Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:34:46

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
20.6 oversold
20d Trend
-38.8%
5d Trend
-41.0%
EMA20 Dist
-37.6%
ATR%
13.7%
Range Pos
0%
Bounce Ratio
0.3×
Green/Red 10d
3/7

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

4
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.2/10
Raw Quality 4.2/100
× Confidence 0.98 = 4.2

30-Day Momentum

6
-10.4%
30d Return
25%
Win Rate
8
Trades
0.7×
Profit Factor
Quality: 7.1 Conf: 0.81×
Steady (+2 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
26,551
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-25 → 2026-09-25
Trading Days
93 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Crypto: 0.15% maker / 0.25% taker (volume-tiered) • 24/7/365 trading

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$-104.90
Current Value
$684.31
Period P&L
$171.75
Max Drawdown
-95.8%
Sharpe Ratio
0.37

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
20
Winners / Losers
10 / 10
Best Trade
+22.96%
Worst Trade
-4.89%
Avg Trade Return
+2.84%
Avg Hold Time
5.2d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
₿ Crypto
Fee Rate
0.25% per trade
Total Volume
$25,055.88
Estimated Fees
$62.64
Gross P&L
$171.75
Net P&L (after fees)
$109.11
Gross Return
+0.00%
Net Return (after fees)
+0.00%

⚠️ Crypto: Alpaca charges 0.25% taker fee (or 0.15% maker). This simulation uses the conservative 0.25% estimate on all trades.
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 SOLUSD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 93 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 20 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Victor Volume had $-104.90 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jun 24, 2026 3:50pm ET $66.07 7 $429.82 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 26, 2026 10:20am ET $71.45 7 $464.82 $464.82 +$32.76
(+8.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.8d held
2 🟢 BUY Jun 26, 2026 12:00pm ET $72.65 6 $464.82 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 1, 2026 6:20pm ET $78.56 6 $502.63 $502.63 +$35.39
(+8.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
5.3d held
3 🟢 BUY Jun 24, 2026 3:50pm ET $66.07 7 $429.82 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 3, 2026 7:30am ET $81.24 7 $528.51 $601.32 +$96.29
(+23.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
8.7d held
4 🟢 BUY Jul 3, 2026 8:25pm ET $82.43 7 $601.32 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 7, 2026 9:40pm ET $78.99 7 $576.23 $576.23 $-28.04
(-4.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.1d held
5 🟢 BUY Jul 8, 2026 7:30am ET $77.07 7 $576.23 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 17, 2026 9:05am ET $73.76 7 $551.48 $551.48 $-27.57
(-4.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
9.1d held
6 🟢 BUY Jul 8, 2026 7:30am ET $77.07 7 $576.23 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 30, 2026 9:35am ET $74.05 7 $553.65 $528.90 $-25.40
(-3.9%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
22.1d held
7 🟢 BUY Jul 30, 2026 2:40pm ET $74.52 7 $528.90 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 1, 2026 2:30pm ET $71.47 7 $507.25 $507.25 $-24.24
(-4.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held
8 🟢 BUY Aug 2, 2026 1:00am ET $73.55 7 $507.25 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 19, 2026 10:55am ET $80.54 7 $555.46 $555.46 +$45.55
(+9.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
17.4d held
9 🟢 BUY Aug 19, 2026 11:05am ET $81.41 7 $555.46 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 20, 2026 7:40am ET $87.98 7 $600.29 $600.29 +$41.94
(+8.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
20.6h held
10 🟢 BUY Aug 20, 2026 11:20am ET $87.05 7 $600.29 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 21, 2026 6:05pm ET $94.28 7 $650.15 $650.15 +$46.73
(+8.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.3d held
11 🟢 BUY Aug 20, 2026 11:20am ET $87.05 7 $600.29 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 21, 2026 10:30pm ET $94.79 7 $653.66 $703.52 +$50.24
(+8.9%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.5d held
12 🟢 BUY Aug 22, 2026 9:20am ET $93.80 8 $703.52 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 24, 2026 8:40pm ET $101.81 8 $763.60 $763.60 +$56.41
(+8.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.5d held
13 🟢 BUY Aug 25, 2026 12:45am ET $101.02 8 $763.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 25, 2026 9:25am ET $96.96 8 $732.91 $732.91 $-34.43
(-4.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
8.7h held
14 🟢 BUY Aug 25, 2026 9:35am ET $97.91 7 $732.91 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 27, 2026 10:00am ET $105.96 7 $793.17 $793.17 +$56.44
(+8.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
2d held
15 🟢 BUY Aug 27, 2026 12:45pm ET $108.93 7 $793.17 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 28, 2026 10:05am ET $104.03 7 $757.49 $757.49 $-39.56
(-4.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
21.3h held
16 🟢 BUY Aug 28, 2026 10:50am ET $106.02 7 $757.49 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 30, 2026 7:35pm ET $101.53 7 $725.41 $725.41 $-35.79
(-4.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.4d held
17 🟢 BUY Aug 30, 2026 11:30pm ET $101.75 7 $725.41 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 2, 2026 6:45am ET $97.66 7 $696.25 $696.25 $-32.71
(-4.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.3d held
18 🟢 BUY Aug 28, 2026 10:50am ET $106.02 7 $757.49 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 4, 2026 8:35am ET $101.59 7 $725.84 $664.60 $-35.36
(-4.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6.9d held
19 🟢 BUY Sep 5, 2026 2:10am ET $101.99 7 $664.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 15, 2026 2:45pm ET $97.00 7 $632.08 $632.08 $-35.76
(-4.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
10.5d held
20 🟢 BUY Sep 15, 2026 10:30pm ET $97.29 6 $632.08 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 18, 2026 12:20am ET $105.33 6 $684.31 $684.31 +$48.94
(+8.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.1d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $684.31
Net Profit/Loss: $-9,315.69
Total Return: -93.16%
Back to Victor Volume