Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-06 08:49:07

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
21.8 oversold
20d Trend
-37.1%
5d Trend
-36.5%
EMA20 Dist
-35.0%
ATR%
12.1%
Range Pos
1%
Bounce Ratio
0.3×
Green/Red 10d
3/7
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored Mar 4, 2026

18
Lifetime
Confidence: 65%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.6/35
Total Return
3.7/25
Win Rate
12.5/15
Profit Factor
2.4/15
Consistency
7.9/10
Raw Quality 27.0/100
× Confidence 0.65 = 17.7

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (65%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
25,777
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-02-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
90 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Crypto: 0.15% maker / 0.25% taker (volume-tiered) • 24/7/365 trading

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$9,850.28
Current Value
$10,218.01
Period P&L
$-94.09
Max Drawdown
-105.6%
Sharpe Ratio
0.07

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
16
Winners / Losers
6 / 10
Best Trade
+9.05%
Worst Trade
-8.26%
Avg Trade Return
+0.43%
Avg Hold Time
1.2d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
₿ Crypto
Fee Rate
0.25% per trade
Total Volume
$305,085.98
Estimated Fees
$762.71
Gross P&L
$-94.09
Net P&L (after fees)
$-856.81
Gross Return
-0.96%
Net Return (after fees)
-8.70%

⚠️ Crypto: Alpaca charges 0.25% taker fee (or 0.15% maker). This simulation uses the conservative 0.25% estimate on all trades.
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

💸 Capital Refund History

When capital drops below $100, the simulation automatically refunds to $10,000 and continues. This ensures continuous data collection even for strategies that experience significant losses.

# Date Capital Before Trades Before Era Fees Paid Reason
1 Feb 5, 2026 $98.87 546 $9,533.78 CAPITAL_EXHAUSTED

⚠️ Note: This simulation has been refunded 1 time. Total capital invested: $20,000. The return percentage accounts for all refunds.

📚 Strategy Crash History — Learning from Failures

Each "era" below represents a period where the strategy ran until it crashed (capital < $100). Study these to understand how this strategy can fail and what market conditions caused the losses.

💀 Era 1 — CRASHED
Jan 3, 2024 → Feb 5, 2026
Trades
546
Win Rate
33.7%
P&L
$-9,901.16
Fees Paid
$9,533.78
Return
-99.0%
Started
$10,000
Crashed At
$98.87
Crash Reason: CAPITAL_EXHAUSTED

📖 Learning Tip: Look for patterns in the crash history. Did the strategy fail during high volatility? Extended trends? Specific market conditions? Understanding how strategies die helps you know when NOT to use them in real trading.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 DOGEUSD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 90 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 16 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Victor Volume had $9,850.28 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 3:35pm ET $0.0898 112,485 $10,098.87
🔴 SELL Feb 5, 2026 7:10pm ET $0.0824 112,485 $9,264.23 $9,215.82 $-883.04
(-8.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.6h held
2 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 7:20pm ET $0.0828 111,248 $9,215.82
🔴 SELL Feb 5, 2026 8:45pm ET $0.0903 111,248 $10,050.19 $10,002.02 +$786.20
(+9.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.4h held
3 🟢 BUY Feb 6, 2026 12:00am ET $0.0911 109,743 $10,002.02
🔴 SELL Feb 6, 2026 11:15am ET $0.0988 109,743 $10,847.05 $10,794.92 +$792.90
(+8.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
11.3h held
4 🟢 BUY Feb 6, 2026 11:45am ET $0.0999 108,057 $10,794.92
🔴 SELL Feb 7, 2026 2:10am ET $0.0956 108,057 $10,332.44 $10,279.62 $-515.30
(-4.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
14.4h held
5 🟢 BUY Feb 7, 2026 5:40am ET $0.0953 107,889 $10,279.62
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 12:25pm ET $0.0936 107,889 $10,103.39 $10,052.44 $-227.18
(-1.7%)
📅 Sim Ended
3.3d held
6 🟢 BUY Feb 16, 2026 12:50pm ET $0.1009 99,662 $10,052.44
🔴 SELL Feb 19, 2026 8:45am ET $0.0967 99,662 $9,638.02 $9,638.02 $-463.64
(-4.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.8d held
7 🟢 BUY Feb 19, 2026 8:50am ET $0.0968 99,581 $9,638.02
🔴 SELL Feb 22, 2026 8:10pm ET $0.0923 99,581 $9,189.24 $9,189.24 $-495.85
(-4.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.5d held
8 🟢 BUY Feb 23, 2026 2:05am ET $0.0947 96,985 $9,189.24
🔴 SELL Feb 24, 2026 12:25am ET $0.0908 96,985 $8,810.93 $8,810.93 $-423.31
(-4.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
22.3h held
9 🟢 BUY Feb 24, 2026 6:25am ET $0.0911 96,716 $8,810.93
🔴 SELL Feb 25, 2026 9:40am ET $0.0987 96,716 $9,545.62 $9,545.62 +$688.80
(+8.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.1d held
10 🟢 BUY Feb 25, 2026 9:45am ET $0.0989 96,518 $9,545.62
🔴 SELL Feb 27, 2026 7:00am ET $0.0949 96,518 $9,157.56 $9,157.56 $-434.82
(-4.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9d held
11 🟢 BUY Feb 27, 2026 8:00am ET $0.0955 95,912 $9,157.56
🔴 SELL Feb 28, 2026 1:20am ET $0.0911 95,912 $8,736.33 $8,736.33 $-465.96
(-4.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
17.3h held
12 🟢 BUY Feb 28, 2026 8:45am ET $0.0897 97,443 $8,736.33
🔴 SELL Feb 28, 2026 9:05pm ET $0.0975 97,443 $9,501.27 $9,501.27 +$719.35
(+8.8%)
🎯 +5% Target
12.3h held
13 🟢 BUY Mar 1, 2026 7:30am ET $0.0935 101,573 $9,501.27
🔴 SELL Mar 3, 2026 4:35am ET $0.0898 101,573 $9,120.10 $9,120.10 $-427.73
(-4.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9d held
14 🟢 BUY Mar 3, 2026 11:25am ET $0.0923 98,758 $9,120.10
🔴 SELL Mar 3, 2026 4:05pm ET $0.0886 98,758 $8,753.87 $8,753.87 $-410.92
(-4.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.7h held
15 🟢 BUY Mar 4, 2026 1:05am ET $0.0891 98,247 $8,753.87
🔴 SELL Mar 4, 2026 10:10am ET $0.0963 98,247 $9,460.55 $9,460.55 +$661.15
(+8.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
9.1h held
16 🟢 BUY Mar 4, 2026 10:20am ET $0.0966 97,932 $9,460.55
🔴 SELL Mar 4, 2026 2:20pm ET $0.1043 97,932 $10,218.01 $10,218.01 +$708.26
(+8.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
4h held
Started with: $10,000.00
+ 1 refund ($10,000)
Total Invested: $20,000.00
Ended with: $10,218.01
Net Profit/Loss: $-9,781.99
Total Return: -48.91%
Back to Victor Volume