Compendium › Victor Volume › TSLA
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
TSLA
Alpaca Tradeable

Victor Volume's Analysis

Last Year: 2025-09-25 to present • 23 trades in period

-0.59%
Last Year Return
$15,761.12
Current Value
39%
Win Rate
$15,853.86
Period Start
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PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:07:42

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
30.3 neutral
20d Trend
-11.8%
5d Trend
-10.2%
EMA20 Dist
-9.3%
ATR%
3.6%
Range Pos
7%
Bounce Ratio
0.8×
Green/Red 10d
3/7

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

25
Lifetime
Confidence: 94%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
4.8/35
Total Return
14.7/25
Win Rate
0.3/15
Profit Factor
1.2/15
Consistency
5.6/10
Raw Quality 26.6/100
× Confidence 0.94 = 24.9

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (94%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Year)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
30,012
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-09-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
265 days
Data Gaps
None (10 market holidays)

Market Closed (10 days)

2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Year)

Period Start Capital
$15,853.86
Current Value
$15,761.12
Period P&L
$-92.76
Max Drawdown
-41.9%
Sharpe Ratio
0.05

Trade Statistics (Last Year)

Trades in Period
23
Winners / Losers
9 / 14
Best Trade
+8.77%
Worst Trade
-9.73%
Avg Trade Return
+0.31%
Avg Hold Time
6.7d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$713,063.02
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-92.76
Net P&L (after fees)
$-92.76
Gross Return
-0.59%
Net Return (after fees)
-0.59%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 TSLA Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 265 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Year - 23 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Victor Volume had $15,853.86 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Sep 23, 2025 1:45pm ET $428.55 35 $14,999.09 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 2, 2025 9:30am ET $466.12 35 $16,314.20 $16,632.98 +$1,315.11
(+8.8%) 		🎯 +5% Target
8.8d held
2 🟢 BUY Oct 3, 2025 1:05pm ET $421.46 39 $16,436.94 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 24, 2025 1:05pm ET $435.80 39 $16,996.20 $17,192.24 +$559.26
(+3.4%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
3 🟢 BUY Oct 28, 2025 9:40am ET $460.46 37 $17,037.02 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 30, 2025 11:30am ET $441.74 37 $16,344.38 $16,499.60 $-692.64
(-4.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
2.1d held
4 🟢 BUY Oct 31, 2025 3:55pm ET $456.51 36 $16,434.36 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 6, 2025 11:35am ET $437.87 36 $15,763.19 $15,828.43 $-671.17
(-4.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
5.9d held
5 🟢 BUY Nov 7, 2025 2:40pm ET $436.23 36 $15,704.14 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 13, 2025 9:40am ET $418.65 36 $15,071.40 $15,195.68 $-632.74
(-4.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
5.8d held
6 🟢 BUY Nov 17, 2025 9:30am ET $405.00 37 $14,985.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 21, 2025 10:25am ET $388.21 37 $14,363.63 $14,574.32 $-621.37
(-4.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
4d held
7 🟢 BUY Nov 24, 2025 2:10pm ET $421.06 34 $14,316.04 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 5, 2025 9:30am ET $455.22 34 $15,477.48 $15,735.76 +$1,161.44
(+8.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
10.8d held
8 🟢 BUY Dec 8, 2025 9:40am ET $446.66 35 $15,632.96 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 16, 2025 2:40pm ET $483.45 35 $16,920.91 $17,023.71 +$1,287.95
(+8.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
8.2d held
9 🟢 BUY Dec 19, 2025 9:40am ET $485.49 35 $16,992.04 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 29, 2025 9:30am ET $463.85 35 $16,234.71 $16,266.38 $-757.33
(-4.5%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
10d held
10 🟢 BUY Dec 31, 2025 12:30pm ET $455.63 35 $15,947.05 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 2, 2026 1:35pm ET $436.86 35 $15,290.10 $15,609.43 $-656.95
(-4.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
2d held
11 🟢 BUY Jan 6, 2026 3:55pm ET $432.95 36 $15,586.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 27, 2026 3:55pm ET $430.91 36 $15,512.76 $15,535.99 $-73.44
(-0.5%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
12 🟢 BUY Jan 29, 2026 9:40am ET $427.24 36 $15,380.46 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 4, 2026 11:00am ET $409.39 36 $14,738.04 $14,893.57 $-642.42
(-4.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
6.1d held
13 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 3:55pm ET $397.10 37 $14,692.70 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 12:30pm ET $424.73 37 $15,714.83 $15,915.70 +$1,022.13
(+7.0%) 		📅 Sim Ended
4.9d held
14 🟢 BUY Feb 26, 2026 9:40am ET $412.17 38 $15,662.65 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 2, 2026 9:30am ET $390.92 38 $14,854.96 $15,108.01 $-807.69
(-5.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
4d held
15 🟢 BUY Apr 15, 2026 9:45am ET $369.20 40 $14,768.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 17, 2026 10:40am ET $401.28 40 $16,051.20 $16,391.21 +$1,283.20
(+8.7%) 		🎯 +5% Target
2d held
16 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 3:40pm ET $422.49 38 $16,054.81 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2026 10:55am ET $405.39 38 $15,404.82 $15,741.22 $-649.99
(-4.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
2.8d held
17 🟢 BUY Jun 25, 2026 3:05pm ET $373.53 42 $15,688.26 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 29, 2026 12:25pm ET $403.99 42 $16,967.58 $17,020.54 +$1,279.32
(+8.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
3.9d held
18 🟢 BUY Jun 30, 2026 2:45pm ET $420.72 40 $16,828.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 2, 2026 10:20am ET $403.20 40 $16,127.80 $16,319.54 $-701.00
(-4.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1.8d held
19 🟢 BUY Jul 13, 2026 9:40am ET $397.04 41 $16,278.44 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 17, 2026 9:35am ET $378.38 41 $15,513.58 $15,554.69 $-764.85
(-4.7%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
4d held
20 🟢 BUY Jul 21, 2026 9:30am ET $374.32 41 $15,346.98 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 23, 2026 9:30am ET $337.91 41 $13,854.31 $14,062.02 $-1,492.67
(-9.7%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
2d held
21 🟢 BUY Jul 24, 2026 9:30am ET $322.08 43 $13,849.23 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 24, 2026 11:05am ET $309.13 43 $13,292.38 $13,505.17 $-556.85
(-4.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1.6h held
22 🟢 BUY Jul 27, 2026 3:55pm ET $309.24 43 $13,297.32 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 11, 2026 10:00am ET $334.11 43 $14,366.73 $14,574.58 +$1,069.41
(+8.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
14.8d held
23 🟢 BUY Aug 25, 2026 10:55am ET $351.01 41 $14,391.41 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 3, 2026 10:45am ET $379.95 41 $15,577.95 $15,761.12 +$1,186.54
(+8.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
9d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $15,761.12
Net Profit/Loss: +$5,761.12
Total Return: +57.61%
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