RIOT Victor Volume's Analysis
Last Year: 2025-09-25 to present • 54 trades in period
-1.75%
Last Year Return
$11,264.65
Current Value
35%
Win Rate
$11,464.96
Period Start
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.
Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
28.4 oversold
20d Trend
-31.1%
5d Trend
-24.1%
EMA20 Dist
-22.9%
ATR%
11.0%
Range Pos
5%
Bounce Ratio
0.4×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026
14
Lifetime
Confidence: 94%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
0.7/35
Total Return
9.4/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.2/15
Consistency
4.7/10
Raw Quality
15.1/100
× Confidence 0.94
= 14.1
30-Day Momentum
32
+11.4%
30d Return
67%
Win Rate
3
Trades
1.8×
Profit Factor
Quality: 52.6
Conf: 0.61×
Accelerating (+18 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (94%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last Year)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
28,175
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-09-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
265 days
Data Gaps
None (10 market holidays)
Market Closed (10 days)
2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last Year)
Period Start Capital
$11,464.96
Current Value
$11,264.65
Period P&L
$-200.36
Max Drawdown
-60.3%
Sharpe Ratio
0.03
Trade Statistics (Last Year)
Trades in Period
54
Winners / Losers
19 /
35
Best Trade
+16.37%
Worst Trade
-6.36%
Avg Trade Return
+0.17%
Avg Hold Time
1.9d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,253,238.42
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-200.36
Net P&L (after fees)
$-200.36
Gross Return
-1.75%
Net Return (after fees)
-1.75%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 RIOT Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 265 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last Year - 54 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Victor Volume had $11,464.96 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 25, 2025 2:05pm ET | $16.50 | 694 | $11,451.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 29, 2025 9:30am ET | $18.24 | 694 | $12,658.56 | $12,672.58 |
+$1,207.56 (+10.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3.8d held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 30, 2025 2:20pm ET | $19.00 | 667 | $12,669.67 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 3, 2025 11:40am ET | $20.53 | 667 | $13,693.51 | $13,696.43 |
+$1,023.85 (+8.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.9d held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 6, 2025 3:55pm ET | $21.55 | 635 | $13,684.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 7, 2025 11:05am ET | $20.67 | 635 | $13,123.04 | $13,135.21 |
$-561.21 (-4.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
19.2h held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 8, 2025 12:15pm ET | $21.60 | 608 | $13,132.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 10, 2025 9:35am ET | $23.88 | 608 | $14,516.00 | $14,518.41 |
+$1,383.20 (+10.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 13, 2025 3:50pm ET | $21.61 | 671 | $14,500.31 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 14, 2025 9:30am ET | $20.53 | 671 | $13,775.63 | $13,793.73 |
$-724.68 (-5.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
17.7h held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 15, 2025 3:55pm ET | $22.12 | 623 | $13,780.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 16, 2025 9:50am ET | $21.19 | 623 | $13,198.26 | $13,211.23 |
$-582.51 (-4.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
17.9h held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 17, 2025 2:25pm ET | $20.10 | 657 | $13,206.36 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 20, 2025 9:50am ET | $21.76 | 657 | $14,296.32 | $14,301.19 |
+$1,089.96 (+8.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.8d held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 21, 2025 3:50pm ET | $20.66 | 692 | $14,293.26 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 22, 2025 10:20am ET | $19.77 | 692 | $13,680.84 | $13,688.77 |
$-612.42 (-4.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
18.5h held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 23, 2025 11:35am ET | $20.50 | 667 | $13,673.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 27, 2025 9:55am ET | $22.16 | 667 | $14,780.72 | $14,795.99 |
+$1,107.22 (+8.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3.9d held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 28, 2025 12:30pm ET | $22.76 | 650 | $14,790.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 28, 2025 3:15pm ET | $21.83 | 650 | $14,186.25 | $14,191.49 |
$-604.50 (-4.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.8h held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 30, 2025 12:05pm ET | $21.09 | 672 | $14,172.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 31, 2025 9:35am ET | $20.06 | 672 | $13,480.32 | $13,499.33 |
$-692.16 (-4.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
21.5h held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 3, 2025 9:35am ET | $21.20 | 636 | $13,483.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 3, 2025 10:40am ET | $20.32 | 636 | $12,920.34 | $12,936.47 |
$-562.86 (-4.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1h held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 5, 2025 9:50am ET | $19.48 | 664 | $12,931.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 5, 2025 12:45pm ET | $18.59 | 664 | $12,343.16 | $12,348.23 |
$-588.24 (-4.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.9h held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 6, 2025 3:50pm ET | $17.41 | 709 | $12,343.69 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 7, 2025 9:30am ET | $16.45 | 709 | $11,659.51 | $11,664.05 |
