Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:31:05

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
36.8 neutral
20d Trend
-3.6%
5d Trend
-5.4%
EMA20 Dist
-4.3%
ATR%
2.6%
Range Pos
26%
Bounce Ratio
0.3×
Green/Red 10d
4/6

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

29
Lifetime
Confidence: 89%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
8.6/35
Total Return
14.1/25
Win Rate
2.2/15
Profit Factor
2.5/15
Consistency
5.2/10
Raw Quality 32.6/100
× Confidence 0.89 = 28.8

30-Day Momentum

0
-3.1%
30d Return
33%
Win Rate
3
Trades
0.9×
Profit Factor
Quality: 0.0 Conf: 0.61×
Declining (-29 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (89%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,991
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
64 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$354.06
Current Value
$14,867.77
Period P&L
$1,586.45
Max Drawdown
-19.8%
Sharpe Ratio
0.24

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
9
Winners / Losers
4 / 5
Best Trade
+8.38%
Worst Trade
-4.09%
Avg Trade Return
+1.12%
Avg Hold Time
16.3d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$252,689.00
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,586.45
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,586.45
Gross Return
+448.08%
Net Return (after fees)
+448.08%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 BLK Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 64 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 9 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Victor Volume had $354.06 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jun 4, 2026 10:20am ET $1,006.57 13 $13,085.41 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 25, 2026 10:20am ET $999.23 13 $12,989.99 $13,502.19 $-95.42
(-0.7%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
2 🟢 BUY Jun 4, 2026 10:20am ET $1,006.57 13 $13,085.41 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 6, 2026 9:30am ET $999.32 13 $12,991.16 $13,407.94 $-94.25
(-0.7%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
32d held
3 🟢 BUY Jul 7, 2026 3:45pm ET $1,011.65 13 $13,151.45 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 15, 2026 9:30am ET $1,096.39 13 $14,253.07 $14,509.56 +$1,101.62
(+8.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
7.7d held
4 🟢 BUY Jul 16, 2026 3:30pm ET $1,083.05 13 $14,079.59 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 21, 2026 2:10pm ET $1,038.72 13 $13,503.36 $13,933.33 $-576.23
(-4.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.9d held
5 🟢 BUY Jul 7, 2026 3:45pm ET $1,011.65 13 $13,151.45 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 30, 2026 9:30am ET $1,073.55 13 $13,956.15 $14,738.03 +$804.70
(+6.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
22.7d held
6 🟢 BUY Aug 3, 2026 2:10pm ET $1,120.13 13 $14,561.63 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 24, 2026 2:10pm ET $1,167.24 13 $15,174.12 $15,350.52 +$612.49
(+4.2%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
7 🟢 BUY Aug 3, 2026 2:10pm ET $1,120.13 13 $14,561.63 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 26, 2026 9:30am ET $1,176.44 13 $15,293.72 $16,082.61 +$732.09
(+5.0%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
22.8d held
8 🟢 BUY Aug 31, 2026 11:35am ET $1,153.27 13 $14,992.45 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 8, 2026 10:10am ET $1,106.35 13 $14,382.55 $15,472.71 $-609.90
(-4.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
7.9d held
9 🟢 BUY Sep 9, 2026 3:45pm ET $1,074.31 14 $15,040.41 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 16, 2026 3:05pm ET $1,031.10 14 $14,435.47 $14,867.77 $-604.94
(-4.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
7d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $14,867.77
Net Profit/Loss: +$4,867.77
Total Return: +48.68%
Back to Victor Volume