SMCI Victor Volume's Analysis
Last Year: 2025-09-24 to present • 35 trades in period
-12.75%
Last Year Return
$7,986.93
Current Value
31%
Win Rate
$9,154.00
Period Start
PHASE 0: RANGING
No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.
Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
45.9 neutral
20d Trend
+4.5%
5d Trend
+2.6%
EMA20 Dist
-2.9%
ATR%
6.5%
Range Pos
8%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
5/5
Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026
5
Lifetime
Confidence: 94%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
5.0/10
Raw Quality
5.0/100
× Confidence 0.94
= 4.7
30-Day Momentum
Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (94%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last Year)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
29,611
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-09-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
266 days
Data Gaps
None (10 market holidays)
Market Closed (10 days)
2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last Year)
Period Start Capital
$9,154.00
Current Value
$7,986.93
Period P&L
$-1,167.02
Max Drawdown
-70.3%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.01
Trade Statistics (Last Year)
Trades in Period
35
Winners / Losers
11 /
24
Best Trade
+22.22%
Worst Trade
-7.68%
Avg Trade Return
-0.11%
Avg Hold Time
3.7d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$577,333.70
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-1,167.02
Net P&L (after fees)
$-1,167.02
Gross Return
-12.75%
Net Return (after fees)
-12.75%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 SMCI Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 266 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last Year - 35 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Victor Volume had $9,154.00 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 23, 2025 1:45pm ET | $46.32 | 194 | $8,986.06 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 25, 2025 9:40am ET | $44.28 | 194 | $8,590.32 | $8,593.30 |
$-395.74 (-4.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.8d held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 26, 2025 3:55pm ET | $45.80 | 187 | $8,564.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 1, 2025 11:20am ET | $49.51 | 187 | $9,258.61 | $9,287.31 |
+$694.01 (+8.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4.8d held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 2, 2025 3:20pm ET | $52.59 | 176 | $9,255.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 7, 2025 9:30am ET | $56.95 | 176 | $10,022.32 | $10,053.79 |
+$766.48 (+8.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4.8d held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 8, 2025 9:55am ET | $55.79 | 180 | $10,042.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 10, 2025 1:00pm ET | $53.42 | 180 | $9,616.14 | $9,627.73 |
$-426.06 (-4.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.1d held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 14, 2025 3:45pm ET | $53.23 | 180 | $9,580.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 22, 2025 11:20am ET | $50.74 | 180 | $9,132.30 | $9,179.53 |
$-448.20 (-4.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
7.8d held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 23, 2025 3:50pm ET | $47.82 | 191 | $9,133.58 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 28, 2025 9:30am ET | $52.32 | 191 | $9,993.12 | $10,039.07 |
+$859.54 (+9.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4.7d held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 29, 2025 2:40pm ET | $51.89 | 193 | $10,014.29 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 4, 2025 9:30am ET | $47.90 | 193 | $9,244.70 | $9,269.48 |
$-769.59 (-7.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5.8d held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 5, 2025 9:30am ET | $45.29 | 204 | $9,239.16 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 5, 2025 10:25am ET | $43.45 | 204 | $8,863.84 | $8,894.16 |
$-375.32 (-4.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
54m held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 6, 2025 3:50pm ET | $40.46 | 219 | $8,859.65 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 7, 2025 10:40am ET | $38.76 | 219 | $8,488.46 | $8,522.98 |
$-371.18 (-4.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
18.8h held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 11, 2025 3:45pm ET | $38.97 | 218 | $8,495.46 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 13, 2025 9:30am ET | $37.14 | 218 | $8,096.52 | $8,124.04 |
$-398.94 (-4.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.7d held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 14, 2025 3:50pm ET | $36.37 | 223 | $8,110.51 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 17, 2025 10:05am ET | $34.85 | 223 | $7,771.55 | $7,785.08 |
$-338.96 (-4.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.8d held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 18, 2025 12:55pm ET | $35.12 | 221 | $7,760.42 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 19, 2025 12:15pm ET | $33.68 | 221 | $7,442.18 | $7,466.84 |
$-318.24 (-4.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
23.3h held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 20, 2025 1:55pm ET | $32.16 | 232 | $7,461.12 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 5, 2025 3:15pm ET | $34.74 | 232 | $8,059.91 | $8,065.63 |
+$598.79 (+8.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
15.1d held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 8, 2025 3:55pm ET | $35.38 | 227 | $8,031.26 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 11, 2025 9:30am ET | $33.74 | 227 | $7,659.00 | $7,693.37 |
