Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-09-24 23:56:54

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
70 neutral
20d Trend
+11.0%
5d Trend
+2.0%
EMA20 Dist
+4.4%
ATR%
2.1%
Range Pos
76%
Bounce Ratio
3.3×
Green/Red 10d
8/2

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

36
Lifetime
Confidence: 88%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
12.2/35
Total Return
14.6/25
Win Rate
4.9/15
Profit Factor
3.6/15
Consistency
6.1/10
Raw Quality 41.4/100
× Confidence 0.88 = 36.3

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (88%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Year)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
24,892
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-09-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
265 days
Data Gaps
None (10 market holidays)

Market Closed (10 days)

2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Year)

Period Start Capital
$10,448.09
Current Value
$15,645.86
Period P&L
$5,197.78
Max Drawdown
-16.2%
Sharpe Ratio
0.61

Trade Statistics (Last Year)

Trades in Period
15
Winners / Losers
11 / 4
Best Trade
+9.42%
Worst Trade
-4.49%
Avg Trade Return
+2.92%
Avg Hold Time
17.7d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$373,029.20
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$5,197.78
Net P&L (after fees)
$5,197.78
Gross Return
+49.75%
Net Return (after fees)
+49.75%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 XLE Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 265 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Year - 15 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Victor Volume had $10,448.09 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Sep 9, 2025 10:00am ET $44.36 233 $10,335.88 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 30, 2025 10:00am ET $44.62 233 $10,397.04 $10,440.51 +$61.16
(+0.6%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
2 🟢 BUY Oct 1, 2025 3:35pm ET $44.81 233 $10,440.15 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 10, 2025 12:00pm ET $43.00 233 $10,019.58 $10,019.94 $-420.57
(-4.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
8.9d held
3 🟢 BUY Oct 13, 2025 3:25pm ET $43.12 232 $10,004.86 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 3, 2025 2:25pm ET $44.12 232 $10,236.42 $10,251.50 +$231.56
(+2.3%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
4 🟢 BUY Nov 4, 2025 3:35pm ET $43.65 234 $10,214.10 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 25, 2025 3:35pm ET $44.41 234 $10,391.36 $10,428.76 +$177.26
(+1.7%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
5 🟢 BUY Nov 28, 2025 12:35pm ET $45.31 230 $10,420.15 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 19, 2025 12:35pm ET $44.30 230 $10,187.85 $10,196.46 $-232.30
(-2.2%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
6 🟢 BUY Dec 22, 2025 3:25pm ET $44.32 230 $10,192.45 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 12, 2026 3:25pm ET $46.22 230 $10,629.45 $10,633.46 +$437.00
(+4.3%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
7 🟢 BUY Jan 13, 2026 3:50pm ET $46.99 226 $10,619.74 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 29, 2026 9:30am ET $51.42 226 $11,619.79 $11,633.51 +$1,000.05
(+9.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
15.7d held
8 🟢 BUY Jan 30, 2026 12:30pm ET $50.11 232 $11,624.36 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 12:30pm ET $53.52 232 $12,416.64 $12,425.79 +$792.28
(+6.8%)
📅 Sim Ended
11d held
9 🟢 BUY Feb 26, 2026 9:30am ET $54.44 228 $12,411.18 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 17, 2026 10:10am ET $58.79 228 $13,405.26 $13,419.87 +$994.08
(+8.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
19d held
10 🟢 BUY Apr 17, 2026 9:40am ET $54.38 246 $13,376.25 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 12:00pm ET $58.74 246 $14,450.04 $14,493.66 +$1,073.79
(+8.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
12.1d held
11 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 3:50pm ET $58.04 249 $14,451.96 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 15, 2026 9:30am ET $55.45 249 $13,807.05 $13,848.75 $-644.91
(-4.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
12.7d held
12 🟢 BUY Jun 25, 2026 11:10am ET $54.02 256 $13,829.04 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 16, 2026 11:10am ET $57.14 256 $14,627.84 $14,647.55 +$798.80
(+5.8%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
13 🟢 BUY Jun 25, 2026 11:10am ET $54.02 256 $13,829.04 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 30, 2026 9:35am ET $58.43 256 $14,958.08 $15,776.59 +$1,129.04
(+8.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
34.9d held
14 🟢 BUY Aug 24, 2026 9:30am ET $63.56 248 $15,763.15 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 14, 2026 9:30am ET $66.00 248 $16,367.75 $16,381.19 +$604.60
(+3.8%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
15 🟢 BUY Sep 17, 2026 3:50pm ET $64.44 254 $16,369.03 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 22, 2026 9:30am ET $61.55 254 $15,633.70 $15,645.86 $-735.33
(-4.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.7d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $15,645.86
Net Profit/Loss: +$5,645.86
Total Return: +56.46%
Back to Victor Volume