Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:25:37

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
22.2 oversold
20d Trend
-34.3%
5d Trend
-40.1%
EMA20 Dist
-35.3%
ATR%
13.6%
Range Pos
0%
Bounce Ratio
0.5×
Green/Red 10d
5/5

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

3
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
3.3/10
Raw Quality 3.3/100
× Confidence 0.98 = 3.3

30-Day Momentum

36
+12.8%
30d Return
67%
Win Rate
3
Trades
1.8×
Profit Factor
Quality: 58.9 Conf: 0.61×
Accelerating (+33 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
26,550
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-25 → 2026-09-25
Trading Days
93 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Crypto: 0.15% maker / 0.25% taker (volume-tiered) • 24/7/365 trading

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$-281.02
Current Value
$1,597.27
Period P&L
$451.06
Max Drawdown
-89.5%
Sharpe Ratio
0.60

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
12
Winners / Losers
8 / 4
Best Trade
+8.86%
Worst Trade
-5.16%
Avg Trade Return
+3.51%
Avg Hold Time
7.3d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
₿ Crypto
Fee Rate
0.25% per trade
Total Volume
$30,302.68
Estimated Fees
$75.76
Gross P&L
$451.06
Net P&L (after fees)
$375.30
Gross Return
+0.00%
Net Return (after fees)
+0.00%

⚠️ Crypto: Alpaca charges 0.25% taker fee (or 0.15% maker). This simulation uses the conservative 0.25% estimate on all trades.
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 ETHUSD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 93 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 12 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Victor Volume had $-281.02 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jun 24, 2026 6:00pm ET $1,619.52 1 $1,078.69 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 25, 2026 9:55am ET $1,536.00 1 $1,023.06 $1,023.06 $-60.88
(-5.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
15.9h held
2 🟢 BUY Jun 25, 2026 11:45am ET $1,557.97 1 $1,023.06 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 2, 2026 9:20am ET $1,683.62 1 $1,105.57 $1,105.57 +$77.19
(+8.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
6.9d held
3 🟢 BUY Jun 24, 2026 6:00pm ET $1,619.52 1 $1,078.69 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 3, 2026 4:25pm ET $1,749.77 1 $1,165.44 $1,192.32 +$81.14
(+8.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
8.9d held
4 🟢 BUY Jul 5, 2026 5:55pm ET $1,784.70 1 $1,192.32 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 8, 2026 11:25am ET $1,713.24 1 $1,144.58 $1,144.58 $-53.58
(-4.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.7d held
5 🟢 BUY Jul 10, 2026 2:55pm ET $1,783.76 1 $1,144.58 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 15, 2026 8:50am ET $1,927.23 1 $1,236.64 $1,236.64 +$86.11
(+8.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
4.7d held
6 🟢 BUY Jul 15, 2026 9:00am ET $1,935.81 1 $1,236.64 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 16, 2026 7:20pm ET $1,857.64 1 $1,186.70 $1,186.70 $-56.00
(-4.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.4d held
7 🟢 BUY Jul 16, 2026 7:40pm ET $1,861.48 1 $1,186.70 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 6, 2026 7:40pm ET $1,897.43 1 $1,209.62 $1,209.62 +$16.93
(+1.9%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
8 🟢 BUY Aug 7, 2026 2:15am ET $1,902.03 1 $1,209.62 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 19, 2026 11:30am ET $2,056.50 1 $1,307.86 $1,307.86 +$91.94
(+8.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
12.4d held
9 🟢 BUY Aug 19, 2026 4:50pm ET $2,192.28 1 $1,307.86 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 20, 2026 9:50pm ET $2,373.00 1 $1,415.67 $1,415.67 +$101.00
(+8.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.2d held
10 🟢 BUY Aug 21, 2026 3:10pm ET $2,414.45 1 $1,415.67 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 11, 2026 10:00am ET $2,628.38 1 $1,541.10 $1,541.10 +$118.04
(+8.9%)
🎯 +5% Target
20.8d held
11 🟢 BUY Sep 11, 2026 2:45pm ET $2,545.21 1 $1,541.10 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 15, 2026 9:50am ET $2,439.53 1 $1,477.11 $1,477.11 $-71.53
(-4.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.8d held
12 🟢 BUY Sep 15, 2026 6:30pm ET $2,395.54 1 $1,477.11 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 18, 2026 11:25am ET $2,590.41 1 $1,597.27 $1,597.27 +$112.47
(+8.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.7d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $1,597.27
Net Profit/Loss: $-8,402.73
Total Return: -84.03%
Back to Victor Volume