Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-25 04:07:03

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 2.8
Storm
⛈️ 1 storm day in 7d
RSI(14)
43.2 neutral
20d Trend
-4.5%
5d Trend
-4.7%
EMA20 Dist
-2.7%
ATR%
3.8%
Range Pos
74%
Bounce Ratio
0.9×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

45
Lifetime
Confidence: 87%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
19.8/35
Total Return
17.6/25
Win Rate
4.3/15
Profit Factor
3.6/15
Consistency
6.5/10
Raw Quality 51.7/100
× Confidence 0.87 = 45.2

30-Day Momentum

0
-11.8%
30d Return
0%
Win Rate
3
Trades
0.6×
Profit Factor
Quality: 0.0 Conf: 0.61×
Declining (-45 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (87%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,992
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
64 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$24,521.22
Current Value
$22,931.61
Period P&L
$-1,589.61
Max Drawdown
-22.9%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.13

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
6
Winners / Losers
2 / 4
Best Trade
+8.39%
Worst Trade
-9.49%
Avg Trade Return
-0.88%
Avg Hold Time
9.3d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$298,127.78
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-1,589.61
Net P&L (after fees)
$-1,589.61
Gross Return
-6.48%
Net Return (after fees)
-6.48%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 GOOGL Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 64 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 6 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Victor Volume had $24,521.22 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jun 25, 2026 3:50pm ET $343.43 71 $24,383.53 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 7, 2026 9:45am ET $371.21 71 $26,355.91 $26,493.60 +$1,972.38
(+8.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
11.7d held
2 🟢 BUY Jul 10, 2026 1:55pm ET $354.98 74 $26,268.52 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 23, 2026 9:30am ET $321.29 74 $23,775.46 $24,000.54 $-2,493.06
(-9.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
12.8d held
3 🟢 BUY Jul 24, 2026 9:30am ET $319.74 75 $23,980.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 31, 2026 10:05am ET $346.57 75 $25,992.75 $26,012.79 +$2,012.25
(+8.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
7d held
4 🟢 BUY Aug 24, 2026 9:30am ET $347.78 74 $25,735.71 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 1, 2026 2:35pm ET $333.85 74 $24,704.53 $24,981.61 $-1,031.18
(-4.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
8.2d held
5 🟢 BUY Aug 24, 2026 9:30am ET $347.78 74 $25,735.71 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 8, 2026 10:05am ET $333.46 74 $24,676.04 $23,921.94 $-1,059.67
(-4.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
15d held
6 🟢 BUY Sep 22, 2026 9:30am ET $359.92 66 $23,754.72 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 23, 2026 9:55am ET $344.92 66 $22,764.39 $22,931.61 $-990.33
(-4.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $22,931.61
Net Profit/Loss: +$12,931.61
Total Return: +129.32%
Back to Victor Volume