Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-24 20:33:45

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
42.6 neutral
20d Trend
-5.1%
5d Trend
-1.5%
EMA20 Dist
-1.8%
ATR%
3.2%
Range Pos
9%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
6/4

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

3
Lifetime
Confidence: 90%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
3.6/10
Raw Quality 3.6/100
× Confidence 0.90 = 3.3

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (90%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Year)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
22,593
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-09-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
261 days
Data Gaps
3 days with gaps

Data Gap Notice

The following dates had fewer candles than expected. This could be due to early market closes, API rate limits during data collection, or low volume periods. Simulation results may be slightly affected.

2025-10-21 (28 candles), 2025-10-28 (38 candles), 2025-11-28 (no data)

Market Closed (10 days)

2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Year)

Period Start Capital
$6,615.07
Current Value
$7,564.74
Period P&L
$949.69
Max Drawdown
-44.7%
Sharpe Ratio
0.13

Trade Statistics (Last Year)

Trades in Period
19
Winners / Losers
7 / 12
Best Trade
+13.41%
Worst Trade
-5.61%
Avg Trade Return
+0.82%
Avg Hold Time
14.4d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$251,281.91
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$949.69
Net P&L (after fees)
$949.69
Gross Return
+14.36%
Net Return (after fees)
+14.36%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 SPXU Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 261 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Year - 19 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Victor Volume had $6,615.07 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Sep 16, 2025 3:55pm ET $56.54 121 $6,841.34 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 30, 2025 3:45pm ET $54.12 121 $6,548.52 $6,586.02 $-292.82
(-4.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
14d held
2 🟢 BUY Oct 7, 2025 11:05am ET $53.55 122 $6,533.10 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 24, 2025 11:10am ET $51.34 122 $6,263.19 $6,316.10 $-269.91
(-4.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
17d held
3 🟢 BUY Oct 30, 2025 9:35am ET $50.16 125 $6,270.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 17, 2025 9:35am ET $54.86 125 $6,857.30 $6,903.40 +$587.30
(+9.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
18d held
4 🟢 BUY Nov 21, 2025 9:30am ET $55.12 125 $6,890.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 25, 2025 9:30am ET $52.60 125 $6,575.00 $6,588.40 $-315.00
(-4.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held
5 🟢 BUY Dec 1, 2025 9:30am ET $51.05 129 $6,585.45 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 11, 2025 11:50am ET $48.93 129 $6,311.96 $6,314.91 $-273.49
(-4.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
10.1d held
6 🟢 BUY Dec 12, 2025 3:30pm ET $51.12 123 $6,287.76 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 24, 2025 9:30am ET $48.25 123 $5,935.06 $5,962.21 $-352.70
(-5.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
11.8d held
7 🟢 BUY Dec 26, 2025 1:15pm ET $48.00 124 $5,952.47 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 16, 2026 1:15pm ET $47.66 124 $5,909.84 $5,919.58 $-42.63
(-0.7%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
8 🟢 BUY Jan 20, 2026 3:50pm ET $51.03 116 $5,919.48 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 21, 2026 2:35pm ET $48.91 116 $5,673.56 $5,673.66 $-245.92
(-4.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
22.8h held
9 🟢 BUY Jan 22, 2026 2:55pm ET $48.41 117 $5,663.97 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 12:30pm ET $47.22 117 $5,524.74 $5,534.43 $-139.23
(-2.5%)
📅 Sim Ended
18.9d held
10 🟢 BUY Feb 18, 2026 1:40pm ET $48.98 112 $5,485.76 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 9, 2026 9:30am ET $53.87 112 $6,033.44 $6,082.11 +$547.68
(+10.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
18.8d held
11 🟢 BUY Mar 10, 2026 9:30am ET $51.25 118 $6,047.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 19, 2026 9:30am ET $56.42 118 $6,657.56 $6,692.17 +$610.06
(+10.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
9d held
12 🟢 BUY Feb 18, 2026 1:40pm ET $48.98 112 $5,485.76 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 23, 2026 9:30am ET $55.55 112 $6,221.60 $7,428.01 +$735.84
(+13.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
32.8d held
13 🟢 BUY Apr 21, 2026 2:15pm ET $44.51 166 $7,388.10 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 27, 2026 1:35pm ET $42.72 166 $7,090.69 $7,130.60 $-297.41
(-4.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6d held
14 🟢 BUY May 1, 2026 12:20pm ET $41.47 171 $7,091.37 — — —
🔴 SELL May 6, 2026 2:10pm ET $39.81 171 $6,807.51 $6,846.74 $-283.86
(-4.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5.1d held
15 🟢 BUY May 29, 2026 2:45pm ET $36.46 187 $6,817.09 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 9, 2026 10:50am ET $39.62 187 $7,408.94 $7,438.59 +$591.85
(+8.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
10.8d held
16 🟢 BUY Jun 22, 2026 11:25am ET $37.75 197 $7,436.75 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 10, 2026 12:15pm ET $36.21 197 $7,133.37 $7,135.21 $-303.38
(-4.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
18d held
17 🟢 BUY Jul 13, 2026 12:25pm ET $36.67 194 $7,113.98 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 29, 2026 12:10pm ET $39.61 194 $7,684.34 $7,705.57 +$570.36
(+8.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
16d held
18 🟢 BUY Aug 7, 2026 2:40pm ET $33.88 227 $7,689.63 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 28, 2026 2:40pm ET $34.31 227 $7,789.50 $7,805.45 +$99.88
(+1.3%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
19 🟢 BUY Aug 31, 2026 3:55pm ET $34.66 225 $7,798.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 21, 2026 3:55pm ET $33.59 225 $7,557.79 $7,564.74 $-240.71
(-3.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $7,564.74
Net Profit/Loss: $-2,435.26
Total Return: -24.35%
Back to Victor Volume