TQQQ Victor Volume's Analysis
Last Year: 2025-09-25 to present • 32 trades in period
-30.60%
Last Year Return
$9,595.41
Current Value
31%
Win Rate
$13,827.16
Period Start
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.
Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
31.4 neutral
20d Trend
-11.9%
5d Trend
-13.2%
EMA20 Dist
-11.3%
ATR%
5.7%
Range Pos
9%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026
5
Lifetime
Confidence: 96%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
5.2/10
Raw Quality
5.2/100
× Confidence 0.96
= 5.0
30-Day Momentum
Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (96%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last Year)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
29,890
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-09-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
265 days
Data Gaps
None (10 market holidays)
Market Closed (10 days)
2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last Year)
Period Start Capital
$13,827.16
Current Value
$9,595.41
Period P&L
$-4,231.76
Max Drawdown
-50.2%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.18
Trade Statistics (Last Year)
Trades in Period
32
Winners / Losers
10 /
22
Best Trade
+9.31%
Worst Trade
-6.31%
Avg Trade Return
-1.02%
Avg Hold Time
5.3d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$848,996.07
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-4,231.76
Net P&L (after fees)
$-4,231.76
Gross Return
-30.60%
Net Return (after fees)
-30.60%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 TQQQ Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 265 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last Year - 32 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Victor Volume had $13,827.16 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 23, 2025 3:50pm ET | $51.35 | 272 | $13,966.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 25, 2025 9:35am ET | $49.07 | 272 | $13,347.04 | $13,364.77 |
$-619.56 (-4.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.7d held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 26, 2025 9:35am ET | $50.43 | 264 | $13,314.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 10, 2025 9:35am ET | $54.73 | 264 | $14,448.72 | $14,499.05 |
+$1,134.28 (+8.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
14d held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 13, 2025 3:50pm ET | $51.72 | 280 | $14,481.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 14, 2025 9:30am ET | $49.38 | 280 | $13,826.40 | $13,843.85 |
$-655.20 (-4.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
17.7h held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 15, 2025 1:15pm ET | $50.45 | 274 | $13,821.93 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 24, 2025 9:30am ET | $55.14 | 274 | $15,108.36 | $15,130.28 |
+$1,286.43 (+9.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
8.8d held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 27, 2025 9:30am ET | $57.30 | 264 | $15,127.78 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 6, 2025 10:00am ET | $54.49 | 264 | $14,385.36 | $14,387.86 |
$-742.42 (-4.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
10.1d held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 7, 2025 2:40pm ET | $52.43 | 274 | $14,364.45 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 14, 2025 9:30am ET | $49.50 | 274 | $13,561.63 | $13,585.04 |
$-802.82 (-5.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
6.8d held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 17, 2025 9:30am ET | $52.30 | 259 | $13,546.43 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 17, 2025 2:55pm ET | $50.20 | 259 | $13,001.80 | $13,040.41 |
$-544.63 (-4.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5.4h held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 18, 2025 3:50pm ET | $49.45 | 263 | $13,004.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 20, 2025 10:35am ET | $53.43 | 263 | $14,053.14 | $14,089.52 |
+$1,049.11 (+8.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.8d held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 21, 2025 1:45pm ET | $48.60 | 289 | $14,043.96 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 26, 2025 9:30am ET | $53.03 | 289 | $15,324.80 | $15,370.37 |
+$1,280.85 (+9.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4.8d held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 28, 2025 9:30am ET | $54.04 | 284 | $15,347.36 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 16, 2025 9:30am ET | $51.75 | 284 | $14,697.00 | $14,720.01 |
$-650.36 (-4.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
18d held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 19, 2025 9:30am ET | $52.77 | 278 | $14,670.06 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 9, 2026 9:30am ET | $54.16 | 278 | $15,056.48 | $15,106.43 |
+$386.42 (+2.6%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 12, 2026 9:30am ET | $55.31 | 273 | $15,098.29 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 14, 2026 10:45am ET | $52.91 | 273 | $14,444.43 | $14,452.56 |
$-653.86 (-4.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.1d held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 15, 2026 2:05pm ET | $55.22 | 261 | $14,412.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 20, 2026 9:30am ET | $52.05 | 261 | $13,584.55 | $13,624.80 |
