NIO Victor Volume's Analysis
Last Year: 2025-09-25 to present • 43 trades in period
-50.53%
Last Year Return
$3,732.38
Current Value
26%
Win Rate
$7,544.82
Period Start
PHASE 0: RANGING
No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.
Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
47.7 neutral
20d Trend
-0.8%
5d Trend
-0.8%
EMA20 Dist
-0.1%
ATR%
4.5%
Range Pos
9%
Bounce Ratio
2.0×
Green/Red 10d
5/5
Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026
4
Lifetime
Confidence: 96%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.2/10
Raw Quality
4.2/100
× Confidence 0.96
= 4.1
30-Day Momentum
1
-19.2%
30d Return
0%
Win Rate
4
Trades
0.6×
Profit Factor
Quality: 1.4
Conf: 0.66×
Cooling (-3 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (96%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last Year)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
29,191
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-09-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
265 days
Data Gaps
None (10 market holidays)
Market Closed (10 days)
2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last Year)
Period Start Capital
$7,544.82
Current Value
$3,732.38
Period P&L
$-3,812.51
Max Drawdown
-56.8%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.27
Trade Statistics (Last Year)
Trades in Period
43
Winners / Losers
11 /
32
Best Trade
+10.65%
Worst Trade
-7.65%
Avg Trade Return
-1.45%
Avg Hold Time
5.3d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$549,867.17
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-3,812.51
Net P&L (after fees)
$-3,812.51
Gross Return
-50.53%
Net Return (after fees)
-50.53%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 NIO Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 265 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last Year - 43 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Victor Volume had $7,544.82 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 23, 2025 10:05am ET | $7.14 | 1,043 | $7,446.92 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 2, 2025 9:30am ET | $7.90 | 1,043 | $8,239.70 | $8,243.69 |
+$792.78 (+10.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
9d held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 3, 2025 1:55pm ET | $7.52 | 1,096 | $8,240.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 10, 2025 9:35am ET | $7.22 | 1,096 | $7,907.64 | $7,910.73 |
$-332.96 (-4.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
6.8d held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 13, 2025 3:45pm ET | $7.18 | 1,102 | $7,908.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 14, 2025 10:50am ET | $6.88 | 1,102 | $7,583.19 | $7,585.42 |
$-325.31 (-4.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
19.1h held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 16, 2025 9:30am ET | $6.53 | 1,161 | $7,581.45 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 20, 2025 2:50pm ET | $7.06 | 1,161 | $8,196.66 | $8,200.63 |
+$615.21 (+8.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4.2d held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 21, 2025 3:45pm ET | $6.83 | 1,200 | $8,196.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 3, 2025 9:35am ET | $7.42 | 1,200 | $8,903.88 | $8,908.51 |
+$707.88 (+8.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
12.8d held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 5, 2025 9:35am ET | $7.24 | 1,231 | $8,906.29 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 7, 2025 9:30am ET | $6.92 | 1,231 | $8,516.80 | $8,519.02 |
$-389.49 (-4.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 10, 2025 10:05am ET | $7.04 | 1,210 | $8,512.35 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 10, 2025 2:00pm ET | $6.73 | 1,210 | $8,143.30 | $8,149.97 |
$-369.05 (-4.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.9h held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 11, 2025 3:40pm ET | $6.63 | 1,229 | $8,148.27 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 13, 2025 10:30am ET | $6.34 | 1,229 | $7,794.32 | $7,796.02 |
$-353.95 (-4.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.8d held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 14, 2025 1:05pm ET | $6.20 | 1,258 | $7,793.31 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 18, 2025 9:35am ET | $5.92 | 1,258 | $7,441.07 | $7,443.78 |
$-352.24 (-4.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.9d held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 19, 2025 3:50pm ET | $5.80 | 1,284 | $7,440.78 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 20, 2025 11:55am ET | $5.55 | 1,284 | $7,131.98 | $7,134.98 |
$-308.80 (-4.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
