Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:18:47

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
18.4 oversold
20d Trend
-19.1%
5d Trend
-12.6%
EMA20 Dist
-11.6%
ATR%
3.8%
Range Pos
1%
Bounce Ratio
0.0×
Green/Red 10d
5/5

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

26
Lifetime
Confidence: 92%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
5.9/35
Total Return
13.9/25
Win Rate
1.8/15
Profit Factor
1.3/15
Consistency
4.8/10
Raw Quality 27.7/100
× Confidence 0.92 = 25.5

30-Day Momentum

0
+0.1%
30d Return
33%
Win Rate
3
Trades
1.0×
Profit Factor
Quality: 0.8 Conf: 0.61×
Declining (-25 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (92%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
9,906
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
127 days
Data Gaps
None (5 market holidays)

Market Closed (5 days)

2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)

Period Start Capital
$13,106.64
Current Value
$14,555.85
Period P&L
$1,449.23
Max Drawdown
-27.2%
Sharpe Ratio
0.16

Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)

Trades in Period
13
Winners / Losers
5 / 8
Best Trade
+16.63%
Worst Trade
-5.10%
Avg Trade Return
+1.19%
Avg Hold Time
4.6d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$359,278.12
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,449.23
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,449.23
Gross Return
+11.06%
Net Return (after fees)
+11.06%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 PANW Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 127 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 6 Months - 13 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Victor Volume had $13,106.64 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 3:10pm ET $295.01 44 $12,980.22 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 3, 2026 9:30am ET $279.96 44 $12,318.24 $12,444.64 $-661.98
(-5.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
18.3h held
2 🟢 BUY Jun 4, 2026 9:30am ET $273.93 45 $12,327.07 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 9, 2026 9:35am ET $260.95 45 $11,742.75 $11,860.32 $-584.32
(-4.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5d held
3 🟢 BUY Jun 22, 2026 9:30am ET $289.79 40 $11,591.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 29, 2026 9:35am ET $316.31 40 $12,652.40 $12,921.12 +$1,060.80
(+9.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
7d held
4 🟢 BUY Jun 22, 2026 9:30am ET $289.79 40 $11,591.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 6, 2026 9:30am ET $337.99 40 $13,519.60 $14,849.12 +$1,928.00
(+16.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
14d held
5 🟢 BUY Jul 10, 2026 3:50pm ET $326.32 45 $14,684.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 14, 2026 11:35am ET $353.24 45 $15,895.80 $16,060.52 +$1,211.40
(+8.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.8d held
6 🟢 BUY Jul 16, 2026 3:50pm ET $352.94 45 $15,882.30 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 21, 2026 10:15am ET $338.44 45 $15,229.80 $15,408.02 $-652.50
(-4.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.8d held
7 🟢 BUY Jul 22, 2026 1:15pm ET $338.34 45 $15,225.30 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 23, 2026 9:40am ET $324.72 45 $14,612.22 $14,794.94 $-613.08
(-4.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
20.4h held
8 🟢 BUY Jul 24, 2026 1:55pm ET $327.48 45 $14,736.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 28, 2026 9:30am ET $311.00 45 $13,995.12 $14,053.46 $-741.48
(-5.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.8d held
9 🟢 BUY Jul 29, 2026 9:30am ET $321.23 43 $13,812.68 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 3, 2026 3:50pm ET $347.32 43 $14,934.76 $15,175.55 +$1,122.09
(+8.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
5.3d held
10 🟢 BUY Aug 18, 2026 12:45pm ET $373.99 40 $14,959.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 19, 2026 10:05am ET $358.14 40 $14,325.80 $14,541.75 $-633.80
(-4.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
21.3h held
11 🟢 BUY Aug 24, 2026 9:30am ET $355.43 40 $14,217.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 25, 2026 1:30pm ET $340.29 40 $13,611.60 $13,936.15 $-605.60
(-4.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.2d held
12 🟢 BUY Aug 31, 2026 9:30am ET $380.82 36 $13,709.48 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 1, 2026 9:50am ET $363.11 36 $13,071.78 $13,298.45 $-637.70
(-4.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
13 🟢 BUY Sep 3, 2026 11:30am ET $329.91 40 $13,196.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 14, 2026 10:05am ET $361.35 40 $14,453.80 $14,555.85 +$1,257.40
(+9.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
10.9d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $14,555.85
Net Profit/Loss: +$4,555.85
Total Return: +45.56%
Back to Victor Volume