Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-09-24 20:33:32

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
50.5 neutral
20d Trend
+69.9%
5d Trend
-8.4%
EMA20 Dist
+0.9%
ATR%
11.0%
Range Pos
31%
Bounce Ratio
1.9×
Green/Red 10d
5/5

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

5
Lifetime
Confidence: 94%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
5.0/10
Raw Quality 5.0/100
× Confidence 0.94 = 4.7

30-Day Momentum

0
-15.9%
30d Return
0%
Win Rate
3
Trades
0.6×
Profit Factor
Quality: 0.0 Conf: 0.61×
Cooling (-5 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (94%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Year)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
29,452
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-09-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
251 days
Data Gaps
1 day with gaps

Data Gap Notice

The following dates had fewer candles than expected. This could be due to early market closes, API rate limits during data collection, or low volume periods. Simulation results may be slightly affected.

2025-11-28 (no data)

Market Closed (10 days)

2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Year)

Period Start Capital
$9,536.70
Current Value
$4,843.91
Period P&L
$-4,692.80
Max Drawdown
-75.8%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.13

Trade Statistics (Last Year)

Trades in Period
45
Winners / Losers
16 / 29
Best Trade
+13.39%
Worst Trade
-14.37%
Avg Trade Return
-1.05%
Avg Hold Time
2.4d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$967,923.65
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-4,692.80
Net P&L (after fees)
$-4,692.80
Gross Return
-49.21%
Net Return (after fees)
-49.21%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 SOXL Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 251 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Year - 45 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Victor Volume had $9,536.70 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Sep 19, 2025 9:30am ET $32.86 274 $9,002.27 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 1, 2025 9:30am ET $35.96 274 $9,851.67 $9,855.90 +$849.40
(+9.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
12d held
2 🟢 BUY Oct 2, 2025 9:35am ET $39.09 252 $9,849.45 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 6, 2025 9:30am ET $42.87 252 $10,801.98 $10,808.44 +$952.53
(+9.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
4d held
3 🟢 BUY Oct 7, 2025 10:05am ET $38.91 277 $10,776.85 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 8, 2025 10:05am ET $42.11 277 $11,664.47 $11,696.06 +$887.62
(+8.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
1d held
4 🟢 BUY Oct 9, 2025 10:10am ET $41.47 282 $11,693.13 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 10, 2025 9:30am ET $37.42 282 $10,551.20 $10,554.13 $-1,141.93
(-9.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.3h held
5 🟢 BUY Oct 13, 2025 9:35am ET $38.77 272 $10,545.47 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 14, 2025 11:40am ET $37.10 272 $10,091.20 $10,099.86 $-454.27
(-4.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held
6 🟢 BUY Oct 15, 2025 11:55am ET $40.02 252 $10,085.04 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 22, 2025 9:30am ET $37.06 252 $9,339.12 $9,353.94 $-745.92
(-7.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6.9d held
7 🟢 BUY Oct 23, 2025 9:30am ET $40.89 228 $9,322.76 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 27, 2025 9:30am ET $46.37 228 $10,571.22 $10,602.40 +$1,248.46
(+13.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
4d held
8 🟢 BUY Oct 28, 2025 9:30am ET $47.19 224 $10,570.58 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 4, 2025 9:30am ET $44.47 224 $9,961.30 $9,993.12 $-609.28
(-5.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
7d held
9 🟢 BUY Nov 5, 2025 10:35am ET $48.00 208 $9,982.96 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 6, 2025 9:30am ET $44.54 208 $9,265.26 $9,275.41 $-717.70
(-7.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
22.9h held
