Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-25 01:30:47

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
24.1 oversold
20d Trend
-14.4%
5d Trend
-4.7%
EMA20 Dist
-6.4%
ATR%
3.0%
Range Pos
29%
Bounce Ratio
0.0×
Green/Red 10d
1/9

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

27
Lifetime
Confidence: 90%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
5.9/35
Total Return
14.2/25
Win Rate
2.7/15
Profit Factor
1.5/15
Consistency
5.5/10
Raw Quality 29.8/100
× Confidence 0.90 = 26.9

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (90%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,992
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
64 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$15,168.16
Current Value
$15,015.26
Period P&L
$-152.90
Max Drawdown
-29.5%
Sharpe Ratio
0.01

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
8
Winners / Losers
3 / 5
Best Trade
+8.08%
Worst Trade
-5.86%
Avg Trade Return
+0.07%
Avg Hold Time
7.6d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$236,663.42
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-152.90
Net P&L (after fees)
$-152.90
Gross Return
-1.01%
Net Return (after fees)
-1.01%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 ISRG Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 64 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 8 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Victor Volume had $15,168.16 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jun 25, 2026 12:50pm ET $402.05 37 $14,875.85 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 6, 2026 1:15pm ET $434.43 37 $16,074.09 $16,366.41 +$1,198.25
(+8.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
11d held
2 🟢 BUY Jul 10, 2026 3:50pm ET $406.84 40 $16,273.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 14, 2026 9:30am ET $388.79 40 $15,551.60 $15,644.41 $-722.00
(-4.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.7d held
3 🟢 BUY Jul 15, 2026 9:30am ET $379.99 41 $15,579.69 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 17, 2026 9:30am ET $357.72 41 $14,666.52 $14,731.24 $-913.17
(-5.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held
4 🟢 BUY Jul 20, 2026 9:30am ET $352.07 41 $14,434.87 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 23, 2026 9:30am ET $336.35 41 $13,790.35 $14,086.72 $-644.52
(-4.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held
5 🟢 BUY Jul 27, 2026 9:30am ET $351.89 40 $14,075.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 10, 2026 9:30am ET $380.12 40 $15,204.80 $15,215.92 +$1,129.20
(+8.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
14d held
6 🟢 BUY Aug 11, 2026 9:30am ET $396.70 38 $15,074.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 20, 2026 1:15pm ET $378.34 38 $14,376.92 $14,518.24 $-697.68
(-4.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
9.2d held
7 🟢 BUY Aug 21, 2026 3:40pm ET $380.14 38 $14,445.32 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 4, 2026 10:50am ET $364.19 38 $13,839.22 $13,912.14 $-606.10
(-4.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
13.8d held
8 🟢 BUY Sep 10, 2026 9:30am ET $349.96 39 $13,648.63 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 14, 2026 3:40pm ET $378.25 39 $14,751.75 $15,015.26 +$1,103.12
(+8.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
4.3d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $15,015.26
Net Profit/Loss: +$5,015.26
Total Return: +50.15%
Back to Victor Volume