Compendium › Victor Volume › PANW
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
PANW
Alpaca Tradeable

Victor Volume's Analysis

Last Year: 2025-09-25 to present • 26 trades in period

-8.29%
Last Year Return
$14,555.85
Current Value
38%
Win Rate
$15,871.22
Period Start
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PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:19:05

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
18.4 oversold
20d Trend
-19.1%
5d Trend
-12.6%
EMA20 Dist
-11.6%
ATR%
3.8%
Range Pos
1%
Bounce Ratio
0.0×
Green/Red 10d
5/5

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

26
Lifetime
Confidence: 92%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
5.9/35
Total Return
13.9/25
Win Rate
1.8/15
Profit Factor
1.3/15
Consistency
4.8/10
Raw Quality 27.7/100
× Confidence 0.92 = 25.5

30-Day Momentum

0
+0.1%
30d Return
33%
Win Rate
3
Trades
1.0×
Profit Factor
Quality: 0.8 Conf: 0.61×
Declining (-25 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (92%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Year)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
22,443
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-09-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
264 days
Data Gaps
None (10 market holidays)

Market Closed (10 days)

2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Year)

Period Start Capital
$15,871.22
Current Value
$14,555.85
Period P&L
$-1,315.35
Max Drawdown
-27.2%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.01

Trade Statistics (Last Year)

