SOXL Victor Volume's Analysis
Last Year: 2025-07-26 to present • 45 trades in period
+68.60%
Last Year Return
$11,235.10
Current Value
49%
Win Rate
$6,663.70
Period Start
PHASE 0: RANGING
No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.
Fear & Greed
26
Fear
VIX
18.7
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.71%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.36%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟡 1.4
Unsettled
⛈️ 2 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
50.5 neutral
20d Trend
+69.9%
5d Trend
-8.4%
EMA20 Dist
+0.9%
ATR%
11.0%
Range Pos
31%
Bounce Ratio
1.9×
Green/Red 10d
5/5
Strategy Score Scored Jul 26, 2026
14
Lifetime
Confidence: 92%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
0.6/35
Total Return
9.4/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.2/15
Consistency
5.4/10
Raw Quality
15.5/100
× Confidence 0.92
= 14.3
30-Day Momentum
0
-28.1%
30d Return
0%
Win Rate
3
Trades
0.6×
Profit Factor
Quality: 0.0
Conf: 0.61×
Declining (-14 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (92%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last Year)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
33,969
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-07-28 → 2026-07-24
Trading Days
249 days
Data Gaps
1 day with gaps
Data Gap Notice
The following dates had fewer candles than expected. This could be due to early market closes, API rate limits during data collection, or low volume periods. Simulation results may be slightly affected.
2025-11-28 (no data)
Market Closed (10 days)
2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed)
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last Year)
Period Start Capital
$6,663.70
Current Value
$11,235.10
Period P&L
$4,571.39
Max Drawdown
-75.8%
Sharpe Ratio
0.19
Trade Statistics (Last Year)
Trades in Period
45
Winners / Losers
22 /
23
Best Trade
+14.44%
Worst Trade
-14.37%
Avg Trade Return
+1.57%
Avg Hold Time
2.9d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$961,380.35
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$4,571.39
Net P&L (after fees)
$4,571.39
Gross Return
+68.60%
Net Return (after fees)
+68.60%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 SOXL Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 249 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last Year - 45 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Victor Volume had $6,663.70 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 23, 2025 9:30am ET | $25.57 | 252 | $6,443.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 30, 2025 9:30am ET | $28.00 | 252 | $7,056.00 | $7,074.45 |
+$612.36 (+9.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
7d held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 31, 2025 9:35am ET | $25.34 | 279 | $7,068.47 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 1, 2025 9:30am ET | $23.80 | 279 | $6,640.23 | $6,646.22 |
$-428.24 (-6.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
23.9h held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 4, 2025 9:45am ET | $25.05 | 265 | $6,638.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 5, 2025 2:00pm ET | $24.02 | 265 | $6,365.30 | $6,373.27 |
$-272.95 (-4.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.2d held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 7, 2025 9:35am ET | $24.90 | 255 | $6,349.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 12, 2025 9:30am ET | $27.81 | 255 | $7,090.66 | $7,114.43 |
+$741.16 (+11.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
5d held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 13, 2025 9:35am ET | $28.89 | 246 | $7,105.96 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 15, 2025 9:30am ET | $27.41 | 246 | $6,742.86 | $6,751.33 |
$-363.10 (-5.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 18, 2025 9:30am ET | $27.51 | 245 | $6,739.95 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 19, 2025 10:25am ET | $26.39 | 245 | $6,465.53 | $6,476.90 |
$-274.42 (-4.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 20, 2025 11:50am ET | $25.69 | 252 | $6,473.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 22, 2025 9:30am ET | $27.94 | 252 | $7,040.88 | $7,043.90 |
+$567.00 (+8.8%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 25, 2025 9:45am ET | $27.46 | 256 | $7,029.79 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 29, 2025 9:30am ET | $25.95 | 256 | $6,642.82 | $6,656.93 |
$-386.97 (-5.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 2, 2025 9:30am ET | $24.62 | 270 | $6,647.67 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 8, 2025 9:30am ET | $26.87 | 270 | $7,253.55 | $7,262.81 |
+$605.88 (+9.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
6d held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 9, 2025 9:35am ET | $27.07 | 268 | $7,254.41 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 11, 2025 9:30am ET | $29.34 | 268 | $7,863.12 | $7,871.52 |