10 🟢 BUY Nov 7, 2025 10:50am ET $40.81 227 $9,263.87 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 10, 2025 9:30am ET $45.00 227 $10,213.87 $10,225.41 +$949.99
(+10.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.9d held
11 🟢 BUY Nov 11, 2025 10:30am ET $41.90 244 $10,222.38 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 14, 2025 9:30am ET $39.22 244 $9,568.46 $9,571.49 $-653.92
(-6.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held
12 🟢 BUY Nov 17, 2025 10:45am ET $36.28 263 $9,540.33 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 18, 2025 10:25am ET $34.78 263 $9,146.67 $9,177.83 $-393.66
(-4.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.7h held
13 🟢 BUY Nov 20, 2025 9:35am ET $32.20 285 $9,177.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 20, 2025 10:35am ET $30.85 285 $8,792.25 $8,793.08 $-384.75
(-4.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1h held
14 🟢 BUY Nov 24, 2025 9:35am ET $35.89 245 $8,793.05 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 26, 2025 9:30am ET $39.60 245 $9,700.78 $9,700.81 +$907.73
(+10.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
2d held
15 🟢 BUY Dec 1, 2025 10:50am ET $41.58 233 $9,688.14 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 2, 2025 12:20pm ET $44.96 233 $10,475.68 $10,488.35 +$787.54
(+8.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.1d held
16 🟢 BUY Dec 3, 2025 2:20pm ET $46.28 226 $10,459.28 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 10, 2025 10:35am ET $49.99 226 $11,297.74 $11,326.81 +$838.46
(+8.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
6.8d held
17 🟢 BUY Dec 12, 2025 9:30am ET $42.21 268 $11,312.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 16, 2025 9:30am ET $39.95 268 $10,706.60 $10,721.21 $-605.60
(-5.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held
18 🟢 BUY Dec 17, 2025 10:30am ET $35.96 298 $10,714.59 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 18, 2025 9:30am ET $38.86 298 $11,578.79 $11,585.41 +$864.20
(+8.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
23h held
19 🟢 BUY Dec 19, 2025 10:30am ET $42.32 273 $11,552.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 2, 2026 9:30am ET $47.50 273 $12,966.44 $12,999.85 +$1,414.44
(+12.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
14d held
20 🟢 BUY Jan 5, 2026 10:40am ET $49.12 264 $12,967.68 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 6, 2026 9:30am ET $53.49 264 $14,121.36 $14,153.53 +$1,153.68
(+8.9%)
🎯 +5% Target
22.8h held
21 🟢 BUY Jan 7, 2026 10:30am ET $51.60 274 $14,137.03 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 8, 2026 9:30am ET $49.42 274 $13,539.71 $13,556.21 $-597.32
(-4.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23h held
22 🟢 BUY Jan 9, 2026 10:30am ET $54.50 248 $13,514.91 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 15, 2026 9:30am ET $59.78 248 $14,824.94 $14,866.24 +$1,310.04
(+9.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
6d held
23 🟢 BUY Jan 16, 2026 10:50am ET $60.98 243 $14,818.14 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 20, 2026 9:30am ET $57.43 243 $13,954.28 $14,002.38 $-863.87
(-5.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.9d held
24 🟢 BUY Jan 21, 2026 10:55am ET $63.50 220 $13,970.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 23, 2026 9:30am ET $60.83 220 $13,381.50 $13,413.88 $-588.50
(-4.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9d held
25 🟢 BUY Jan 26, 2026 10:30am ET $60.95 220 $13,408.98 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 27, 2026 10:15am ET $65.93 220 $14,503.50 $14,508.40 +$1,094.52
(+8.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
23.8h held
26 🟢 BUY Jan 29, 2026 9:35am ET $68.48 211 $14,449.28 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 30, 2026 9:30am ET $63.77 211 $13,454.42 $13,513.53 $-994.87
(-6.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.9h held
27 🟢 BUY Feb 2, 2026 3:00pm ET $65.36 206 $13,463.13 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 3, 2026 9:55am ET $61.43 206 $12,654.42 $12,704.82 $-808.72
(-6.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
18.9h held
