Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:00:50

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
13.3 oversold
20d Trend
-41.6%
5d Trend
-28.6%
EMA20 Dist
-26.6%
ATR%
7.5%
Range Pos
2%
Bounce Ratio
0.1×
Green/Red 10d
1/9

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

60
Lifetime
Confidence: 94%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
32.5/35
Total Return
22.0/25
Win Rate
1.9/15
Profit Factor
2.3/15
Consistency
5.5/10
Raw Quality 64.2/100
× Confidence 0.94 = 60.1

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (94%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
9,906
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
127 days
Data Gaps
None (5 market holidays)

Market Closed (5 days)

2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)

Period Start Capital
$41,788.79
Current Value
$54,387.83
Period P&L
$12,599.10
Max Drawdown
-47.7%
Sharpe Ratio
0.28

Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)

Trades in Period
15
Winners / Losers
7 / 8
Best Trade
+15.64%
Worst Trade
-5.66%
Avg Trade Return
+2.06%
Avg Hold Time
3.3d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,620,205.56
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$12,599.10
Net P&L (after fees)
$12,599.10
Gross Return
+30.15%
Net Return (after fees)
+30.15%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 HOOD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 127 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 6 Months - 15 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Victor Volume had $41,788.79 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Apr 15, 2026 9:35am ET $83.46 500 $41,730.65 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 17, 2026 9:35am ET $90.88 500 $45,437.50 $45,495.57 +$3,706.85
(+8.9%)
🎯 +5% Target
2d held
2 🟢 BUY Apr 30, 2026 9:30am ET $72.05 631 $45,463.55 — — —
🔴 SELL May 4, 2026 10:35am ET $78.10 631 $49,281.10 $49,313.12 +$3,817.55
(+8.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
4d held
3 🟢 BUY May 21, 2026 9:30am ET $75.80 650 $49,267.21 — — —
🔴 SELL May 28, 2026 1:35pm ET $82.01 650 $53,306.50 $53,352.42 +$4,039.30
(+8.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
7.2d held
4 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 12:45pm ET $89.29 597 $53,306.19 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 3, 2026 9:30am ET $85.11 597 $50,810.67 $50,856.90 $-2,495.52
(-4.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
20.8h held
5 🟢 BUY Jun 4, 2026 9:40am ET $84.81 599 $50,801.19 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2026 12:40pm ET $81.00 599 $48,519.00 $48,574.71 $-2,282.19
(-4.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held
6 🟢 BUY Jun 10, 2026 9:30am ET $86.26 563 $48,562.07 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 11, 2026 3:35pm ET $93.53 563 $52,657.39 $52,670.03 +$4,095.32
(+8.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.3d held
7 🟢 BUY Jun 25, 2026 1:45pm ET $94.76 555 $52,594.57 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 29, 2026 1:10pm ET $102.62 555 $56,955.99 $57,031.44 +$4,361.41
(+8.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
4d held
8 🟢 BUY Jul 1, 2026 9:30am ET $101.26 563 $57,009.38 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 2, 2026 9:30am ET $117.10 563 $65,924.49 $65,946.55 +$8,915.10
(+15.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
1d held
9 🟢 BUY Jul 10, 2026 3:55pm ET $111.97 588 $65,838.36 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 16, 2026 1:15pm ET $107.48 588 $63,198.24 $63,306.43 $-2,640.12
(-4.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5.9d held
10 🟢 BUY Jul 21, 2026 9:30am ET $105.43 600 $63,255.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 23, 2026 10:40am ET $101.16 600 $60,696.00 $60,747.43 $-2,559.00
(-4.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held
11 🟢 BUY Jul 24, 2026 3:50pm ET $94.64 641 $60,667.44 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 28, 2026 9:30am ET $89.82 641 $57,574.62 $57,654.61 $-3,092.82
(-5.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.7d held
12 🟢 BUY Jul 29, 2026 9:30am ET $92.55 622 $57,563.18 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 30, 2026 9:35am ET $87.31 622 $54,306.82 $54,398.25 $-3,256.36
(-5.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
13 🟢 BUY Aug 21, 2026 3:50pm ET $108.28 502 $54,354.05 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 24, 2026 3:40pm ET $103.65 502 $52,032.30 $52,076.50 $-2,321.75
(-4.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held
14 🟢 BUY Aug 21, 2026 3:50pm ET $108.28 502 $54,354.05 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 31, 2026 9:30am ET $102.25 502 $51,326.99 $49,049.44 $-3,027.06
(-5.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
9.7d held
15 🟢 BUY Sep 1, 2026 9:30am ET $105.91 463 $49,036.33 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 3, 2026 9:30am ET $117.44 463 $54,374.72 $54,387.83 +$5,338.39
(+10.9%)
🎯 +5% Target
2d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $54,387.83
Net Profit/Loss: +$44,387.83
Total Return: +443.88%
Back to Victor Volume