Compendium › Victor Volume › NVDA
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
NVDA
Alpaca Tradeable

Victor Volume's Analysis

Last Year: 2025-09-25 to present • 23 trades in period

-31.58%
Last Year Return
$15,475.57
Current Value
22%
Win Rate
$22,619.25
Period Start
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PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:07:38

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
33.4 neutral
20d Trend
-9.7%
5d Trend
-7.1%
EMA20 Dist
-5.9%
ATR%
3.2%
Range Pos
3%
Bounce Ratio
0.7×
Green/Red 10d
4/6

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

25
Lifetime
Confidence: 97%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
4.8/35
Total Return
14.5/25
Win Rate
0.3/15
Profit Factor
0.8/15
Consistency
5.0/10
Raw Quality 25.4/100
× Confidence 0.97 = 24.6

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (97%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Year)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
29,908
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-09-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
265 days
Data Gaps
None (10 market holidays)

Market Closed (10 days)

2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Year)

Period Start Capital
$22,619.25
Current Value
$15,475.57
Period P&L
$-7,143.64
Max Drawdown
-40.2%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.29

Trade Statistics (Last Year)

Trades in Period
23
Winners / Losers
5 / 18
Best Trade
+8.57%
Worst Trade
-5.63%
Avg Trade Return
-1.52%
Avg Hold Time
9.9d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$923,370.97
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-7,143.64
Net P&L (after fees)
$-7,143.64
Gross Return
-31.58%
Net Return (after fees)
-31.58%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 NVDA Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 265 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Year - 23 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Victor Volume had $22,619.25 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Sep 23, 2025 1:40pm ET $177.85 127 $22,586.77 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 9, 2025 9:40am ET $192.50 127 $24,446.87 $24,556.59 +$1,860.09
(+8.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
15.8d held
2 🟢 BUY Oct 10, 2025 10:10am ET $194.71 126 $24,533.46 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 10, 2025 1:05pm ET $186.84 126 $23,541.84 $23,564.97 $-991.62
(-4.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
2.9h held
3 🟢 BUY Oct 13, 2025 3:50pm ET $188.66 124 $23,393.22 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 14, 2025 9:35am ET $180.79 124 $22,417.96 $22,589.71 $-975.26
(-4.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
17.8h held
4 🟢 BUY Oct 15, 2025 3:55pm ET $179.88 125 $22,484.38 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 28, 2025 9:30am ET $195.29 125 $24,411.25 $24,516.59 +$1,926.88
(+8.6%) 		🎯 +5% Target
12.7d held
5 🟢 BUY Oct 29, 2025 9:30am ET $210.79 116 $24,451.64 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 30, 2025 9:35am ET $201.86 116 $23,415.50 $23,480.45 $-1,036.14
(-4.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
6 🟢 BUY Oct 31, 2025 9:35am ET $207.49 113 $23,446.38 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 4, 2025 2:35pm ET $199.01 113 $22,488.13 $22,522.20 $-958.25
(-4.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
4.3d held
7 🟢 BUY Nov 6, 2025 9:30am ET $196.93 114 $22,449.74 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 6, 2025 11:35am ET $188.55 114 $21,494.70 $21,567.16 $-955.04
(-4.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
2.1h held
8 🟢 BUY Nov 7, 2025 2:30pm ET $185.68 116 $21,538.88 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 21, 2025 9:35am ET $177.59 116 $20,600.44 $20,628.72 $-938.44
(-4.4%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
13.8d held
9 🟢 BUY Nov 24, 2025 3:50pm ET $182.79 112 $20,472.48 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 25, 2025 9:30am ET $173.99 112 $19,486.88 $19,643.12 $-985.60
(-4.8%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
17.7h held
10 🟢 BUY Nov 26, 2025 9:30am ET $182.09 107 $19,483.63 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 17, 2025 9:30am ET $174.55 107 $18,676.85 $18,836.34 $-806.78
(-4.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
21d held
11 🟢 BUY Dec 18, 2025 9:40am ET $172.87 108 $18,669.95 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 23, 2025 11:05am ET $186.80 108 $20,174.40 $20,340.79 +$1,504.45
(+8.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
5.1d held
12 🟢 BUY Dec 26, 2025 9:30am ET $191.27 106 $20,274.62 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 14, 2026 9:30am ET $183.43 106 $19,443.58 $19,509.75 $-831.04
(-4.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
19d held
13 🟢 BUY Jan 15, 2026 9:30am ET $187.12 104 $19,460.48 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 20, 2026 12:40pm ET $179.50 104 $18,667.48 $18,716.75 $-793.00
(-4.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
5.1d held
14 🟢 BUY Jan 21, 2026 2:25pm ET $182.98 102 $18,663.96 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 4, 2026 11:00am ET $174.64 102 $17,813.28 $17,866.07 $-850.68
(-4.6%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
13.9d held
15 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 3:55pm ET $171.82 103 $17,697.46 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 6, 2026 3:35pm ET $185.71 103 $19,128.64 $19,297.26 +$1,431.18
(+8.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
23.7h held
16 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 3:55pm ET $222.82 86 $19,162.52 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 4, 2026 9:40am ET $212.95 86 $18,313.70 $18,448.44 $-848.82
(-4.4%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1.7d held
17 🟢 BUY Jun 25, 2026 3:50pm ET $195.18 94 $18,346.86 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 10, 2026 3:55pm ET $210.95 94 $19,829.30 $19,930.88 +$1,482.44
(+8.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
15d held
18 🟢 BUY Jul 14, 2026 3:50pm ET $212.18 93 $19,732.74 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 17, 2026 9:30am ET $200.23 93 $18,620.93 $18,819.06 $-1,111.81
(-5.6%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
2.7d held
19 🟢 BUY Jul 20, 2026 9:30am ET $206.75 91 $18,814.25 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 27, 2026 10:40am ET $197.67 91 $17,987.97 $17,992.78 $-826.28
(-4.4%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
7d held
20 🟢 BUY Jun 25, 2026 3:50pm ET $195.18 94 $18,346.86 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 30, 2026 9:35am ET $192.21 94 $18,068.21 $17,714.13 $-278.65
(-1.5%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
34.7d held
21 🟢 BUY Aug 6, 2026 9:35am ET $222.61 79 $17,586.19 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 24, 2026 9:30am ET $213.19 79 $16,842.01 $16,969.95 $-744.18
(-4.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
18d held
22 🟢 BUY Aug 6, 2026 9:35am ET $222.61 79 $17,586.19 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 26, 2026 9:30am ET $212.50 79 $16,787.50 $16,171.26 $-798.69
(-4.5%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
20d held
23 🟢 BUY Aug 31, 2026 3:50pm ET $220.73 73 $16,113.29 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 14, 2026 9:30am ET $211.20 73 $15,417.60 $15,475.57 $-695.69
(-4.3%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
13.7d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $15,475.57
Net Profit/Loss: +$5,475.57
Total Return: +54.76%
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