Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:28:43

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
19.3 oversold
20d Trend
-26.5%
5d Trend
-29.8%
EMA20 Dist
-27.1%
ATR%
8.2%
Range Pos
1%
Bounce Ratio
0.4×
Green/Red 10d
4/6

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

5
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
5.2/10
Raw Quality 5.2/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 5.1

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
26,550
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-25 → 2026-09-25
Trading Days
93 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Crypto: 0.15% maker / 0.25% taker (volume-tiered) • 24/7/365 trading

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$-4,816.85
Current Value
$5,738.44
Period P&L
$1,255.18
Max Drawdown
-66.7%
Sharpe Ratio
0.72

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
8
Winners / Losers
5 / 3
Best Trade
+8.97%
Worst Trade
-4.22%
Avg Trade Return
+3.76%
Avg Hold Time
13.4d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
₿ Crypto
Fee Rate
0.25% per trade
Total Volume
$76,442.94
Estimated Fees
$191.11
Gross P&L
$1,255.18
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,064.07
Gross Return
+0.00%
Net Return (after fees)
+0.00%

⚠️ Crypto: Alpaca charges 0.25% taker fee (or 0.15% maker). This simulation uses the conservative 0.25% estimate on all trades.
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 BTCUSD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 93 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 8 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Victor Volume had $-4,816.85 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jun 24, 2026 7:20pm ET $60,784.40 0 $4,310.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 25, 2026 9:55am ET $58,218.90 0 $4,128.86 $4,128.86 $-203.04
(-4.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
14.6h held
2 🟢 BUY Jun 24, 2026 7:20pm ET $60,784.40 0 $4,310.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 15, 2026 7:20pm ET $64,814.30 0 $4,596.60 $4,414.66 +$263.53
(+6.6%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
3 🟢 BUY Jun 24, 2026 7:20pm ET $60,784.40 0 $4,310.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 30, 2026 9:35am ET $64,650.10 0 $4,584.95 $4,688.81 +$251.91
(+6.4%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
35.6d held
4 🟢 BUY Jul 30, 2026 1:20pm ET $64,861.30 0 $4,688.81 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 3, 2026 4:30am ET $62,265.60 0 $4,501.17 $4,501.17 $-210.62
(-4.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.6d held
5 🟢 BUY Aug 3, 2026 9:55am ET $63,154.60 0 $4,501.17 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 19, 2026 11:35am ET $68,235.30 0 $4,863.28 $4,863.28 +$338.70
(+8.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
16.1d held
6 🟢 BUY Aug 19, 2026 4:50pm ET $69,180.70 0 $4,863.28 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 20, 2026 9:35pm ET $74,765.30 0 $5,255.87 $5,255.87 +$367.29
(+8.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.2d held
7 🟢 BUY Aug 21, 2026 4:10pm ET $77,246.30 0 $5,255.87 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 11, 2026 4:10pm ET $77,397.00 0 $5,266.12 $5,266.12 $-16.05
(+0.2%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
8 🟢 BUY Sep 13, 2026 7:00am ET $76,657.40 0 $5,266.12 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 21, 2026 4:40am ET $83,532.80 0 $5,738.44 $5,738.44 +$444.81
(+9.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
7.9d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $5,738.44
Net Profit/Loss: $-4,261.56
Total Return: -42.62%
Back to Victor Volume