Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-24 23:57:36

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
53.6 neutral
20d Trend
-3.7%
5d Trend
+4.3%
EMA20 Dist
+1.1%
ATR%
2.8%
Range Pos
81%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
6/4

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

5
Lifetime
Confidence: 92%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
1.1/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.9/10
Raw Quality 5.9/100
× Confidence 0.92 = 5.5

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (92%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
5,065
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
65 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$6,258.19
Current Value
$7,565.81
Period P&L
$1,307.62
Max Drawdown
-50.5%
Sharpe Ratio
0.76

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
5
Winners / Losers
3 / 2
Best Trade
+8.65%
Worst Trade
-4.30%
Avg Trade Return
+4.09%
Avg Hold Time
14.5d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$70,262.61
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,307.62
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,307.62
Gross Return
+20.89%
Net Return (after fees)
+20.89%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 REGN Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 65 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 5 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Victor Volume had $6,258.19 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jun 25, 2026 2:30pm ET $625.07 10 $6,250.70 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 7, 2026 3:35pm ET $675.41 10 $6,754.10 $6,761.59 +$503.40
(+8.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
12d held
2 🟢 BUY Jul 10, 2026 2:15pm ET $662.41 10 $6,624.05 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 30, 2026 12:35pm ET $718.09 10 $7,180.91 $7,318.45 +$556.86
(+8.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
19.9d held
3 🟢 BUY Aug 6, 2026 2:05pm ET $766.48 9 $6,898.32 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 19, 2026 9:45am ET $832.78 9 $7,495.02 $7,915.15 +$596.70
(+8.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
12.8d held
4 🟢 BUY Aug 21, 2026 3:40pm ET $833.36 9 $7,500.24 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 28, 2026 9:35am ET $797.55 9 $7,177.95 $7,592.86 $-322.29
(-4.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6.7d held
5 🟢 BUY Aug 31, 2026 3:40pm ET $800.47 9 $7,204.19 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 21, 2026 3:40pm ET $797.46 9 $7,177.14 $7,565.81 $-27.05
(-0.4%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $7,565.81
Net Profit/Loss: $-2,434.19
Total Return: -24.34%
Back to Victor Volume