28 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 9:30am ET $51.49 246 $12,666.54 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 6, 2026 9:30am ET $57.49 246 $14,143.77 $14,182.05 +$1,477.23
(+11.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
1d held
29 🟢 BUY Feb 9, 2026 9:30am ET $60.40 234 $14,133.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 12:30pm ET $64.51 234 $15,096.51 $15,144.96 +$962.91
(+6.8%)
📅 Sim Ended
1.1d held
30 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 3:00pm ET $261.57 57 $14,909.49 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 3, 2026 10:25am ET $282.77 57 $16,117.88 $16,353.35 +$1,208.39
(+8.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
19.4h held
31 🟢 BUY Jun 5, 2026 9:50am ET $223.48 73 $16,314.04 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2026 9:55am ET $213.50 73 $15,585.79 $15,625.10 $-728.25
(-4.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held
32 🟢 BUY Jun 25, 2026 3:55pm ET $253.56 61 $15,467.16 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 26, 2026 9:30am ET $217.13 61 $13,244.93 $13,402.87 $-2,222.23
(-14.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
17.6h held
33 🟢 BUY Jun 29, 2026 9:30am ET $220.29 60 $13,217.25 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 29, 2026 9:55am ET $208.85 60 $12,531.00 $12,716.62 $-686.25
(-5.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
25m held
34 🟢 BUY Jun 30, 2026 1:00pm ET $264.70 48 $12,705.84 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 1, 2026 9:30am ET $233.84 48 $11,224.32 $11,235.10 $-1,481.52
(-11.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
20.5h held
35 🟢 BUY Jul 10, 2026 3:30pm ET $191.90 58 $11,130.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 13, 2026 9:30am ET $171.79 58 $9,963.82 $10,068.72 $-1,166.38
(-10.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.8d held
36 🟢 BUY Jul 14, 2026 3:30pm ET $177.43 56 $9,936.08 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 15, 2026 10:15am ET $169.01 56 $9,464.56 $9,597.20 $-471.52
(-4.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
18.8h held
37 🟢 BUY Jul 16, 2026 3:25pm ET $140.67 68 $9,565.56 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 17, 2026 9:30am ET $122.15 68 $8,306.20 $8,337.84 $-1,259.36
(-13.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
18.1h held
38 🟢 BUY Jul 20, 2026 9:30am ET $146.65 56 $8,212.68 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 20, 2026 10:50am ET $140.08 56 $7,844.48 $7,969.64 $-368.20
(-4.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.3h held
39 🟢 BUY Jul 21, 2026 3:30pm ET $157.19 50 $7,859.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 24, 2026 9:35am ET $149.59 50 $7,479.50 $7,589.64 $-380.00
(-4.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.8d held
40 🟢 BUY Jul 27, 2026 3:00pm ET $125.93 60 $7,556.10 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 28, 2026 9:30am ET $111.00 60 $6,660.01 $6,693.55 $-896.09
(-11.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
18.5h held
41 🟢 BUY Jul 29, 2026 9:30am ET $111.03 60 $6,661.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 29, 2026 9:50am ET $103.58 60 $6,214.80 $6,246.55 $-447.00
(-6.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
20m held
42 🟢 BUY Aug 21, 2026 2:55pm ET $120.63 51 $6,151.90 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 24, 2026 9:30am ET $111.12 51 $5,667.12 $5,761.77 $-484.78
(-7.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.8d held
43 🟢 BUY Aug 25, 2026 9:30am ET $119.81 48 $5,750.90 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 25, 2026 10:20am ET $114.42 48 $5,492.34 $5,503.21 $-258.56
(-4.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
50m held
44 🟢 BUY Aug 31, 2026 9:30am ET $114.35 48 $5,488.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 1, 2026 9:30am ET $105.42 48 $5,060.14 $5,074.55 $-428.66
(-7.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
45 🟢 BUY Sep 2, 2026 9:30am ET $104.90 48 $5,035.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 3, 2026 9:30am ET $100.10 48 $4,804.56 $4,843.91 $-230.64
(-4.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $4,843.91
Net Profit/Loss: $-5,156.09
Total Return: -51.56%
Back to Victor Volume