+$608.71 (+8.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2d held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 12, 2025 9:30am ET | $29.32 | 268 | $7,857.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 18, 2025 9:30am ET | $33.56 | 268 | $8,992.74 | $9,006.50 |
+$1,134.98 (+14.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
6d held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 19, 2025 9:30am ET | $32.86 | 274 | $9,002.27 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 1, 2025 9:30am ET | $35.96 | 274 | $9,851.67 | $9,855.90 |
+$849.40 (+9.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
12d held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 2, 2025 9:35am ET | $39.09 | 252 | $9,849.45 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 6, 2025 9:30am ET | $42.87 | 252 | $10,801.98 | $10,808.44 |
+$952.53 (+9.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4d held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 7, 2025 10:05am ET | $38.91 | 277 | $10,776.85 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 8, 2025 10:05am ET | $42.11 | 277 | $11,664.47 | $11,696.06 |
+$887.62 (+8.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1d held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 9, 2025 10:10am ET | $41.47 | 282 | $11,693.13 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 10, 2025 9:30am ET | $37.42 | 282 | $10,551.20 | $10,554.13 |
$-1,141.93 (-9.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
23.3h held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 13, 2025 9:35am ET | $38.77 | 272 | $10,545.47 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 14, 2025 11:40am ET | $37.10 | 272 | $10,091.20 | $10,099.86 |
$-454.27 (-4.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 15, 2025 11:55am ET | $40.02 | 252 | $10,085.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 22, 2025 9:30am ET | $37.06 | 252 | $9,339.12 | $9,353.94 |
$-745.92 (-7.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
6.9d held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 23, 2025 9:30am ET | $40.89 | 228 | $9,322.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 27, 2025 9:30am ET | $46.37 | 228 | $10,571.22 | $10,602.40 |
+$1,248.46 (+13.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4d held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 28, 2025 9:30am ET | $47.19 | 224 | $10,570.58 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 4, 2025 9:30am ET | $44.47 | 224 | $9,961.30 | $9,993.12 |
$-609.28 (-5.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
7d held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 5, 2025 10:35am ET | $48.00 | 208 | $9,982.96 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 6, 2025 9:30am ET | $44.54 | 208 | $9,265.26 | $9,275.41 |
$-717.70 (-7.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
22.9h held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 7, 2025 10:50am ET | $40.81 | 227 | $9,263.87 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 10, 2025 9:30am ET | $45.00 | 227 | $10,213.87 | $10,225.41 |
+$949.99 (+10.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.9d held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 11, 2025 10:30am ET | $41.90 | 244 | $10,222.38 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 14, 2025 9:30am ET | $39.22 | 244 | $9,568.46 | $9,571.49 |
$-653.92 (-6.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 17, 2025 10:45am ET | $36.28 | 263 | $9,540.33 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 18, 2025 10:25am ET | $34.78 | 263 | $9,146.67 | $9,177.83 |
$-393.66 (-4.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
23.7h held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 20, 2025 9:35am ET | $32.20 | 285 | $9,177.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 20, 2025 10:35am ET | $30.85 | 285 | $8,792.25 | $8,793.08 |
$-384.75 (-4.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1h held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 24, 2025 9:35am ET | $35.89 | 245 | $8,793.05 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 26, 2025 9:30am ET | $39.60 | 245 | $9,700.78 | $9,700.81 |
+$907.73 (+10.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2d held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 1, 2025 10:50am ET | $41.58 | 233 | $9,688.14 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 2, 2025 12:20pm ET | $44.96 | 233 | $10,475.68 | $10,488.35 |
+$787.54 (+8.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.1d held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 3, 2025 2:20pm ET | $46.28 | 226 | $10,459.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 10, 2025 10:35am ET | $49.99 | 226 | $11,297.74 | $11,326.81 |
+$838.46 (+8.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
6.8d held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 12, 2025 9:30am ET | $42.21 | 268 | $11,312.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 16, 2025 9:30am ET | $39.95 | 268 | $10,706.60 | $10,721.21 |
