Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-24 23:58:17

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
32.7 neutral
20d Trend
-13.0%
5d Trend
-6.9%
EMA20 Dist
-6.4%
ATR%
4.0%
Range Pos
10%
Bounce Ratio
0.5×
Green/Red 10d
7/3

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

26
Lifetime
Confidence: 92%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
5.8/35
Total Return
15.3/25
Win Rate
0.2/15
Profit Factor
1.2/15
Consistency
5.8/10
Raw Quality 28.2/100
× Confidence 0.92 = 26.1

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (92%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
5,070
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
65 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$20,148.69
Current Value
$16,833.75
Period P&L
$-3,314.93
Max Drawdown
-41.6%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.56

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
7
Winners / Losers
1 / 6
Best Trade
+8.32%
Worst Trade
-4.80%
Avg Trade Return
-2.47%
Avg Hold Time
5.2d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$264,170.41
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-3,314.93
Net P&L (after fees)
$-3,314.93
Gross Return
-16.45%
Net Return (after fees)
-16.45%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 AVGO Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 65 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 7 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Victor Volume had $20,148.69 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jun 25, 2026 2:35pm ET $379.90 53 $20,134.96 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 26, 2026 3:55pm ET $363.94 53 $19,288.82 $19,302.53 $-846.14
(-4.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held
2 🟢 BUY Jun 29, 2026 3:55pm ET $372.44 51 $18,994.44 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 9, 2026 12:45pm ET $403.43 51 $20,574.93 $20,883.02 +$1,580.49
(+8.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
9.9d held
3 🟢 BUY Jul 10, 2026 1:40pm ET $401.80 51 $20,491.55 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 13, 2026 2:25pm ET $385.67 51 $19,669.17 $20,060.65 $-822.38
(-4.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held
4 🟢 BUY Jul 16, 2026 3:50pm ET $374.85 53 $19,867.05 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 17, 2026 9:40am ET $358.47 53 $18,998.91 $19,192.50 $-868.14
(-4.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
17.8h held
5 🟢 BUY Jul 21, 2026 3:35pm ET $386.19 49 $18,923.31 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 29, 2026 12:00pm ET $370.01 49 $18,130.49 $18,399.69 $-792.82
(-4.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
7.9d held
6 🟢 BUY Aug 10, 2026 9:30am ET $428.80 42 $18,009.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 14, 2026 9:35am ET $408.23 42 $17,145.66 $17,535.75 $-863.94
(-4.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held
7 🟢 BUY Aug 24, 2026 2:00pm ET $360.87 48 $17,321.76 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 3, 2026 9:40am ET $346.24 48 $16,619.76 $16,833.75 $-702.00
(-4.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
9.8d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $16,833.75
Net Profit/Loss: +$6,833.75
Total Return: +68.34%
Back to Victor Volume