Trades in Period
26
Winners / Losers
10 / 16
Best Trade
+16.63%
Worst Trade
-5.10%
Avg Trade Return
-0.06%
Avg Hold Time
7.5d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$747,370.83
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-1,315.35
Net P&L (after fees)
$-1,315.35
Gross Return
-8.29%
Net Return (after fees)
-8.29%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 PANW Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 264 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Year - 26 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Victor Volume had $15,871.22 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Sep 11, 2025 3:35pm ET $198.00 79 $15,642.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 2, 2025 3:35pm ET $208.82 79 $16,496.78 $16,550.59 +$854.78
(+5.5%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
2 🟢 BUY Oct 6, 2025 9:30am ET $211.40 78 $16,488.81 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 27, 2025 9:30am ET $219.50 78 $17,121.00 $17,182.78 +$632.19
(+3.8%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
3 🟢 BUY Oct 28, 2025 9:30am ET $222.62 77 $17,141.74 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 4, 2025 11:40am ET $213.48 77 $16,437.58 $16,478.62 $-704.17
(-4.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
7.1d held
4 🟢 BUY Nov 5, 2025 3:50pm ET $213.36 77 $16,428.34 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 13, 2025 1:05pm ET $204.80 77 $15,769.60 $15,819.88 $-658.73
(-4.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
7.9d held
5 🟢 BUY Nov 14, 2025 3:50pm ET $205.09 77 $15,791.93 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 20, 2025 10:00am ET $196.23 77 $15,109.33 $15,137.28 $-682.61
(-4.3%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
5.8d held
6 🟢 BUY Nov 24, 2025 11:20am ET $185.60 81 $15,033.96 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 15, 2025 11:20am ET $188.49 81 $15,267.69 $15,371.01 +$233.73
(+1.6%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
7 🟢 BUY Dec 17, 2025 9:30am ET $187.91 81 $15,220.71 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 2, 2026 10:10am ET $180.19 81 $14,595.35 $14,745.65 $-625.36
(-4.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
16d held
8 🟢 BUY Jan 5, 2026 3:40pm ET $182.36 80 $14,588.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 26, 2026 3:40pm ET $184.44 80 $14,755.20 $14,912.05 +$166.40
(+1.1%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
9 🟢 BUY Jan 27, 2026 3:50pm ET $183.70 81 $14,879.30 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 29, 2026 9:55am ET $175.30 81 $14,199.30 $14,232.06 $-679.99
(-4.6%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1.8d held
10 🟢 BUY Jan 30, 2026 3:55pm ET $177.04 80 $14,163.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 3, 2026 9:50am ET $169.27 80 $13,541.60 $13,610.46 $-621.60
(-4.4%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
3.7d held
11 🟢 BUY Feb 4, 2026 3:20pm ET $166.73 81 $13,505.13 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 5, 2026 1:10pm ET $159.88 81 $12,950.28 $13,055.61 $-554.85
(-4.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
21.8h held
12 🟢 BUY Feb 6, 2026 3:50pm ET $159.45 81 $12,915.45 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 12:30pm ET $167.26 81 $13,548.06 $13,688.22 +$632.61
(+4.9%) 		📅 Sim Ended
3.9d held
13 🟢 BUY Mar 18, 2026 12:05pm ET $169.27 80 $13,541.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 24, 2026 9:30am ET $162.00 80 $12,960.00 $13,106.62 $-581.60
(-4.3%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
5.9d held
14 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 3:10pm ET $295.01 44 $12,980.22 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 3, 2026 9:30am ET $279.96 44 $12,318.24 $12,444.64 $-661.98
(-5.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
18.3h held
15 🟢 BUY Jun 4, 2026 9:30am ET $273.93 45 $12,327.07 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 9, 2026 9:35am ET $260.95 45 $11,742.75 $11,860.32 $-584.32
(-4.7%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
5d held
16 🟢 BUY Jun 22, 2026 9:30am ET $289.79 40 $11,591.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 29, 2026 9:35am ET $316.31 40 $12,652.40 $12,921.12 +$1,060.80
(+9.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
7d held
17 🟢 BUY Jun 22, 2026 9:30am ET $289.79 40 $11,591.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 6, 2026 9:30am ET $337.99 40 $13,519.60 $14,849.12 +$1,928.00
(+16.6%) 		🎯 +5% Target
14d held
18 🟢 BUY Jul 10, 2026 3:50pm ET $326.32 45 $14,684.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 14, 2026 11:35am ET $353.24 45 $15,895.80 $16,060.52 +$1,211.40
(+8.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
3.8d held
19 🟢 BUY Jul 16, 2026 3:50pm ET $352.94 45 $15,882.30 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 21, 2026 10:15am ET $338.44 45 $15,229.80 $15,408.02 $-652.50
(-4.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
4.8d held
20 🟢 BUY Jul 22, 2026 1:15pm ET $338.34 45 $15,225.30 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 23, 2026 9:40am ET $324.72 45 $14,612.22 $14,794.94 $-613.08
(-4.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
20.4h held
21 🟢 BUY Jul 24, 2026 1:55pm ET $327.48 45 $14,736.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 28, 2026 9:30am ET $311.00 45 $13,995.12 $14,053.46 $-741.48
(-5.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
3.8d held
22 🟢 BUY Jul 29, 2026 9:30am ET $321.23 43 $13,812.68 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 3, 2026 3:50pm ET $347.32 43 $14,934.76 $15,175.55 +$1,122.09
(+8.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
5.3d held
23 🟢 BUY Aug 18, 2026 12:45pm ET $373.99 40 $14,959.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 19, 2026 10:05am ET $358.14 40 $14,325.80 $14,541.75 $-633.80
(-4.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
21.3h held
24 🟢 BUY Aug 24, 2026 9:30am ET $355.43 40 $14,217.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 25, 2026 1:30pm ET $340.29 40 $13,611.60 $13,936.15 $-605.60
(-4.3%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1.2d held
25 🟢 BUY Aug 31, 2026 9:30am ET $380.82 36 $13,709.48 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 1, 2026 9:50am ET $363.11 36 $13,071.78 $13,298.45 $-637.70
(-4.7%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
26 🟢 BUY Sep 3, 2026 11:30am ET $329.91 40 $13,196.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 14, 2026 10:05am ET $361.35 40 $14,453.80 $14,555.85 +$1,257.40
(+9.5%) 		🎯 +5% Target
10.9d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $14,555.85
Net Profit/Loss: +$4,555.85
Total Return: +45.56%
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