Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-24 20:33:55

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
33.4 neutral
20d Trend
-23.4%
5d Trend
-1.8%
EMA20 Dist
-9.2%
ATR%
7.4%
Range Pos
5%
Bounce Ratio
0.4×
Green/Red 10d
5/5

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

3
Lifetime
Confidence: 94%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
3.6/10
Raw Quality 3.5/100
× Confidence 0.94 = 3.3

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (94%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Year)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
24,433
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-09-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
265 days
Data Gaps
None (10 market holidays)

Market Closed (10 days)

2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Year)

Period Start Capital
$16,595.03
Current Value
$7,975.08
Period P&L
$-8,619.95
Max Drawdown
-42.4%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.30

Trade Statistics (Last Year)

Trades in Period
37
Winners / Losers
8 / 29
Best Trade
+12.41%
Worst Trade
-8.31%
Avg Trade Return
-1.77%
Avg Hold Time
5.8d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$825,700.23
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-8,619.95
Net P&L (after fees)
$-8,619.95
Gross Return
-51.94%
Net Return (after fees)
-51.94%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 RBLX Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 265 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Year - 37 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Victor Volume had $16,595.03 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Sep 12, 2025 2:20pm ET $134.42 123 $16,533.66 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 3, 2025 9:30am ET $125.86 123 $15,480.78 $15,574.13 $-1,052.88
(-6.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
20.8d held
2 🟢 BUY Oct 6, 2025 3:50pm ET $126.14 123 $15,514.61 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 14, 2025 11:40am ET $136.79 123 $16,825.17 $16,884.70 +$1,310.57
(+8.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
7.8d held
3 🟢 BUY Oct 15, 2025 3:45pm ET $137.97 122 $16,832.34 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 17, 2025 11:10am ET $132.42 122 $16,155.24 $16,207.60 $-677.10
(-4.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.8d held
4 🟢 BUY Oct 20, 2025 12:45pm ET $133.06 121 $16,100.26 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 22, 2025 10:45am ET $127.70 121 $15,451.70 $15,559.04 $-648.56
(-4.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9d held
5 🟢 BUY Oct 23, 2025 2:55pm ET $129.64 120 $15,556.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 30, 2025 9:30am ET $120.53 120 $14,463.60 $14,465.84 $-1,093.20
(-7.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6.8d held
6 🟢 BUY Oct 31, 2025 3:20pm ET $113.21 127 $14,377.04 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 3, 2025 10:05am ET $108.02 127 $13,717.91 $13,806.71 $-659.13
(-4.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.8d held
7 🟢 BUY Nov 4, 2025 3:50pm ET $103.84 132 $13,707.14 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 13, 2025 12:55pm ET $99.49 132 $13,132.02 $13,231.58 $-575.12
(-4.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
8.9d held
8 🟢 BUY Nov 14, 2025 1:30pm ET $102.43 129 $13,212.83 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 19, 2025 9:30am ET $97.50 129 $12,577.50 $12,596.26 $-635.33
(-4.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.8d held
9 🟢 BUY Nov 20, 2025 3:50pm ET $91.79 137 $12,574.55 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 24, 2025 9:40am ET $87.63 137 $12,005.31 $12,027.02 $-569.24
(-4.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.7d held
10 🟢 BUY Nov 25, 2025 2:55pm ET $90.28 133 $12,007.24 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 5, 2025 10:25am ET $97.73 133 $12,998.09 $13,017.87 +$990.85
(+8.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
9.8d held
11 🟢 BUY Dec 8, 2025 3:20pm ET $96.96 134 $12,991.97 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 12, 2025 9:30am ET $91.67 134 $12,283.78 $12,309.68 $-708.19
(-5.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.8d held
12 🟢 BUY Dec 15, 2025 3:05pm ET $87.63 140 $12,268.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 18, 2025 3:30pm ET $84.03 140 $11,764.20 $11,805.68 $-504.00
(-4.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held
13 🟢 BUY Dec 19, 2025 3:50pm ET $81.43 144 $11,725.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 6, 2026 9:30am ET $77.54 144 $11,165.76 $11,246.24 $-559.44
(-4.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
17.7d held
14 🟢 BUY Jan 7, 2026 10:10am ET $75.82 148 $11,221.36 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 8, 2026 10:50am ET $72.51 148 $10,731.48 $10,756.36 $-489.88
(-4.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
15 🟢 BUY Jan 9, 2026 3:20pm ET $72.39 148 $10,713.72 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 13, 2026 9:30am ET $78.37 148 $11,598.76 $11,641.40 +$885.04
(+8.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.8d held
