Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:22:13

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
13.1 oversold
20d Trend
-42.6%
5d Trend
-24.4%
EMA20 Dist
-25.8%
ATR%
6.8%
Range Pos
2%
Bounce Ratio
0.1×
Green/Red 10d
2/8

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

5
Lifetime
Confidence: 97%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
5.2/10
Raw Quality 5.2/100
× Confidence 0.97 = 5.0

30-Day Momentum

0
-0.3%
30d Return
33%
Win Rate
3
Trades
1.0×
Profit Factor
Quality: 0.0 Conf: 0.61×
Cooling (-5 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (97%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,992
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
64 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$7,512.79
Current Value
$8,460.19
Period P&L
$947.40
Max Drawdown
-46.2%
Sharpe Ratio
0.20

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
11
Winners / Losers
5 / 6
Best Trade
+10.98%
Worst Trade
-4.50%
Avg Trade Return
+1.27%
Avg Hold Time
5.7d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$177,534.52
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$947.40
Net P&L (after fees)
$947.40
Gross Return
+12.61%
Net Return (after fees)
+12.61%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 COIN Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 64 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 11 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Victor Volume had $7,512.79 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jun 25, 2026 3:50pm ET $142.09 52 $7,388.68 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 1, 2026 9:55am ET $153.70 52 $7,992.40 $8,116.50 +$603.72
(+8.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
5.8d held
2 🟢 BUY Jul 7, 2026 9:30am ET $169.54 47 $7,968.38 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 7, 2026 10:25am ET $161.91 47 $7,609.77 $7,757.89 $-358.61
(-4.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
55m held
3 🟢 BUY Jul 9, 2026 9:30am ET $156.70 49 $7,678.30 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 21, 2026 9:30am ET $173.90 49 $8,521.10 $8,600.69 +$842.80
(+11.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
12d held
4 🟢 BUY Jul 22, 2026 9:30am ET $173.60 49 $8,506.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 22, 2026 2:30pm ET $166.57 49 $8,162.17 $8,256.46 $-344.23
(-4.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5h held
5 🟢 BUY Jul 23, 2026 3:55pm ET $161.12 51 $8,217.12 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 24, 2026 10:35am ET $154.41 51 $7,875.16 $7,914.51 $-341.96
(-4.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
18.7h held
6 🟢 BUY Jul 27, 2026 3:55pm ET $167.53 47 $7,873.91 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 28, 2026 9:35am ET $160.80 47 $7,557.60 $7,598.20 $-316.31
(-4.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
17.7h held
7 🟢 BUY Jul 9, 2026 9:30am ET $156.70 49 $7,678.30 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 30, 2026 9:35am ET $161.88 49 $7,932.12 $7,852.02 +$253.82
(+3.3%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
8 🟢 BUY Aug 4, 2026 9:30am ET $150.80 52 $7,841.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 19, 2026 11:40am ET $162.93 52 $8,472.36 $8,482.78 +$630.76
(+8.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
15.1d held
9 🟢 BUY Aug 21, 2026 3:50pm ET $186.43 45 $8,389.35 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 25, 2026 9:40am ET $178.44 45 $8,029.80 $8,123.23 $-359.55
(-4.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.7d held
10 🟢 BUY Sep 1, 2026 2:45pm ET $176.13 46 $8,102.14 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 3, 2026 10:45am ET $191.31 46 $8,800.26 $8,821.35 +$698.12
(+8.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.8d held
11 🟢 BUY Sep 14, 2026 9:30am ET $188.03 46 $8,649.38 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 15, 2026 9:35am ET $180.18 46 $8,288.22 $8,460.19 $-361.16
(-4.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $8,460.19
Net Profit/Loss: $-1,539.81
Total Return: -15.40%
Back to Victor Volume