$-372.26 (-4.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.7d held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 12, 2025 9:35am ET | $34.42 | 223 | $7,675.66 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 12, 2025 10:55am ET | $32.86 | 223 | $7,327.76 | $7,345.47 |
$-347.90 (-4.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.3h held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 16, 2025 9:30am ET | $31.54 | 232 | $7,316.12 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 17, 2025 10:50am ET | $30.27 | 232 | $7,022.64 | $7,051.99 |
$-293.48 (-4.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 18, 2025 2:45pm ET | $29.43 | 239 | $7,033.67 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 5, 2026 9:30am ET | $31.85 | 239 | $7,612.15 | $7,630.47 |
+$578.48 (+8.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
17.8d held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 6, 2026 2:45pm ET | $29.96 | 254 | $7,608.57 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 13, 2026 9:50am ET | $28.56 | 254 | $7,252.97 | $7,274.87 |
$-355.60 (-4.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
6.8d held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 14, 2026 3:55pm ET | $28.28 | 257 | $7,266.68 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 16, 2026 9:40am ET | $30.67 | 257 | $7,880.91 | $7,889.10 |
+$614.23 (+8.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.7d held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 20, 2026 3:50pm ET | $31.33 | 251 | $7,863.83 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 27, 2026 9:35am ET | $30.02 | 251 | $7,535.02 | $7,560.29 |
$-328.81 (-4.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
6.7d held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 28, 2026 10:05am ET | $32.15 | 235 | $7,555.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 29, 2026 9:30am ET | $30.48 | 235 | $7,162.80 | $7,167.84 |
$-392.45 (-5.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
23.4h held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 30, 2026 3:40pm ET | $29.15 | 245 | $7,140.77 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 4, 2026 9:30am ET | $33.56 | 245 | $8,222.20 | $8,249.27 |
+$1,081.43 (+15.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4.7d held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 5, 2026 12:35pm ET | $30.85 | 267 | $8,236.95 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 6, 2026 10:25am ET | $33.34 | 267 | $8,901.81 | $8,914.12 |
+$664.86 (+8.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
21.8h held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 9, 2026 2:30pm ET | $33.87 | 263 | $8,907.81 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 10, 2026 12:30pm ET | $34.02 | 263 | $8,947.26 | $8,953.57 |
+$39.45 (+0.4%) |
📅 Sim Ended
22h held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 3, 2026 3:50pm ET | $47.22 | 189 | $8,925.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 4, 2026 9:55am ET | $45.31 | 189 | $8,562.65 | $8,590.69 |
$-362.88 (-4.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
18.1h held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 5, 2026 3:25pm ET | $42.06 | 204 | $8,581.26 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 9, 2026 11:30am ET | $40.38 | 204 | $8,237.52 | $8,246.95 |
$-343.74 (-4.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.8d held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 25, 2026 3:55pm ET | $31.70 | 260 | $8,242.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 26, 2026 3:00pm ET | $30.36 | 260 | $7,893.63 | $7,898.58 |
$-348.37 (-4.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
23.1h held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 30, 2026 9:30am ET | $28.52 | 276 | $7,871.55 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 2, 2026 12:05pm ET | $27.33 | 276 | $7,543.08 | $7,570.11 |
$-328.47 (-4.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.1d held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 13, 2026 9:30am ET | $27.97 | 270 | $7,551.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 15, 2026 11:20am ET | $26.85 | 270 | $7,249.47 | $7,267.68 |
$-302.43 (-4.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.1d held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 20, 2026 12:00pm ET | $24.28 | 299 | $7,259.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 22, 2026 9:30am ET | $29.67 | 299 | $8,872.82 | $8,880.79 |
+$1,613.10 (+22.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $31.35 | 283 | $8,871.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 24, 2026 9:50am ET | $29.94 | 283 | $8,473.30 | $8,482.30 |
$-398.49 (-4.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 27, 2026 3:05pm ET | $29.54 | 287 | $8,477.95 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 28, 2026 9:30am ET | $27.86 | 287 | $7,995.82 | $8,000.16 |
$-482.13 (-5.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
18.4h held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 29, 2026 2:00pm ET | $26.98 | 296 | $7,986.05 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 29, 2026 3:50pm ET | $25.83 | 296 | $7,647.16 | $7,661.27 |
$-338.89 (-4.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.8h held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 21, 2026 3:20pm ET | $37.22 | 205 | $7,630.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 24, 2026 9:35am ET | $35.64 | 205 | $7,305.91 | $7,337.08 |
$-324.19 (-4.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.8d held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 21, 2026 3:20pm ET | $37.22 | 205 | $7,630.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 4, 2026 12:10pm ET | $40.39 | 205 | $8,279.95 | $7,986.93 |
+$649.85 (+8.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
13.9d held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$7,986.93
Net Profit/Loss:
$-2,013.07
Total Return:
-20.13%