SOFI Victor Volume's Analysis
Last Year: 2025-09-24 to present • 36 trades in period
-30.71%
Last Year Return
$25,201.46
Current Value
31%
Win Rate
$36,371.52
Period Start
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.
Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
14.6 oversold
20d Trend
-30.9%
5d Trend
-17.8%
EMA20 Dist
-19.9%
ATR%
6.6%
Range Pos
2%
Bounce Ratio
0.1×
Green/Red 10d
1/9
Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026
39
Lifetime
Confidence: 96%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
15.2/35
Total Return
18.1/25
Win Rate
1.0/15
Profit Factor
1.5/15
Consistency
5.2/10
Raw Quality
40.9/100
× Confidence 0.96
= 39.1
30-Day Momentum
0
-0.4%
30d Return
33%
Win Rate
3
Trades
1.0×
Profit Factor
Quality: 0.0
Conf: 0.61×
Declining (-39 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (96%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last Year)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
29,908
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-09-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
266 days
Data Gaps
None (10 market holidays)
Market Closed (10 days)
2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last Year)
Period Start Capital
$36,371.52
Current Value
$25,201.46
Period P&L
$-11,170.05
Max Drawdown
-35.1%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.14
Trade Statistics (Last Year)
Trades in Period
36
Winners / Losers
11 /
25
Best Trade
+9.46%
Worst Trade
-9.13%
Avg Trade Return
-0.85%
Avg Hold Time
3.7d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$2,319,800.25
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-11,170.05
Net P&L (after fees)
$-11,170.05
Gross Return
-30.71%
Net Return (after fees)
-30.71%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 SOFI Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 266 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last Year - 36 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Victor Volume had $36,371.52 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 19, 2025 3:50pm ET | $29.52 | 1,238 | $36,545.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 25, 2025 9:30am ET | $27.41 | 1,238 | $33,934.45 | $33,958.29 |
$-2,611.31 (-7.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5.7d held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 26, 2025 3:50pm ET | $27.96 | 1,214 | $33,937.37 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 30, 2025 9:45am ET | $26.65 | 1,214 | $32,347.03 | $32,367.95 |
$-1,590.34 (-4.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.7d held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 1, 2025 12:40pm ET | $26.24 | 1,233 | $32,353.92 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 3, 2025 1:20pm ET | $25.18 | 1,233 | $31,052.49 | $31,066.52 |
$-1,301.43 (-4.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 6, 2025 3:50pm ET | $26.44 | 1,174 | $31,045.96 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 7, 2025 10:05am ET | $28.74 | 1,174 | $33,740.64 | $33,761.20 |
+$2,694.68 (+8.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
18.3h held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 8, 2025 3:35pm ET | $28.20 | 1,197 | $33,749.42 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 10, 2025 1:00pm ET | $26.91 | 1,197 | $32,211.15 | $32,222.94 |
$-1,538.26 (-4.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9d held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 14, 2025 9:35am ET | $26.20 | 1,229 | $32,199.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 14, 2025 3:20pm ET | $28.33 | 1,229 | $34,811.43 | $34,834.57 |
+$2,611.63 (+8.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
5.8h held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 15, 2025 3:45pm ET | $28.12 | 1,238 | $34,812.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 16, 2025 12:25pm ET | $26.92 | 1,238 | $33,326.84 | $33,348.97 |
$-1,485.60 (-4.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
20.7h held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 17, 2025 3:10pm ET | $26.80 | 1,244 | $33,339.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 21, 2025 12:40pm ET | $28.95 | 1,244 | $36,013.80 | $36,023.69 |
+$2,674.72 (+8.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3.9d held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 23, 2025 9:40am ET | $27.95 | 1,288 | $35,999.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 28, 2025 9:30am ET | $30.28 | 1,288 | $39,000.64 | $39,024.73 |
+$3,001.04 (+8.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
5d held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 29, 2025 9:30am ET | $31.70 | 1,231 | $39,016.55 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 29, 2025 2:35pm ET | $30.19 | 1,231 | $37,157.74 | $37,165.92 |
$-1,858.81 (-4.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5.1h held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 30, 2025 3:45pm ET | $29.09 | 1,277 | $37,141.55 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 6, 2025 11:45am ET | $27.86 | 1,277 | $35,577.22 | $35,601.59 |
$-1,564.33 (-4.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
6.9d held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 7, 2025 3:50pm ET | $28.01 | 1,271 | $35,594.36 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 10, 2025 12:30pm ET | $30.31 | 1,271 | $38,523.88 | $38,531.12 |
+$2,929.53 (+8.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.9d held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 11, 2025 1:40pm ET | $30.82 | 1,250 | $38,518.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 13, 2025 10:40am ET | $29.54 | 1,250 | $36,925.00 | $36,937.37 |
$-1,593.75 (-4.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9d held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 14, 2025 3:50pm ET | $27.78 | 1,329 | $36,912.98 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 17, 2025 2:35pm ET | $26.60 | 1,329 | $35,344.76 | $35,369.15 |
$-1,568.22 (-4.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 19, 2025 9:30am ET | $26.57 | 1,331 | $35,364.67 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 20, 2025 12:40pm ET | $25.36 | 1,331 | $33,747.51 | $33,751.99 |
