Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 4: RECOVERY
Signals generated 2026-05-09 08:34:48

Bounce in progress. Hold existing positions, let trailing stops manage exits.

Fear & Greed
38
Fear
VIX
17.1
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.41%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.75
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟠 2.6
Active
⛈️ 2 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
46.9 neutral
20d Trend
-0.2%
5d Trend
+2.4%
EMA20 Dist
-0.9%
ATR%
6.3%
Range Pos
19%
Bounce Ratio
1.6×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Active magnetosphere: slight tilt toward volume/macro strategies.

Strategy Score Scored May 9, 2026

30
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
6.5/35
Total Return
17.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
1.1/15
Consistency
5.5/10
Raw Quality 30.1/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 29.8

30-Day Momentum

55
+35.2%
30d Return
100%
Win Rate
3
Trades
10.0×
Profit Factor
Quality: 90.0 Conf: 0.61×
Accelerating (+25 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,914
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-02-09 → 2026-05-08
Trading Days
63 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$11,831.21
Current Value
$20,973.86
Period P&L
$9,142.66
Max Drawdown
-59.4%
Sharpe Ratio
1.02

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
10
Winners / Losers
8 / 2
Best Trade
+13.66%
Worst Trade
-5.43%
Avg Trade Return
+6.11%
Avg Hold Time
4.5d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$282,696.78
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$9,142.66
Net P&L (after fees)
$9,142.66
Gross Return
+77.28%
Net Return (after fees)
+77.28%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 ARM Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 63 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 10 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Victor Volume had $11,831.21 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Feb 9, 2026 3:40pm ET $124.65 94 $11,717.10
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 12:25pm ET $129.93 94 $12,212.95 $12,327.05 +$495.85
(+4.2%)
📅 Sim Ended
20.8h held
2 🟢 BUY Feb 17, 2026 9:30am ET $125.59 98 $12,307.82
🔴 SELL Mar 3, 2026 9:30am ET $118.77 98 $11,639.46 $11,658.69 $-668.36
(-5.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
14d held
3 🟢 BUY Mar 4, 2026 9:30am ET $124.76 93 $11,602.69
🔴 SELL Mar 5, 2026 12:45pm ET $119.06 93 $11,072.58 $11,128.58 $-530.11
(-4.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held
4 🟢 BUY Mar 9, 2026 3:30pm ET $117.87 94 $11,079.78
🔴 SELL Mar 17, 2026 3:55pm ET $127.61 94 $11,995.81 $12,044.61 +$916.03
(+8.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
8d held
5 🟢 BUY Mar 19, 2026 9:30am ET $125.50 95 $11,922.03
🔴 SELL Mar 20, 2026 9:30am ET $137.83 95 $13,093.85 $13,216.43 +$1,171.82
(+9.8%)
🎯 +5% Target
1d held
6 🟢 BUY Mar 24, 2026 9:30am ET $137.02 96 $13,153.92
🔴 SELL Mar 25, 2026 9:30am ET $148.35 96 $14,242.08 $14,304.59 +$1,088.16
(+8.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
1d held
7 🟢 BUY Mar 31, 2026 9:30am ET $143.74 99 $14,229.77
🔴 SELL Apr 1, 2026 9:30am ET $155.98 99 $15,442.02 $15,516.84 +$1,212.25
(+8.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
1d held
8 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2026 9:30am ET $146.84 105 $15,418.20
🔴 SELL Apr 14, 2026 9:30am ET $161.95 105 $17,004.75 $17,103.39 +$1,586.55
(+10.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
5d held
9 🟢 BUY Apr 15, 2026 3:45pm ET $159.04 107 $17,017.28
🔴 SELL Apr 20, 2026 1:05pm ET $171.82 107 $18,384.74 $18,470.85 +$1,367.46
(+8.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
4.9d held
10 🟢 BUY Apr 28, 2026 9:30am ET $201.41 91 $18,328.47
🔴 SELL May 6, 2026 9:30am ET $228.92 91 $20,831.48 $20,973.86 +$2,503.01
(+13.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
8d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $20,973.86
Net Profit/Loss: +$10,973.86
Total Return: +109.74%
Back to Victor Volume