Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 2: FEAR TRANSITION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Signals generated 2026-07-26 19:33:24

Fear building. Reversal strategies are becoming viable. Watch for bounce signals.

Fear & Greed
26
Fear
VIX
18.7
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.71%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.36%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟡 1.4
Unsettled
⛈️ 2 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
30.4 neutral
20d Trend
-15.2%
5d Trend
-20.7%
EMA20 Dist
-16.9%
ATR%
7.4%
Range Pos
1%
Bounce Ratio
0.7×
Green/Red 10d
3/7

Strategy Score Scored Jul 26, 2026

16
Lifetime
Confidence: 92%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
1.2/35
Total Return
11.1/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.5/15
Consistency
4.5/10
Raw Quality 17.3/100
× Confidence 0.92 = 16.0

30-Day Momentum

0
-11.7%
30d Return
0%
Win Rate
3
Trades
0.6×
Profit Factor
Quality: 0.0 Conf: 0.61×
Declining (-16 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (92%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,836
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-04-27 → 2026-07-24
Trading Days
62 days
Data Gaps
None (3 market holidays)

Market Closed (3 days)

2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed)
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$12,582.97
Current Value
$12,048.53
Period P&L
$-534.44
Max Drawdown
-59.3%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.05

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
9
Winners / Losers
3 / 6
Best Trade
+8.41%
Worst Trade
-5.82%
Avg Trade Return
-0.33%
Avg Hold Time
1.4d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$228,058.14
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-534.44
Net P&L (after fees)
$-534.44
Gross Return
-4.25%
Net Return (after fees)
-4.25%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 AMD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 62 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 9 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Victor Volume had $12,582.97 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY May 6, 2026 9:30am ET $426.80 29 $12,377.20
🔴 SELL May 6, 2026 10:20am ET $404.50 29 $11,730.50 $11,936.27 $-646.70
(-5.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
50m held
2 🟢 BUY May 8, 2026 9:30am ET $424.43 28 $11,884.07
🔴 SELL May 11, 2026 9:30am ET $460.14 28 $12,883.92 $12,936.12 +$999.85
(+8.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
3d held
3 🟢 BUY May 18, 2026 9:30am ET $435.27 29 $12,622.74
🔴 SELL May 18, 2026 10:30am ET $417.26 29 $12,100.54 $12,413.92 $-522.20
(-4.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1h held
4 🟢 BUY May 21, 2026 2:15pm ET $446.11 27 $12,045.10
🔴 SELL May 26, 2026 9:30am ET $482.23 27 $13,020.21 $13,389.03 +$975.11
(+8.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
4.8d held
5 🟢 BUY Jun 1, 2026 9:30am ET $503.17 26 $13,082.29
🔴 SELL Jun 3, 2026 2:25pm ET $545.16 26 $14,174.16 $14,480.90 +$1,091.87
(+8.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.2d held
6 🟢 BUY Jun 4, 2026 3:35pm ET $530.62 27 $14,326.74
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2026 9:30am ET $499.73 27 $13,492.71 $13,646.87 $-834.03
(-5.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
17.9h held
7 🟢 BUY Jun 25, 2026 3:50pm ET $528.00 25 $13,200.00
🔴 SELL Jun 26, 2026 9:30am ET $505.07 25 $12,626.75 $13,073.62 $-573.25
(-4.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
17.7h held
8 🟢 BUY Jun 29, 2026 9:30am ET $531.26 24 $12,750.24
🔴 SELL Jun 29, 2026 10:05am ET $508.80 24 $12,211.20 $12,534.58 $-539.04
(-4.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
35m held
9 🟢 BUY Jun 30, 2026 11:40am ET $571.80 21 $12,007.90
🔴 SELL Jul 1, 2026 10:45am ET $548.66 21 $11,521.86 $12,048.53 $-486.05
(-4.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.1h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $12,048.53
Net Profit/Loss: +$2,048.53
Total Return: +20.49%
Back to Victor Volume