$-827.76 (-5.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4.8d held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 21, 2026 9:35am ET | $51.02 | 267 | $13,622.34 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 26, 2026 10:15am ET | $55.25 | 267 | $14,750.42 | $14,752.88 |
+$1,128.08 (+8.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
5d held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 27, 2026 3:10pm ET | $56.77 | 259 | $14,704.39 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 29, 2026 10:10am ET | $54.26 | 259 | $14,054.58 | $14,103.07 |
$-649.81 (-4.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.8d held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 30, 2026 3:55pm ET | $53.99 | 261 | $14,091.39 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 3, 2026 1:10pm ET | $51.81 | 261 | $13,522.41 | $13,534.09 |
$-568.98 (-4.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.9d held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 4, 2026 2:30pm ET | $49.78 | 271 | $13,491.73 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 5, 2026 10:10am ET | $47.14 | 271 | $12,774.94 | $12,817.30 |
$-716.80 (-5.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
19.7h held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 6, 2026 11:05am ET | $49.52 | 258 | $12,776.16 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 10, 2026 12:30pm ET | $51.89 | 258 | $13,387.62 | $13,428.76 |
+$611.46 (+4.8%) |
📅 Sim Ended
4.1d held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 26, 2026 9:35am ET | $51.23 | 262 | $13,422.26 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 26, 2026 10:25am ET | $49.10 | 262 | $12,865.51 | $12,872.01 |
$-556.75 (-4.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
50m held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 15, 2026 2:00pm ET | $54.67 | 235 | $12,847.45 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 22, 2026 10:15am ET | $59.28 | 235 | $13,929.63 | $13,954.19 |
+$1,082.18 (+8.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
6.8d held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 2, 2026 3:45pm ET | $87.18 | 160 | $13,948.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 4, 2026 9:40am ET | $83.11 | 160 | $13,297.47 | $13,303.66 |
$-650.53 (-4.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.7d held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 26, 2026 3:05pm ET | $72.91 | 182 | $13,269.62 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 30, 2026 9:50am ET | $79.16 | 182 | $14,407.12 | $14,441.16 |
+$1,137.50 (+8.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3.8d held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 1, 2026 3:05pm ET | $78.48 | 184 | $14,440.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 2, 2026 10:50am ET | $75.06 | 184 | $13,810.12 | $13,810.96 |
$-630.20 (-4.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
19.8h held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 10, 2026 3:55pm ET | $77.05 | 179 | $13,791.95 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 13, 2026 9:35am ET | $73.89 | 179 | $13,226.31 | $13,245.32 |
$-565.64 (-4.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.7d held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 14, 2026 3:15pm ET | $75.29 | 175 | $13,174.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 15, 2026 12:35pm ET | $72.21 | 175 | $12,637.62 | $12,708.07 |
$-537.25 (-4.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
21.3h held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 16, 2026 3:50pm ET | $70.41 | 180 | $12,673.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 17, 2026 9:30am ET | $65.97 | 180 | $11,874.60 | $11,908.87 |
$-799.20 (-6.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
17.7h held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 20, 2026 9:30am ET | $70.11 | 169 | $11,847.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 23, 2026 9:55am ET | $67.01 | 169 | $11,324.69 | $11,385.81 |
$-523.06 (-4.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 24, 2026 3:55pm ET | $63.99 | 177 | $11,326.23 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 28, 2026 9:30am ET | $61.22 | 177 | $10,835.94 | $10,895.52 |
$-490.29 (-4.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.7d held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 29, 2026 9:30am ET | $61.79 | 176 | $10,875.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 29, 2026 10:25am ET | $59.26 | 176 | $10,429.74 | $10,450.22 |
$-445.30 (-4.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
55m held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 21, 2026 2:55pm ET | $71.21 | 146 | $10,396.65 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 24, 2026 9:40am ET | $68.14 | 146 | $9,948.44 | $10,002.01 |
$-448.21 (-4.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.8d held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 21, 2026 2:55pm ET | $71.21 | 146 | $10,396.65 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 1, 2026 2:40pm ET | $68.35 | 146 | $9,978.37 | $9,583.73 |
$-418.28 (-4.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
11d held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 21, 2026 2:55pm ET | $71.21 | 146 | $10,396.65 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 11, 2026 2:55pm ET | $71.29 | 146 | $10,408.33 | $9,595.41 |
+$11.68 (+0.1%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$9,595.41
Net Profit/Loss:
$-404.59
Total Return:
-4.05%