Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-24 22:10:26

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
29.6 oversold
20d Trend
-10.0%
5d Trend
-6.7%
EMA20 Dist
-7.6%
ATR%
3.3%
Range Pos
48%
Bounce Ratio
0.3×
Green/Red 10d
2/8

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

4
Lifetime
Confidence: 87%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.4/10
Raw Quality 4.4/100
× Confidence 0.87 = 3.8

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (87%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
5,070
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
65 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$5,933.05
Current Value
$7,492.61
Period P&L
$1,559.54
Max Drawdown
-48.9%
Sharpe Ratio
0.73

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
6
Winners / Losers
4 / 2
Best Trade
+11.51%
Worst Trade
-4.19%
Avg Trade Return
+4.72%
Avg Hold Time
16.7d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$79,736.30
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,559.54
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,559.54
Gross Return
+26.29%
Net Return (after fees)
+26.29%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 TMO Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 65 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 6 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Victor Volume had $5,933.05 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jun 25, 2026 3:45pm ET $507.89 11 $5,586.79 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 16, 2026 3:45pm ET $540.21 11 $5,942.31 $6,288.59 +$355.52
(+6.4%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
2 🟢 BUY Jul 20, 2026 11:05am ET $526.70 11 $5,793.70 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 23, 2026 9:30am ET $582.04 11 $6,402.49 $6,897.38 +$608.79
(+10.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.9d held
3 🟢 BUY Jun 25, 2026 3:45pm ET $507.89 11 $5,586.79 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 30, 2026 9:35am ET $566.34 11 $6,229.69 $7,540.28 +$642.90
(+11.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
34.7d held
4 🟢 BUY Aug 7, 2026 1:40pm ET $586.35 12 $7,036.26 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 20, 2026 11:30am ET $634.07 12 $7,608.78 $8,112.80 +$572.52
(+8.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
12.9d held
5 🟢 BUY Aug 21, 2026 3:45pm ET $628.53 12 $7,542.42 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 1, 2026 12:00pm ET $603.21 12 $7,238.49 $7,808.87 $-303.93
(-4.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
10.8d held
6 🟢 BUY Aug 21, 2026 3:45pm ET $628.53 12 $7,542.42 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 8, 2026 9:30am ET $602.18 12 $7,226.16 $7,492.61 $-316.26
(-4.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
17.7d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $7,492.61
Net Profit/Loss: $-2,507.39
Total Return: -25.07%
Back to Victor Volume