Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-24 23:54:37

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
47.7 neutral
20d Trend
-3.6%
5d Trend
+0.1%
EMA20 Dist
-1.1%
ATR%
3.7%
Range Pos
72%
Bounce Ratio
1.5×
Green/Red 10d
5/5

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

37
Lifetime
Confidence: 91%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
13.2/35
Total Return
16.8/25
Win Rate
2.8/15
Profit Factor
3.0/15
Consistency
4.9/10
Raw Quality 40.5/100
× Confidence 0.91 = 36.8

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (91%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
5,070
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
65 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$18,340.61
Current Value
$20,367.05
Period P&L
$2,026.42
Max Drawdown
-27.6%
Sharpe Ratio
0.28

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
7
Winners / Losers
3 / 4
Best Trade
+9.00%
Worst Trade
-4.61%
Avg Trade Return
+1.72%
Avg Hold Time
9.4d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$274,863.44
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$2,026.42
Net P&L (after fees)
$2,026.42
Gross Return
+11.05%
Net Return (after fees)
+11.05%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 LLY Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 65 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 7 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Victor Volume had $18,340.61 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jun 25, 2026 3:15pm ET $1,132.55 16 $18,120.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 29, 2026 9:30am ET $1,234.47 16 $19,751.60 $19,971.43 +$1,630.80
(+9.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.8d held
2 🟢 BUY Jul 1, 2026 3:50pm ET $1,193.83 16 $19,101.28 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 14, 2026 9:55am ET $1,145.73 16 $18,331.68 $19,201.83 $-769.60
(-4.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
12.8d held
3 🟢 BUY Jul 1, 2026 3:50pm ET $1,193.83 16 $19,101.28 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 30, 2026 9:30am ET $1,180.99 16 $18,895.92 $18,996.47 $-205.36
(-1.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
28.7d held
4 🟢 BUY Aug 3, 2026 1:45pm ET $1,118.91 16 $17,902.48 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 6, 2026 9:35am ET $1,209.41 16 $19,350.53 $20,444.52 +$1,448.05
(+8.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.8d held
5 🟢 BUY Aug 14, 2026 3:20pm ET $1,179.91 17 $20,058.47 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 19, 2026 9:45am ET $1,283.53 17 $21,820.01 $22,206.06 +$1,761.54
(+8.8%)
🎯 +5% Target
4.8d held
6 🟢 BUY Aug 24, 2026 3:30pm ET $1,248.86 17 $21,230.62 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 26, 2026 9:40am ET $1,191.30 17 $20,252.10 $21,227.54 $-978.52
(-4.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.8d held
7 🟢 BUY Aug 31, 2026 3:40pm ET $1,161.31 18 $20,903.58 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 11, 2026 3:10pm ET $1,113.51 18 $20,043.09 $20,367.05 $-860.49
(-4.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
11d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $20,367.05
Net Profit/Loss: +$10,367.05
Total Return: +103.67%
Back to Victor Volume