Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-25 01:30:13

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
30.4 neutral
20d Trend
-15.2%
5d Trend
-20.7%
EMA20 Dist
-16.9%
ATR%
7.4%
Range Pos
1%
Bounce Ratio
0.7×
Green/Red 10d
3/7

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

15
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.7/35
Total Return
9.3/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.3/15
Consistency
4.6/10
Raw Quality 14.9/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 14.8

30-Day Momentum

36
+14.5%
30d Return
67%
Win Rate
3
Trades
2.0×
Profit Factor
Quality: 57.9 Conf: 0.61×
Accelerating (+21 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,992
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
64 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$13,646.87
Current Value
$11,231.28
Period P&L
$-2,415.60
Max Drawdown
-59.3%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.23

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
13
Winners / Losers
3 / 10
Best Trade
+12.47%
Worst Trade
-5.78%
Avg Trade Return
-1.39%
Avg Hold Time
3d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$280,800.99
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-2,415.60
Net P&L (after fees)
$-2,415.60
Gross Return
-17.70%
Net Return (after fees)
-17.70%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 AMD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 64 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 13 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Victor Volume had $13,646.87 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jun 25, 2026 3:50pm ET $528.00 25 $13,200.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 26, 2026 9:30am ET $505.07 25 $12,626.75 $13,073.62 $-573.25
(-4.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
17.7h held
2 🟢 BUY Jun 29, 2026 9:30am ET $531.26 24 $12,750.24 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 29, 2026 10:05am ET $508.80 24 $12,211.20 $12,534.58 $-539.04
(-4.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
35m held
3 🟢 BUY Jun 30, 2026 11:40am ET $571.80 21 $12,007.90 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 1, 2026 10:45am ET $548.66 21 $11,521.86 $12,048.53 $-486.05
(-4.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.1h held
4 🟢 BUY Jul 10, 2026 9:30am ET $552.54 21 $11,603.44 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 13, 2026 9:40am ET $529.74 21 $11,124.54 $11,569.62 $-478.91
(-4.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held
5 🟢 BUY Jul 14, 2026 3:30pm ET $549.46 21 $11,538.66 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 15, 2026 10:35am ET $519.22 21 $10,903.62 $10,934.58 $-635.04
(-5.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
19.1h held
6 🟢 BUY Jul 16, 2026 3:50pm ET $498.04 21 $10,458.74 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 17, 2026 9:30am ET $470.62 21 $9,883.02 $10,358.87 $-575.72
(-5.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
17.7h held
7 🟢 BUY Jul 20, 2026 9:30am ET $517.24 20 $10,344.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 22, 2026 3:25pm ET $558.68 20 $11,173.60 $11,187.67 +$828.80
(+8.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.2d held
8 🟢 BUY Jul 23, 2026 3:25pm ET $541.29 20 $10,825.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 27, 2026 9:35am ET $517.28 20 $10,345.60 $10,707.47 $-480.20
(-4.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.8d held
9 🟢 BUY Jul 28, 2026 3:50pm ET $458.08 23 $10,535.84 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 29, 2026 10:10am ET $436.71 23 $10,044.33 $10,215.96 $-491.51
(-4.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
18.3h held
10 🟢 BUY Aug 14, 2026 12:45pm ET $501.75 20 $10,035.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 18, 2026 9:55am ET $481.25 20 $9,625.00 $9,805.96 $-410.00
(-4.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.9d held
11 🟢 BUY Aug 21, 2026 3:45pm ET $470.75 20 $9,415.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 3, 2026 9:30am ET $443.55 20 $8,870.90 $9,261.86 $-544.10
(-5.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
12.7d held
12 🟢 BUY Sep 4, 2026 12:40pm ET $475.24 19 $9,029.59 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 9, 2026 9:30am ET $514.14 19 $9,768.57 $10,000.84 +$738.98
(+8.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
4.9d held
13 🟢 BUY Sep 16, 2026 9:30am ET $519.12 19 $9,863.28 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 21, 2026 9:30am ET $583.88 19 $11,093.72 $11,231.28 +$1,230.44
(+12.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
5d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $11,231.28
Net Profit/Loss: +$1,231.28
Total Return: +12.31%
Back to Victor Volume