16 🟢 BUY Jan 14, 2026 3:55pm ET $82.85 140 $11,599.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 16, 2026 10:20am ET $89.89 140 $12,583.90 $12,626.30 +$984.90
(+8.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.8d held
17 🟢 BUY Jan 20, 2026 3:35pm ET $78.62 160 $12,579.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 21, 2026 11:40am ET $75.31 160 $12,049.60 $12,096.70 $-529.60
(-4.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
20.1h held
18 🟢 BUY Jan 22, 2026 3:30pm ET $74.62 162 $12,087.63 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 26, 2026 10:05am ET $71.35 162 $11,557.89 $11,566.96 $-529.74
(-4.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.8d held
19 🟢 BUY Jan 27, 2026 1:45pm ET $72.92 158 $11,520.59 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 30, 2026 10:15am ET $69.36 158 $10,958.09 $11,004.47 $-562.50
(-4.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.9d held
20 🟢 BUY Feb 2, 2026 2:05pm ET $69.01 159 $10,972.59 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 3, 2026 9:30am ET $65.32 159 $10,386.28 $10,418.15 $-586.31
(-5.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
19.4h held
21 🟢 BUY Feb 4, 2026 1:45pm ET $63.69 163 $10,381.47 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 5, 2026 2:30pm ET $60.91 163 $9,928.33 $9,965.01 $-453.14
(-4.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
22 🟢 BUY Feb 6, 2026 3:40pm ET $66.93 148 $9,906.38 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 9:50am ET $72.63 148 $10,749.24 $10,807.87 +$842.86
(+8.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.8d held
23 🟢 BUY Feb 11, 2026 9:30am ET $72.73 148 $10,764.04 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 11, 2026 10:05am ET $69.05 148 $10,219.40 $10,263.23 $-544.64
(-5.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
35m held
24 🟢 BUY Feb 17, 2026 2:55pm ET $63.39 161 $10,205.79 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 20, 2026 12:15pm ET $60.78 161 $9,784.78 $9,842.22 $-421.01
(-4.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.9d held
25 🟢 BUY Feb 26, 2026 9:30am ET $68.97 142 $9,793.98 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 2, 2026 11:20am ET $65.84 142 $9,349.28 $9,397.52 $-444.70
(-4.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.1d held
26 🟢 BUY Mar 5, 2026 9:30am ET $68.26 137 $9,351.62 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 5, 2026 12:45pm ET $65.50 137 $8,973.50 $9,019.40 $-378.12
(-4.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.3h held
27 🟢 BUY Mar 25, 2026 9:30am ET $57.27 157 $8,991.39 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 26, 2026 12:00pm ET $54.87 157 $8,614.59 $8,642.60 $-376.80
(-4.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held
28 🟢 BUY Apr 28, 2026 9:30am ET $57.25 150 $8,587.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 9:30am ET $54.53 150 $8,180.25 $8,235.35 $-407.25
(-4.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
29 🟢 BUY May 27, 2026 9:30am ET $46.30 177 $8,195.10 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 2, 2026 3:00pm ET $44.44 177 $7,865.88 $7,906.13 $-329.22
(-4.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6.2d held
30 🟢 BUY May 27, 2026 9:30am ET $46.30 177 $8,195.10 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 4, 2026 10:05am ET $44.41 177 $7,860.57 $7,571.60 $-334.53
(-4.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
8d held
31 🟢 BUY Jun 5, 2026 12:10pm ET $41.61 181 $7,531.41 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 15, 2026 10:20am ET $45.03 181 $8,150.43 $8,190.62 +$619.02
(+8.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
9.9d held
32 🟢 BUY Jun 25, 2026 3:50pm ET $46.48 176 $8,180.48 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 29, 2026 9:30am ET $52.25 176 $9,196.00 $9,206.14 +$1,015.52
(+12.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.7d held
33 🟢 BUY Jun 30, 2026 9:30am ET $54.90 167 $9,168.28 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 17, 2026 9:30am ET $52.36 167 $8,744.12 $8,781.98 $-424.16
(-4.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
17d held
34 🟢 BUY Jul 20, 2026 11:20am ET $54.28 161 $8,739.08 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 22, 2026 9:30am ET $51.26 161 $8,252.86 $8,295.76 $-486.22
(-5.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9d held
35 🟢 BUY Jun 30, 2026 9:30am ET $54.90 167 $9,168.28 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 30, 2026 9:30am ET $50.34 167 $8,406.78 $7,534.26 $-761.50
(-8.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
30d held
36 🟢 BUY Aug 18, 2026 1:00pm ET $38.51 195 $7,508.48 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 3, 2026 9:30am ET $43.19 195 $8,421.08 $8,446.86 +$912.60
(+12.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
15.9d held
37 🟢 BUY Sep 22, 2026 12:00pm ET $50.37 167 $8,411.79 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 24, 2026 2:25pm ET $47.54 167 $7,940.01 $7,975.08 $-471.78
(-5.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.1d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $7,975.08
Net Profit/Loss: $-2,024.92
Total Return: -20.25%
Back to Victor Volume