$-684.19 (-5.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
17.7h held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 10, 2025 2:00pm ET | $17.41 | 669 | $11,647.29 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 11, 2025 9:30am ET | $16.64 | 669 | $11,131.16 | $11,147.92 |
$-516.13 (-4.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
19.5h held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 12, 2025 3:30pm ET | $15.42 | 723 | $11,145.05 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 13, 2025 9:35am ET | $14.79 | 723 | $10,689.56 | $10,692.43 |
$-455.49 (-4.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
18.1h held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 14, 2025 9:35am ET | $13.20 | 810 | $10,692.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 14, 2025 11:30am ET | $14.29 | 810 | $11,573.69 | $11,574.11 |
+$881.69 (+8.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.9h held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 17, 2025 3:40pm ET | $13.65 | 847 | $11,565.62 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 19, 2025 2:15pm ET | $13.10 | 847 | $11,092.14 | $11,100.64 |
$-473.47 (-4.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9d held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 20, 2025 3:50pm ET | $12.83 | 865 | $11,097.95 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 21, 2025 10:25am ET | $12.29 | 865 | $10,630.85 | $10,633.54 |
$-467.10 (-4.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
18.6h held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 24, 2025 1:45pm ET | $13.85 | 767 | $10,623.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 25, 2025 9:40am ET | $13.25 | 767 | $10,163.29 | $10,173.11 |
$-460.43 (-4.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
19.9h held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 26, 2025 12:45pm ET | $14.79 | 687 | $10,160.73 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 28, 2025 9:35am ET | $16.02 | 687 | $11,005.74 | $11,018.12 |
+$845.01 (+8.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 1, 2025 3:05pm ET | $15.72 | 700 | $11,004.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 3, 2025 9:30am ET | $14.96 | 700 | $10,472.00 | $10,486.12 |
$-532.00 (-4.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.8d held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 4, 2025 9:30am ET | $15.55 | 674 | $10,480.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 5, 2025 11:05am ET | $14.86 | 674 | $10,018.61 | $10,024.02 |
$-462.09 (-4.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 8, 2025 3:50pm ET | $14.98 | 669 | $10,018.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 12, 2025 9:50am ET | $16.23 | 669 | $10,857.87 | $10,863.62 |
+$839.60 (+8.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3.8d held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 15, 2025 1:55pm ET | $13.88 | 782 | $10,850.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 16, 2025 10:05am ET | $13.30 | 782 | $10,400.60 | $10,413.97 |
$-449.65 (-4.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
20.2h held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 17, 2025 3:45pm ET | $12.97 | 803 | $10,410.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 19, 2025 9:40am ET | $14.03 | 803 | $11,266.09 | $11,269.16 |
+$855.20 (+8.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.7d held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 22, 2025 1:40pm ET | $14.57 | 773 | $11,258.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 23, 2025 10:00am ET | $13.97 | 773 | $10,794.95 | $10,805.36 |
$-463.80 (-4.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
20.3h held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 24, 2025 12:00pm ET | $13.82 | 782 | $10,803.33 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 29, 2025 11:50am ET | $13.26 | 782 | $10,369.32 | $10,371.35 |
$-434.01 (-4.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5d held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 30, 2025 2:20pm ET | $13.10 | 792 | $10,371.24 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 2, 2026 1:25pm ET | $14.15 | 792 | $11,202.84 | $11,202.95 |
+$831.60 (+8.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3d held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 5, 2026 3:00pm ET | $14.84 | 755 | $11,200.43 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 9, 2026 10:30am ET | $16.03 | 755 | $12,098.88 | $12,101.40 |
+$898.45 (+8.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3.8d held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 12, 2026 11:30am ET | $15.65 | 773 | $12,093.59 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 14, 2026 9:30am ET | $16.98 | 773 | $13,125.54 | $13,133.36 |
+$1,031.96 (+8.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 16, 2026 9:30am ET | $17.97 | 730 | $13,118.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 21, 2026 12:05pm ET | $17.24 | 730 | $12,581.55 | $12,596.81 |
$-536.55 (-4.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5.1d held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 22, 2026 3:50pm ET | $17.03 | 739 | $12,585.17 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 26, 2026 2:55pm ET | $16.35 | 739 | $12,078.96 | $12,090.59 |
$-506.22 (-4.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 27, 2026 3:55pm ET | $17.56 | 688 | $12,081.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 29, 2026 9:55am ET | $16.68 | 688 | $11,472.40 | $11,481.71 |