20.1h held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 21, 2025 12:00pm ET | $5.62 | 1,269 | $7,131.78 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 26, 2025 11:35am ET | $5.39 | 1,269 | $6,833.57 | $6,836.77 |
$-298.22 (-4.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5d held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 28, 2025 12:30pm ET | $5.50 | 1,243 | $6,833.77 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 1, 2025 9:40am ET | $5.27 | 1,243 | $6,550.61 | $6,553.61 |
$-283.16 (-4.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.9d held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 2, 2025 12:15pm ET | $5.10 | 1,285 | $6,553.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 3, 2025 9:30am ET | $4.88 | 1,285 | $6,270.80 | $6,270.91 |
$-282.70 (-4.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
21.3h held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 4, 2025 12:40pm ET | $4.97 | 1,261 | $6,269.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 26, 2025 9:30am ET | $5.00 | 1,261 | $6,298.70 | $6,300.17 |
+$29.26 (+0.5%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
21.9d held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 29, 2025 9:30am ET | $5.25 | 1,200 | $6,297.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 30, 2025 9:45am ET | $5.72 | 1,200 | $6,863.76 | $6,866.93 |
+$566.76 (+9.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1d held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 31, 2025 1:35pm ET | $5.09 | 1,349 | $6,866.41 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 5, 2026 10:10am ET | $4.88 | 1,349 | $6,583.12 | $6,583.64 |
$-283.29 (-4.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4.9d held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 6, 2026 3:25pm ET | $4.76 | 1,383 | $6,579.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 14, 2026 12:30pm ET | $4.57 | 1,383 | $6,313.40 | $6,317.27 |
$-266.37 (-4.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
7.9d held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 15, 2026 1:15pm ET | $4.63 | 1,364 | $6,315.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 2, 2026 9:50am ET | $4.42 | 1,364 | $6,028.88 | $6,030.83 |
$-286.44 (-4.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
17.9d held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 3, 2026 2:50pm ET | $4.47 | 1,347 | $6,027.82 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 5, 2026 11:35am ET | $4.87 | 1,347 | $6,559.89 | $6,562.89 |
+$532.06 (+8.8%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 6, 2026 3:40pm ET | $5.07 | 1,293 | $6,561.97 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 9, 2026 9:30am ET | $4.76 | 1,293 | $6,154.29 | $6,155.21 |
$-407.68 (-6.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.7d held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 10, 2026 9:30am ET | $4.95 | 1,244 | $6,151.58 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 10, 2026 12:30pm ET | $4.95 | 1,244 | $6,164.02 | $6,167.65 |
+$12.44 (+0.2%) |
📅 Sim Ended
3h held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 19, 2026 3:35pm ET | $4.88 | 1,263 | $6,163.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 23, 2026 9:50am ET | $5.32 | 1,263 | $6,725.47 | $6,729.68 |
+$562.03 (+9.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3.8d held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 27, 2026 3:50pm ET | $4.88 | 1,379 | $6,729.38 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 2, 2026 10:25am ET | $4.66 | 1,379 | $6,433.03 | $6,433.33 |
$-296.35 (-4.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.8d held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 5, 2026 9:30am ET | $4.79 | 1,343 | $6,432.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 10, 2026 9:30am ET | $5.18 | 1,343 | $6,957.68 | $6,958.31 |
+$524.98 (+8.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
5d held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 11, 2026 9:30am ET | $5.78 | 1,203 | $6,953.34 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 11, 2026 11:35am ET | $5.53 | 1,203 | $6,658.60 | $6,663.57 |
$-294.74 (-4.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.1h held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 13, 2026 9:35am ET | $5.79 | 1,150 | $6,658.38 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 20, 2026 10:50am ET | $5.55 | 1,150 | $6,380.31 | $6,385.50 |
$-278.07 (-4.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
7.1d held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $6.07 | 1,051 | $6,384.82 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 9, 2026 9:30am ET | $6.57 | 1,051 | $6,905.07 | $6,905.75 |
