Compendium › Victor Volume › BTCUSD
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
BTCUSD
Alpaca Tradeable

Victor Volume's Analysis

Last 6 Months: 2026-03-25 to present • 23 trades in period

+5.01%
Last 6 Months Return
$5,738.44
Current Value
39%
Win Rate
$4,809.27
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:35:01

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
19.3 oversold
20d Trend
-26.5%
5d Trend
-29.8%
EMA20 Dist
-27.1%
ATR%
8.2%
Range Pos
1%
Bounce Ratio
0.4×
Green/Red 10d
4/6

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

5
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
5.2/10
Raw Quality 5.2/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 5.1

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
53,047
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-25 → 2026-09-25
Trading Days
185 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Crypto: 0.15% maker / 0.25% taker (volume-tiered) • 24/7/365 trading

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)

Period Start Capital
$4,809.27
Current Value
$5,738.44
Period P&L
$240.89
Max Drawdown
-66.7%
Sharpe Ratio
0.13

Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)

Trades in Period
23
Winners / Losers
9 / 14
Best Trade
+8.97%
Worst Trade
-4.58%
Avg Trade Return
+0.74%
Avg Hold Time
8.3d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)

Asset Type
₿ Crypto
Fee Rate
0.25% per trade
Total Volume
$223,625.50
Estimated Fees
$559.06
Gross P&L
$240.89
Net P&L (after fees)
$-318.17
Gross Return
+5.01%
Net Return (after fees)
-6.62%

⚠️ Crypto: Alpaca charges 0.25% taker fee (or 0.15% maker). This simulation uses the conservative 0.25% estimate on all trades.
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 BTCUSD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 185 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 6 Months - 23 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Victor Volume had $4,809.27 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Mar 23, 2026 3:05pm ET $71,195.40 0 $5,006.82 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 26, 2026 2:15pm ET $68,346.30 0 $4,806.46 $4,806.46 $-224.90
(-4.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
3d held
2 🟢 BUY Mar 26, 2026 3:55pm ET $68,549.50 0 $4,806.46 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 27, 2026 10:30am ET $65,770.40 0 $4,611.60 $4,611.60 $-218.41
(-4.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
18.6h held
3 🟢 BUY Mar 29, 2026 7:30pm ET $65,958.30 0 $4,611.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2026 7:00pm ET $71,498.00 0 $4,998.92 $4,998.92 +$363.29
(+8.4%) 		🎯 +5% Target
9d held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2026 9:35am ET $70,999.90 0 $4,998.92 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 17, 2026 9:10am ET $76,699.40 0 $5,400.21 $5,400.21 +$375.29
(+8.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
8d held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 18, 2026 12:05am ET $77,109.80 0 $5,400.21 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 19, 2026 6:05pm ET $73,915.20 0 $5,176.48 $5,176.48 $-250.17
(-4.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1.8d held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 20, 2026 2:40am ET $74,858.20 0 $5,176.48 — — —
🔴 SELL May 4, 2026 11:40pm ET $80,928.30 0 $5,596.23 $5,596.23 +$392.82
(+8.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
14.9d held
7 🟢 BUY May 6, 2026 4:10am ET $81,574.90 0 $5,596.23 — — —
🔴 SELL May 16, 2026 3:15am ET $78,208.30 0 $5,365.27 $5,365.27 $-258.36
(-4.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
10d held
8 🟢 BUY May 18, 2026 7:40am ET $77,142.50 0 $5,365.27 — — —
🔴 SELL May 27, 2026 11:20pm ET $73,607.20 0 $5,119.39 $5,119.39 $-272.09
(-4.6%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
9.7d held
9 🟢 BUY May 28, 2026 6:10am ET $73,472.70 0 $5,119.39 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 1, 2026 10:00pm ET $70,525.90 0 $4,914.06 $4,914.06 $-230.41
(-4.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
4.7d held
10 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 12:15pm ET $67,975.80 0 $4,914.06 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 3, 2026 4:00pm ET $65,243.20 0 $4,716.52 $4,716.52 $-221.62
(-4.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1.2d held
11 🟢 BUY Jun 3, 2026 5:00pm ET $65,191.40 0 $4,716.52 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 3, 2026 9:20pm ET $62,524.40 0 $4,523.56 $4,523.56 $-216.05
(-4.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
4.3h held
12 🟢 BUY Jun 3, 2026 10:05pm ET $61,947.60 0 $4,523.56 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2026 2:50pm ET $59,167.30 0 $4,320.54 $4,320.54 $-225.13
(-4.5%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1.7d held
13 🟢 BUY Jun 3, 2026 10:05pm ET $61,947.60 0 $4,523.56 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 15, 2026 11:45am ET $66,926.30 0 $4,887.12 $4,684.10 +$340.03
(+8.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
11.6d held
14 🟢 BUY Jun 15, 2026 4:30pm ET $66,612.80 0 $4,684.10 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 18, 2026 12:10am ET $63,939.50 0 $4,496.12 $4,496.12 $-210.93
(-4.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
2.3d held
15 🟢 BUY Jun 18, 2026 4:05am ET $64,349.00 0 $4,496.12 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 24, 2026 9:30am ET $61,696.70 0 $4,310.80 $4,310.80 $-207.34
(-4.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
6.2d held
16 🟢 BUY Jun 24, 2026 7:20pm ET $60,784.40 0 $4,310.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 25, 2026 9:55am ET $58,218.90 0 $4,128.86 $4,128.86 $-203.04
(-4.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
14.6h held
17 🟢 BUY Jun 24, 2026 7:20pm ET $60,784.40 0 $4,310.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 15, 2026 7:20pm ET $64,814.30 0 $4,596.60 $4,414.66 +$263.53
(+6.6%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
18 🟢 BUY Jun 24, 2026 7:20pm ET $60,784.40 0 $4,310.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 30, 2026 9:35am ET $64,650.10 0 $4,584.95 $4,688.81 +$251.91
(+6.4%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
35.6d held
19 🟢 BUY Jul 30, 2026 1:20pm ET $64,861.30 0 $4,688.81 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 3, 2026 4:30am ET $62,265.60 0 $4,501.17 $4,501.17 $-210.62
(-4.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
3.6d held
20 🟢 BUY Aug 3, 2026 9:55am ET $63,154.60 0 $4,501.17 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 19, 2026 11:35am ET $68,235.30 0 $4,863.28 $4,863.28 +$338.70
(+8.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
16.1d held
21 🟢 BUY Aug 19, 2026 4:50pm ET $69,180.70 0 $4,863.28 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 20, 2026 9:35pm ET $74,765.30 0 $5,255.87 $5,255.87 +$367.29
(+8.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
1.2d held
22 🟢 BUY Aug 21, 2026 4:10pm ET $77,246.30 0 $5,255.87 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 11, 2026 4:10pm ET $77,397.00 0 $5,266.12 $5,266.12 $-16.05
(+0.2%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
23 🟢 BUY Sep 13, 2026 7:00am ET $76,657.40 0 $5,266.12 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 21, 2026 4:40am ET $83,532.80 0 $5,738.44 $5,738.44 +$444.81
(+9.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
7.9d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $5,738.44
Net Profit/Loss: $-4,261.56
Total Return: -42.62%
Back to Victor Volume