$-608.88 (-5.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.8d held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 30, 2026 1:55pm ET | $15.61 | 735 | $11,473.35 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 3, 2026 1:40pm ET | $14.93 | 735 | $10,973.55 | $10,981.91 |
$-499.80 (-4.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 4, 2026 2:20pm ET | $13.61 | 806 | $10,973.69 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 5, 2026 10:10am ET | $13.02 | 806 | $10,498.15 | $10,506.37 |
$-475.54 (-4.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
19.8h held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 6, 2026 1:50pm ET | $14.35 | 732 | $10,500.54 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 10, 2026 12:30pm ET | $15.16 | 732 | $11,097.12 | $11,102.95 |
+$596.58 (+5.7%) |
📅 Sim Ended
3.9d held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 26, 2026 9:30am ET | $17.12 | 648 | $11,093.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 27, 2026 11:10am ET | $16.37 | 648 | $10,610.55 | $10,619.74 |
$-483.21 (-4.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 15, 2026 9:35am ET | $17.58 | 604 | $10,618.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 15, 2026 11:35am ET | $16.84 | 604 | $10,172.21 | $10,173.63 |
$-446.11 (-4.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2h held |
|
| 40 | 🟢 BUY | May 5, 2026 9:30am ET | $19.40 | 524 | $10,162.98 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $22.57 | 524 | $11,826.68 | $11,837.33 |
+$1,663.70 (+16.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1d held |
|
| 41 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 2, 2026 3:55pm ET | $27.34 | 432 | $11,810.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 5, 2026 9:30am ET | $25.77 | 432 | $11,134.54 | $11,160.99 |
$-676.34 (-5.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.7d held |
|
| 42 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 16, 2026 9:30am ET | $27.86 | 400 | $11,146.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 22, 2026 9:50am ET | $30.21 | 400 | $12,084.00 | $12,098.99 |
+$938.00 (+8.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
6d held |
|
| 43 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 25, 2026 1:15pm ET | $27.39 | 441 | $12,078.99 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 29, 2026 10:10am ET | $26.28 | 441 | $11,591.68 | $11,611.69 |
$-487.30 (-4.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.9d held |
|
| 44 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 30, 2026 10:25am ET | $27.30 | 425 | $11,600.38 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 1, 2026 9:30am ET | $25.56 | 425 | $10,863.00 | $10,874.31 |
$-737.38 (-6.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
23.1h held |
|
| 45 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 2, 2026 9:35am ET | $23.62 | 460 | $10,865.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 2, 2026 11:15am ET | $22.57 | 460 | $10,382.80 | $10,391.91 |
$-482.40 (-4.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.7h held |
|
| 46 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 10, 2026 2:30pm ET | $21.27 | 488 | $10,382.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 13, 2026 9:40am ET | $20.30 | 488 | $9,903.96 | $9,913.67 |
$-478.24 (-4.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.8d held |
|
| 47 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 14, 2026 3:20pm ET | $20.06 | 494 | $9,907.17 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 16, 2026 9:40am ET | $19.03 | 494 | $9,400.82 | $9,407.32 |
$-506.35 (-5.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.8d held |
|
| 48 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 17, 2026 12:25pm ET | $18.63 | 504 | $9,389.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 21, 2026 9:30am ET | $20.34 | 504 | $10,253.88 | $10,271.68 |
+$864.36 (+9.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3.9d held |
|
| 49 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 22, 2026 10:10am ET | $22.74 | 451 | $10,255.83 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 23, 2026 9:40am ET | $24.63 | 451 | $11,108.13 | $11,123.98 |
+$852.30 (+8.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
23.5h held |
|
| 50 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 24, 2026 3:50pm ET | $22.57 | 492 | $11,104.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 27, 2026 10:30am ET | $21.49 | 492 | $10,570.62 | $10,590.16 |
$-533.82 (-4.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.8d held |
|
| 51 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 28, 2026 3:30pm ET | $21.42 | 494 | $10,581.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 29, 2026 9:45am ET | $20.46 | 494 | $10,107.24 | $10,115.92 |
$-474.24 (-4.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
18.3h held |
|
| 52 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 21, 2026 3:50pm ET | $19.87 | 509 | $10,115.66 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 25, 2026 12:00pm ET | $21.50 | 509 | $10,943.50 | $10,943.76 |
+$827.84 (+8.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3.8d held |
|
| 53 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 31, 2026 12:40pm ET | $18.45 | 593 | $10,940.85 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $17.56 | 593 | $10,410.12 | $10,413.02 |
$-530.74 (-4.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9d held |
|
| 54 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 3, 2026 9:30am ET | $18.80 | 553 | $10,396.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 3, 2026 11:00am ET | $20.34 | 553 | $11,248.02 | $11,264.65 |
+$851.62 (+8.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.5h held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$11,264.65
Net Profit/Loss:
+$1,264.65
Total Return:
+12.65%