Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:01:43

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
22.8 oversold
20d Trend
-38.7%
5d Trend
-38.1%
EMA20 Dist
-35.1%
ATR%
12.4%
Range Pos
1%
Bounce Ratio
0.5×
Green/Red 10d
4/6

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

3
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
3.3/10
Raw Quality 3.3/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 3.3

30-Day Momentum

79
+45.0%
30d Return
67%
Win Rate
9
Trades
2.7×
Profit Factor
Quality: 93.6 Conf: 0.84×
Accelerating (+76 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
26,545
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-25 → 2026-09-25
Trading Days
93 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Crypto: 0.15% maker / 0.25% taker (volume-tiered) • 24/7/365 trading

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$-49.49
Current Value
$804.93
Period P&L
$391.24
Max Drawdown
-96.1%
Sharpe Ratio
0.96

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
17
Winners / Losers
13 / 4
Best Trade
+11.88%
Worst Trade
-4.24%
Avg Trade Return
+5.44%
Avg Hold Time
6.5d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
₿ Crypto
Fee Rate
0.25% per trade
Total Volume
$18,226.21
Estimated Fees
$45.57
Gross P&L
$391.24
Net P&L (after fees)
$345.67
Gross Return
+0.00%
Net Return (after fees)
+0.00%

⚠️ Crypto: Alpaca charges 0.25% taker fee (or 0.15% maker). This simulation uses the conservative 0.25% estimate on all trades.
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 LTCUSD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 93 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 17 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Victor Volume had $-49.49 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jun 24, 2026 2:00pm ET $39.46 9 $343.36 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 27, 2026 4:55am ET $42.65 9 $371.12 $371.12 +$25.97
(+8.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.6d held
2 🟢 BUY Jun 24, 2026 2:00pm ET $39.46 9 $343.36 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 3, 2026 7:30am ET $43.49 9 $378.43 $406.19 +$33.26
(+10.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
8.7d held
3 🟢 BUY Jul 6, 2026 10:15am ET $44.27 9 $406.19 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 18, 2026 1:35pm ET $47.83 9 $438.85 $438.85 +$30.55
(+8.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
12.1d held
4 🟢 BUY Jul 18, 2026 4:15pm ET $46.96 9 $438.85 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 29, 2026 12:15am ET $44.97 9 $420.26 $420.26 $-20.74
(-4.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
10.3d held
5 🟢 BUY Jul 6, 2026 10:15am ET $44.27 9 $406.19 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 30, 2026 9:35am ET $45.16 9 $414.36 $428.43 +$6.11
(+2.0%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
24d held
6 🟢 BUY Jul 31, 2026 1:50pm ET $44.87 10 $428.43 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 20, 2026 1:05pm ET $48.47 10 $462.80 $462.80 +$32.15
(+8.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
20d held
7 🟢 BUY Aug 20, 2026 9:45pm ET $48.25 10 $462.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 21, 2026 3:25pm ET $52.16 10 $500.30 $500.30 +$35.10
(+8.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
17.7h held
8 🟢 BUY Aug 20, 2026 9:45pm ET $48.25 10 $462.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 21, 2026 10:30pm ET $53.98 10 $517.76 $555.26 +$52.51
(+11.9%)
🎯 +5% Target
1d held
9 🟢 BUY Aug 22, 2026 5:05am ET $51.60 11 $555.26 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 26, 2026 11:05am ET $49.50 11 $532.66 $532.66 $-25.32
(-4.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.3d held
10 🟢 BUY Aug 28, 2026 5:55am ET $49.01 11 $532.66 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 5, 2026 2:05am ET $53.01 11 $576.13 $576.13 +$40.70
(+8.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
7.8d held
11 🟢 BUY Sep 5, 2026 8:10am ET $53.15 11 $576.13 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 7, 2026 8:45am ET $57.65 11 $624.91 $624.91 +$45.78
(+8.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
2d held
12 🟢 BUY Sep 9, 2026 2:05am ET $54.02 12 $624.91 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 10, 2026 9:00am ET $51.78 12 $599.00 $599.00 $-28.97
(-4.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.3d held
13 🟢 BUY Sep 10, 2026 4:00pm ET $52.18 11 $599.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 18, 2026 1:40pm ET $56.40 11 $647.44 $647.44 +$45.33
(+8.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
7.9d held
14 🟢 BUY Sep 18, 2026 1:45pm ET $56.59 11 $647.44 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 21, 2026 8:30am ET $61.53 11 $703.96 $703.96 +$53.14
(+8.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.8d held
15 🟢 BUY Sep 21, 2026 12:00pm ET $63.05 11 $703.96 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 21, 2026 11:00pm ET $60.50 11 $675.49 $675.49 $-31.92
(-4.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
11h held
16 🟢 BUY Sep 22, 2026 2:10am ET $60.85 11 $675.49 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 23, 2026 10:50pm ET $65.89 11 $731.44 $731.44 +$52.43
(+8.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held
17 🟢 BUY Sep 22, 2026 2:10am ET $60.85 11 $675.49 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 24, 2026 5:25am ET $67.47 11 $748.98 $804.93 +$69.93
(+10.9%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.1d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $804.93
Net Profit/Loss: $-9,195.07
Total Return: -91.95%
Back to Victor Volume