$-605.60 (-5.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 17, 2025 10:30am ET | $35.96 | 298 | $10,714.59 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 18, 2025 9:30am ET | $38.86 | 298 | $11,578.79 | $11,585.41 |
+$864.20 (+8.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
23h held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 19, 2025 10:30am ET | $42.32 | 273 | $11,552.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $47.50 | 273 | $12,966.44 | $12,999.85 |
+$1,414.44 (+12.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
14d held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 5, 2026 10:40am ET | $49.12 | 264 | $12,967.68 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $53.49 | 264 | $14,121.36 | $14,153.53 |
+$1,153.68 (+8.9%) |
🎯 +5% Target
22.8h held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 7, 2026 10:30am ET | $51.60 | 274 | $14,137.03 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $49.42 | 274 | $13,539.71 | $13,556.21 |
$-597.32 (-4.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
23h held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 9, 2026 10:30am ET | $54.50 | 248 | $13,514.91 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 15, 2026 9:30am ET | $59.78 | 248 | $14,824.94 | $14,866.24 |
+$1,310.04 (+9.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
6d held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 16, 2026 10:50am ET | $60.98 | 243 | $14,818.14 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 20, 2026 9:30am ET | $57.43 | 243 | $13,954.28 | $14,002.38 |
$-863.87 (-5.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.9d held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 21, 2026 10:55am ET | $63.50 | 220 | $13,970.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $60.83 | 220 | $13,381.50 | $13,413.88 |
$-588.50 (-4.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9d held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 26, 2026 10:30am ET | $60.95 | 220 | $13,408.98 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 27, 2026 10:15am ET | $65.93 | 220 | $14,503.50 | $14,508.40 |
+$1,094.52 (+8.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
23.8h held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 29, 2026 9:35am ET | $68.48 | 211 | $14,449.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 30, 2026 9:30am ET | $63.77 | 211 | $13,454.42 | $13,513.53 |
$-994.87 (-6.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
23.9h held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 2, 2026 3:00pm ET | $65.36 | 206 | $13,463.13 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 3, 2026 9:55am ET | $61.43 | 206 | $12,654.42 | $12,704.82 |
$-808.72 (-6.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
18.9h held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 5, 2026 9:30am ET | $51.49 | 246 | $12,666.54 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $57.49 | 246 | $14,143.77 | $14,182.05 |
+$1,477.23 (+11.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1d held |
|
| 40 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 9, 2026 9:30am ET | $60.40 | 234 | $14,133.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 10, 2026 12:30pm ET | $64.51 | 234 | $15,096.51 | $15,144.96 |
+$962.91 (+6.8%) |
📅 Sim Ended
1.1d held |
|
| 41 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 2, 2026 3:00pm ET | $261.57 | 57 | $14,909.49 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 3, 2026 10:25am ET | $282.77 | 57 | $16,117.88 | $16,353.35 |
+$1,208.39 (+8.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
19.4h held |
|
| 42 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 5, 2026 9:50am ET | $223.48 | 73 | $16,314.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 5, 2026 9:55am ET | $213.50 | 73 | $15,585.79 | $15,625.10 |
$-728.25 (-4.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held |
|
| 43 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 25, 2026 3:55pm ET | $253.56 | 61 | $15,467.16 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 26, 2026 9:30am ET | $217.13 | 61 | $13,244.93 | $13,402.87 |
$-2,222.23 (-14.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
17.6h held |
|
| 44 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 29, 2026 9:30am ET | $220.29 | 60 | $13,217.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 29, 2026 9:55am ET | $208.85 | 60 | $12,531.00 | $12,716.62 |
$-686.25 (-5.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
25m held |
|
| 45 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 30, 2026 1:00pm ET | $264.70 | 48 | $12,705.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 1, 2026 9:30am ET | $233.84 | 48 | $11,224.32 | $11,235.10 |
$-1,481.52 (-11.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
20.5h held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$11,235.10
Net Profit/Loss:
+$1,235.10
Total Return:
+12.35%