Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-24 23:57:16

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
33.4 neutral
20d Trend
-9.7%
5d Trend
-7.1%
EMA20 Dist
-5.9%
ATR%
3.2%
Range Pos
3%
Bounce Ratio
0.7×
Green/Red 10d
4/6

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

25
Lifetime
Confidence: 97%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
4.8/35
Total Return
14.5/25
Win Rate
0.3/15
Profit Factor
0.8/15
Consistency
5.0/10
Raw Quality 25.4/100
× Confidence 0.97 = 24.6

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (97%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
9,984
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
128 days
Data Gaps
None (5 market holidays)

Market Closed (5 days)

2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)

Period Start Capital
$19,297.29
Current Value
$15,475.57
Period P&L
$-3,821.68
Max Drawdown
-40.2%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.63

Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)

Trades in Period
8
Winners / Losers
1 / 7
Best Trade
+8.08%
Worst Trade
-5.63%
Avg Trade Return
-2.62%
Avg Hold Time
14.1d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$287,556.12
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-3,821.68
Net P&L (after fees)
$-3,821.68
Gross Return
-19.80%
Net Return (after fees)
-19.80%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 NVDA Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 128 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 6 Months - 8 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Victor Volume had $19,297.29 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 3:55pm ET $222.82 86 $19,162.52 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 4, 2026 9:40am ET $212.95 86 $18,313.70 $18,448.44 $-848.82
(-4.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.7d held
2 🟢 BUY Jun 25, 2026 3:50pm ET $195.18 94 $18,346.86 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 10, 2026 3:55pm ET $210.95 94 $19,829.30 $19,930.88 +$1,482.44
(+8.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
15d held
3 🟢 BUY Jul 14, 2026 3:50pm ET $212.18 93 $19,732.74 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 17, 2026 9:30am ET $200.23 93 $18,620.93 $18,819.06 $-1,111.81
(-5.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.7d held
4 🟢 BUY Jul 20, 2026 9:30am ET $206.75 91 $18,814.25 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 27, 2026 10:40am ET $197.67 91 $17,987.97 $17,992.78 $-826.28
(-4.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
7d held
5 🟢 BUY Jun 25, 2026 3:50pm ET $195.18 94 $18,346.86 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 30, 2026 9:35am ET $192.21 94 $18,068.21 $17,714.13 $-278.65
(-1.5%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
34.7d held
6 🟢 BUY Aug 6, 2026 9:35am ET $222.61 79 $17,586.19 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 24, 2026 9:30am ET $213.19 79 $16,842.01 $16,969.95 $-744.18
(-4.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
18d held
7 🟢 BUY Aug 6, 2026 9:35am ET $222.61 79 $17,586.19 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 26, 2026 9:30am ET $212.50 79 $16,787.50 $16,171.26 $-798.69
(-4.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
20d held
8 🟢 BUY Aug 31, 2026 3:50pm ET $220.73 73 $16,113.29 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 14, 2026 9:30am ET $211.20 73 $15,417.60 $15,475.57 $-695.69
(-4.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
13.7d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $15,475.57
Net Profit/Loss: +$5,475.57
Total Return: +54.76%
Back to Victor Volume