Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:21:46

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
19.1 oversold
20d Trend
-20.9%
5d Trend
-12.4%
EMA20 Dist
-13.6%
ATR%
4.1%
Range Pos
3%
Bounce Ratio
0.5×
Green/Red 10d
2/8

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

5
Lifetime
Confidence: 97%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
5.2/10
Raw Quality 5.2/100
× Confidence 0.97 = 5.0

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (97%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,992
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
64 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$7,901.44
Current Value
$8,369.06
Period P&L
$467.60
Max Drawdown
-42.3%
Sharpe Ratio
0.16

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
7
Winners / Losers
4 / 3
Best Trade
+8.23%
Worst Trade
-9.89%
Avg Trade Return
+1.15%
Avg Hold Time
13d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$111,218.03
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$467.60
Net P&L (after fees)
$467.60
Gross Return
+5.92%
Net Return (after fees)
+5.92%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 ARKK Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 64 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 7 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Victor Volume had $7,901.44 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jun 23, 2026 1:10pm ET $77.90 102 $7,945.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 6, 2026 12:10pm ET $84.19 102 $8,587.52 $8,604.38 +$641.72
(+8.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
13d held
2 🟢 BUY Jul 8, 2026 12:35pm ET $79.28 108 $8,562.24 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 17, 2026 9:30am ET $74.50 108 $8,046.00 $8,088.14 $-516.24
(-6.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
8.9d held
3 🟢 BUY Jul 20, 2026 12:10pm ET $75.99 106 $8,054.41 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 24, 2026 9:40am ET $72.82 106 $7,718.92 $7,752.65 $-335.49
(-4.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.9d held
4 🟢 BUY Jul 8, 2026 12:35pm ET $79.28 108 $8,562.24 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 30, 2026 9:35am ET $71.44 108 $7,715.52 $6,905.93 $-846.72
(-9.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
21.9d held
5 🟢 BUY Aug 3, 2026 2:05pm ET $73.66 93 $6,850.38 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 10, 2026 9:35am ET $79.72 93 $7,414.42 $7,469.97 +$564.04
(+8.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
6.8d held
6 🟢 BUY Aug 11, 2026 1:25pm ET $80.47 92 $7,403.24 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 27, 2026 9:40am ET $86.99 92 $8,003.08 $8,069.81 +$599.84
(+8.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
15.8d held
7 🟢 BUY Aug 28, 2026 12:25pm ET $84.50 95 $8,027.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 18, 2026 12:25pm ET $87.65 95 $8,326.75 $8,369.06 +$299.25
(+3.7%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $8,369.06
Net Profit/Loss: $-1,630.94
Total Return: -16.31%
Back to Victor Volume