Compendium › Victor Volume › DKNG
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
DKNG
Alpaca Tradeable

Victor Volume's Analysis

Last 3 Months: 2026-06-24 to present • 14 trades in period

-18.67%
Last 3 Months Return
$7,904.59
Current Value
29%
Win Rate
$9,718.65
Period Start
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PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-24 23:53:20

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
22.5 oversold
20d Trend
-25.9%
5d Trend
-7.4%
EMA20 Dist
-13.7%
ATR%
5.3%
Range Pos
8%
Bounce Ratio
0.2×
Green/Red 10d
3/7

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

5
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.6/10
Raw Quality 4.5/100
× Confidence 1.00 = 4.5

30-Day Momentum

2
-19.1%
30d Return
0%
Win Rate
5
Trades
0.5×
Profit Factor
Quality: 2.9 Conf: 0.70×
Cooling (-3 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
5,070
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
65 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$9,718.65
Current Value
$7,904.59
Period P&L
$-1,814.07
Max Drawdown
-40.7%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.19

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
14
Winners / Losers
4 / 10
Best Trade
+8.95%
Worst Trade
-9.45%
Avg Trade Return
-1.21%
Avg Hold Time
5d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$274,895.63
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-1,814.07
Net P&L (after fees)
$-1,814.07
Gross Return
-18.67%
Net Return (after fees)
-18.67%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 DKNG Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 65 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 14 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Victor Volume had $9,718.65 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jun 26, 2026 9:30am ET $24.05 404 $9,716.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 29, 2026 9:30am ET $26.07 404 $10,530.26 $10,532.71 +$814.06
(+8.4%) 		🎯 +5% Target
3d held
2 🟢 BUY Jun 30, 2026 3:15pm ET $24.97 421 $10,510.27 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 7, 2026 9:35am ET $27.01 421 $11,371.21 $11,393.66 +$860.95
(+8.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
6.8d held
3 🟢 BUY Jul 8, 2026 2:00pm ET $26.88 423 $11,370.24 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 14, 2026 9:50am ET $25.75 423 $10,892.25 $10,915.67 $-477.99
(-4.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
5.8d held
4 🟢 BUY Jul 15, 2026 12:55pm ET $25.88 421 $10,893.38 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 16, 2026 10:10am ET $24.82 421 $10,447.12 $10,469.41 $-446.26
(-4.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
21.3h held
5 🟢 BUY Jul 17, 2026 1:00pm ET $24.84 421 $10,457.64 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 22, 2026 9:30am ET $22.84 421 $9,617.74 $9,629.52 $-839.90
(-8.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
4.9d held
6 🟢 BUY Jul 23, 2026 1:45pm ET $22.75 423 $9,625.36 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 28, 2026 10:40am ET $24.64 423 $10,420.61 $10,424.76 +$795.24
(+8.3%) 		🎯 +5% Target
4.9d held
7 🟢 BUY Jul 8, 2026 2:00pm ET $26.88 423 $11,370.24 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 30, 2026 9:35am ET $24.34 423 $10,295.82 $9,350.34 $-1,074.42
(-9.4%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
21.8d held
8 🟢 BUY Aug 7, 2026 9:30am ET $22.35 418 $9,342.30 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 10, 2026 9:45am ET $24.35 418 $10,178.30 $10,186.34 +$836.00
(+8.9%) 		🎯 +5% Target
3d held
9 🟢 BUY Aug 13, 2026 1:55pm ET $25.25 403 $10,175.75 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 18, 2026 3:50pm ET $24.24 403 $9,766.71 $9,777.30 $-409.04
(-4.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
5.1d held
10 🟢 BUY Aug 21, 2026 2:10pm ET $25.82 378 $9,759.96 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 26, 2026 11:45am ET $24.74 378 $9,350.47 $9,367.81 $-409.49
(-4.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
4.9d held
11 🟢 BUY Aug 31, 2026 11:20am ET $24.81 377 $9,351.49 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 1, 2026 9:30am ET $23.75 377 $8,953.75 $8,970.07 $-397.74
(-4.3%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
22.2h held
12 🟢 BUY Sep 2, 2026 9:30am ET $24.75 362 $8,959.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 4, 2026 9:35am ET $23.73 362 $8,588.45 $8,599.02 $-371.05
(-4.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
2d held
13 🟢 BUY Sep 11, 2026 2:05pm ET $24.40 352 $8,588.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 17, 2026 12:20pm ET $23.42 352 $8,242.08 $8,252.30 $-346.72
(-4.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
5.9d held
14 🟢 BUY Sep 22, 2026 11:30am ET $23.33 353 $8,233.73 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 22, 2026 11:40am ET $22.34 353 $7,886.02 $7,904.59 $-347.71
(-4.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
10m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $7,904.59
Net Profit/Loss: $-2,095.41
Total Return: -20.95%
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