fees)
$-4,571.40
Gross Return
-24.28%
Net Return (after fees)
-24.28%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 NFLX Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 265 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Year - 17 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Victor Volume had $18,826.58 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Sep 12, 2025 3:50pm ET $118.62 156 $18,504.70 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 2, 2025 10:15am ET $113.47 156 $17,701.87 $17,804.67 $-802.84
(-4.3%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
19.8d held
2 🟢 BUY Oct 3, 2025 3:55pm ET $115.33 154 $17,761.13 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 20, 2025 1:45pm ET $124.56 154 $19,182.09 $19,225.63 +$1,420.96
(+8.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
16.9d held
3 🟢 BUY Oct 21, 2025 3:50pm ET $124.18 154 $19,123.57 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 22, 2025 9:30am ET $114.10 154 $17,570.78 $17,672.85 $-1,552.78
(-8.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
17.7h held
4 🟢 BUY Oct 23, 2025 12:20pm ET $110.59 159 $17,583.65 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 13, 2025 11:20am ET $115.11 159 $18,302.97 $18,392.17 +$719.32
(+4.1%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
5 🟢 BUY Nov 14, 2025 2:10pm ET $112.20 163 $18,288.93 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 20, 2025 11:35am ET $107.69 163 $17,552.66 $17,655.90 $-736.27
(-4.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
5.9d held
6 🟢 BUY Nov 21, 2025 3:55pm ET $104.35 169 $17,634.31 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 5, 2025 11:45am ET $100.17 169 $16,928.73 $16,950.32 $-705.58
(-4.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
13.8d held
7 🟢 BUY Dec 8, 2025 3:55pm ET $96.84 175 $16,947.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 10, 2025 3:50pm ET $92.57 175 $16,199.75 $16,203.07 $-747.25
(-4.4%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
2d held
8 🟢 BUY Dec 11, 2025 3:55pm ET $94.12 172 $16,187.78 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 2, 2026 9:30am ET $92.26 172 $15,868.72 $15,884.01 $-319.06
(-2.0%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
21.7d held
9 🟢 BUY Jan 5, 2026 9:30am ET $91.45 173 $15,820.85 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 20, 2026 3:50pm ET $87.73 173 $15,177.29 $15,240.45 $-643.56
(-4.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
15.3d held
10 🟢 BUY Jan 21, 2026 3:50pm ET $85.08 179 $15,228.43 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 3, 2026 10:15am ET $81.36 179 $14,564.33 $14,576.36 $-664.09
(-4.4%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
12.8d held
11 🟢 BUY Feb 4, 2026 3:05pm ET $80.84 180 $14,551.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 12:30pm ET $82.83 180 $14,909.40 $14,934.56 +$358.20
(+2.5%) 		📅 Sim Ended
5.9d held
12 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 12:10pm ET $83.92 177 $14,852.96 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 11, 2026 11:00am ET $80.32 177 $14,216.64 $14,298.24 $-636.32
(-4.3%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
9d held
13 🟢 BUY Jun 26, 2026 9:30am ET $72.79 196 $14,266.84 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 17, 2026 9:30am ET $66.63 196 $13,058.50 $13,089.90 $-1,208.34
(-8.5%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
21d held
14 🟢 BUY Jul 21, 2026 9:30am ET $67.68 193 $13,063.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 28, 2026 9:40am ET $73.26 193 $14,139.18 $14,165.88 +$1,075.98
(+8.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
7d held
15 🟢 BUY Jun 26, 2026 9:30am ET $72.79 196 $14,266.84 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 30, 2026 9:35am ET $71.21 196 $13,958.14 $13,857.18 $-308.70
(-2.2%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
34d held
16 🟢 BUY Aug 3, 2026 9:30am ET $73.35 188 $13,789.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 19, 2026 9:55am ET $79.51 188 $14,947.56 $15,014.94 +$1,157.76
(+8.4%) 		🎯 +5% Target
16d held
17 🟢 BUY Aug 24, 2026 1:15pm ET $80.51 186 $14,975.79 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 8, 2026 9:35am ET $76.43 186 $14,216.00 $14,255.15 $-759.79
(-5.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
14.8d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $14,255.15
Net Profit/Loss: +$4,255.15
Total Return: +42.55%
Back to Victor Volume