$-1,617.17 (-4.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 24, 2025 9:30am ET | $26.31 | 1,282 | $33,729.42 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 26, 2025 9:30am ET | $28.80 | 1,282 | $36,921.60 | $36,944.17 |
+$3,192.18 (+9.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2d held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 28, 2025 12:40pm ET | $29.46 | 1,254 | $36,942.97 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 5, 2025 9:30am ET | $27.32 | 1,254 | $34,259.28 | $34,260.48 |
$-2,683.69 (-7.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
6.9d held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 8, 2025 3:50pm ET | $27.70 | 1,237 | $34,258.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 12, 2025 10:55am ET | $26.59 | 1,237 | $32,886.51 | $32,888.28 |
$-1,372.20 (-4.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.8d held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 16, 2025 9:35am ET | $26.39 | 1,246 | $32,884.18 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 17, 2025 3:25pm ET | $25.32 | 1,246 | $31,542.49 | $31,546.59 |
$-1,341.69 (-4.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.2d held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 19, 2025 9:40am ET | $26.60 | 1,185 | $31,521.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 5, 2026 10:35am ET | $28.84 | 1,185 | $34,169.48 | $34,195.06 |
+$2,648.48 (+8.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
17d held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 6, 2026 3:55pm ET | $26.99 | 1,266 | $34,169.34 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 20, 2026 9:30am ET | $25.78 | 1,266 | $32,631.78 | $32,657.50 |
$-1,537.56 (-4.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
13.7d held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 21, 2026 9:35am ET | $25.43 | 1,284 | $32,645.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 29, 2026 10:30am ET | $24.38 | 1,284 | $31,306.49 | $31,318.29 |
$-1,339.21 (-4.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
8d held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 30, 2026 3:55pm ET | $22.81 | 1,373 | $31,318.13 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 3, 2026 11:15am ET | $21.90 | 1,373 | $30,061.84 | $30,062.00 |
$-1,256.29 (-4.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.8d held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 4, 2026 1:20pm ET | $20.23 | 1,486 | $30,054.35 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 5, 2026 10:10am ET | $19.34 | 1,486 | $28,746.67 | $28,754.32 |
$-1,307.68 (-4.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
20.8h held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 6, 2026 3:00pm ET | $20.67 | 1,390 | $28,738.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 10, 2026 12:30pm ET | $21.65 | 1,390 | $30,086.55 | $30,102.62 |
+$1,348.30 (+4.7%) |
📅 Sim Ended
3.9d held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 26, 2026 9:40am ET | $19.36 | 1,554 | $30,093.21 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $18.12 | 1,554 | $28,161.59 | $28,171.00 |
$-1,931.62 (-6.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
23.8h held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 15, 2026 9:35am ET | $18.35 | 1,534 | $28,156.57 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 17, 2026 9:40am ET | $19.87 | 1,534 | $30,480.58 | $30,495.01 |
+$2,324.01 (+8.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2d held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 4, 2026 9:30am ET | $16.74 | 1,822 | $30,491.17 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 5, 2026 11:25am ET | $16.07 | 1,822 | $29,270.43 | $29,274.27 |
$-1,220.74 (-4.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 26, 2026 9:30am ET | $17.20 | 1,701 | $29,265.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 1, 2026 11:00am ET | $18.60 | 1,701 | $31,647.10 | $31,655.67 |
+$2,381.40 (+8.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
5.1d held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 10, 2026 3:50pm ET | $18.81 | 1,683 | $31,648.82 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 15, 2026 12:10pm ET | $18.03 | 1,683 | $30,352.90 | $30,359.76 |
$-1,295.91 (-4.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4.8d held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 16, 2026 3:55pm ET | $17.33 | 1,752 | $30,353.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 17, 2026 9:30am ET | $16.58 | 1,752 | $29,048.16 | $29,054.52 |
$-1,305.24 (-4.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
17.6h held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 20, 2026 12:20pm ET | $17.28 | 1,680 | $29,038.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 23, 2026 11:00am ET | $16.57 | 1,680 | $27,833.07 | $27,848.78 |
$-1,205.73 (-4.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.9d held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 24, 2026 11:15am ET | $16.65 | 1,673 | $27,847.09 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 29, 2026 9:30am ET | $15.13 | 1,673 | $25,304.13 | $25,305.82 |
$-2,542.96 (-9.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4.9d held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 24, 2026 12:40pm ET | $18.53 | 1,365 | $25,293.45 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 31, 2026 9:35am ET | $17.78 | 1,365 | $24,276.52 | $24,288.89 |
$-1,016.93 (-4.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
6.9d held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $17.10 | 1,419 | $24,271.99 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 3, 2026 9:30am ET | $18.55 | 1,419 | $26,322.59 | $26,339.49 |
+$2,050.60 (+8.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1d held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $18.26 | 1,442 | $26,329.77 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 9, 2026 11:05am ET | $17.47 | 1,442 | $25,191.74 | $25,201.46 |
$-1,138.03 (-4.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$25,201.46
Net Profit/Loss:
+$15,201.46
Total Return:
+152.01%