Compendium › Victor Volume › VXX
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
VXX
Alpaca Tradeable

Victor Volume's Analysis

Last 3 Months: 2026-04-26 to present • 4 trades in period

-19.26%
Last 3 Months Return
$10,391.77
Current Value
0%
Win Rate
$12,871.36
Period Start
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PHASE 4: RECOVERY
Signals generated 2026-07-26 19:37:23

Bounce in progress. Hold existing positions, let trailing stops manage exits.

Fear & Greed
26
Fear
VIX
18.7
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.71%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.36%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟡 1.4
Unsettled
⛈️ 2 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
62.8 neutral
20d Trend
+12.6%
5d Trend
+8.3%
EMA20 Dist
+8.3%
ATR%
4.8%
Range Pos
29%
Bounce Ratio
1.8×
Green/Red 10d
7/3

Strategy Score Scored Jul 26, 2026

10
Lifetime
Confidence: 94%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.3/35
Total Return
5.7/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.1/15
Consistency
4.3/10
Raw Quality 10.5/100
× Confidence 0.94 = 9.9

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (94%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,836
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-04-27 → 2026-07-24
Trading Days
62 days
Data Gaps
None (3 market holidays)

Market Closed (3 days)

2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed)
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$12,871.36
Current Value
$10,391.77
Period P&L
$-2,479.63
Max Drawdown
-42.6%
Sharpe Ratio
-2.75

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
4
Winners / Losers
0 / 4
Best Trade
-4.01%
Worst Trade
-8.32%
Avg Trade Return
-5.10%
Avg Hold Time
6.9d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$95,309.19
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-2,479.63
Net P&L (after fees)
$-2,479.63
Gross Return
-19.26%
Net Return (after fees)
-19.26%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 VXX Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 62 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 4 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Victor Volume had $12,871.36 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Apr 22, 2026 2:55pm ET $29.57 435 $12,860.78 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 9:55am ET $28.38 435 $12,345.26 $12,354.58 $-515.52
(-4.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
6.8d held
2 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 3:25pm ET $24.52 503 $12,333.56 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 4, 2026 3:55pm ET $23.53 503 $11,835.59 $11,856.61 $-497.97
(-4.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
2d held
3 🟢 BUY Jun 23, 2026 1:50pm ET $23.60 502 $11,849.71 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 29, 2026 9:40am ET $22.65 502 $11,370.30 $11,377.20 $-479.41
(-4.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
5.8d held
4 🟢 BUY Jun 23, 2026 1:50pm ET $23.60 502 $11,849.71 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 6, 2026 9:30am ET $21.64 502 $10,864.28 $10,391.77 $-985.43
(-8.3%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
12.8d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $10,391.77
Net Profit/Loss: +$391.77
Total Return: +3.92%
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