+$520.25 (+8.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
7d held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 28, 2026 3:50pm ET | $6.36 | 1,086 | $6,901.53 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 1, 2026 9:40am ET | $6.08 | 1,086 | $6,602.88 | $6,607.10 |
$-298.65 (-4.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.7d held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | May 27, 2026 1:35pm ET | $5.78 | 1,144 | $6,606.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 29, 2026 9:30am ET | $5.38 | 1,144 | $6,154.72 | $6,155.22 |
$-451.88 (-6.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.8d held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 2, 2026 3:40pm ET | $6.03 | 1,020 | $6,150.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 3, 2026 9:55am ET | $5.78 | 1,020 | $5,900.70 | $5,905.32 |
$-249.90 (-4.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
18.3h held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 4, 2026 2:10pm ET | $5.73 | 1,030 | $5,901.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 5, 2026 9:45am ET | $5.49 | 1,030 | $5,655.42 | $5,658.84 |
$-246.48 (-4.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
19.6h held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 11, 2026 2:10pm ET | $5.22 | 1,083 | $5,658.67 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 16, 2026 10:15am ET | $4.98 | 1,083 | $5,393.02 | $5,393.18 |
$-265.66 (-4.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4.8d held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 25, 2026 11:45am ET | $4.79 | 1,125 | $5,388.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 15, 2026 10:00am ET | $5.18 | 1,125 | $5,825.36 | $5,829.79 |
+$436.61 (+8.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
19.9d held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 16, 2026 2:35pm ET | $4.99 | 1,169 | $5,827.47 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 21, 2026 3:40pm ET | $4.78 | 1,169 | $5,593.66 | $5,595.99 |
$-233.80 (-4.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5d held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 22, 2026 3:40pm ET | $4.68 | 1,197 | $5,595.98 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 24, 2026 3:10pm ET | $4.49 | 1,197 | $5,368.55 | $5,368.56 |
$-227.43 (-4.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 25, 2026 11:45am ET | $4.79 | 1,125 | $5,388.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 30, 2026 9:35am ET | $4.68 | 1,125 | $5,270.62 | $5,250.43 |
$-118.13 (-2.2%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
34.9d held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 31, 2026 3:05pm ET | $4.86 | 1,080 | $5,248.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 5, 2026 12:00pm ET | $4.66 | 1,080 | $5,038.20 | $5,039.83 |
$-210.60 (-4.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4.9d held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 7, 2026 9:30am ET | $4.72 | 1,066 | $5,036.85 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 11, 2026 9:35am ET | $4.51 | 1,066 | $4,812.99 | $4,815.97 |
$-223.86 (-4.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 21, 2026 3:25pm ET | $4.63 | 1,041 | $4,814.63 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 24, 2026 9:55am ET | $4.43 | 1,041 | $4,616.83 | $4,618.18 |
$-197.79 (-4.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.8d held |
|
| 40 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 21, 2026 3:25pm ET | $4.63 | 1,041 | $4,814.63 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 26, 2026 10:10am ET | $4.43 | 1,041 | $4,606.43 | $4,409.98 |
$-208.20 (-4.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4.8d held |
|
| 41 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 31, 2026 9:30am ET | $4.38 | 1,006 | $4,406.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 1, 2026 9:30am ET | $4.05 | 1,006 | $4,069.27 | $4,072.97 |
$-337.01 (-7.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held |
|
| 42 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $3.94 | 1,033 | $4,070.23 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 3, 2026 9:30am ET | $3.77 | 1,033 | $3,894.41 | $3,897.15 |
$-175.82 (-4.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held |
|
| 43 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 8, 2026 1:35pm ET | $3.84 | 1,014 | $3,896.29 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 9, 2026 12:00pm ET | $3.68 | 1,014 | $3,731.52 | $3,732.38 |
$-164.77 (-4.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
22.4h held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$3,732.38
Net Profit/Loss:
$-6,267.62
Total Return:
-62.68%