Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:27:27

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
21.5 oversold
20d Trend
-29.6%
5d Trend
-14.4%
EMA20 Dist
-18.7%
ATR%
7.0%
Range Pos
1%
Bounce Ratio
0.8×
Green/Red 10d
3/7

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

67
Lifetime
Confidence: 95%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
35.0/35
Total Return
23.4/25
Win Rate
2.5/15
Profit Factor
3.0/15
Consistency
6.9/10
Raw Quality 70.8/100
× Confidence 0.95 = 67.5

30-Day Momentum

0
-14.8%
30d Return
0%
Win Rate
3
Trades
0.6×
Profit Factor
Quality: 0.0 Conf: 0.61×
Declining (-67 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (95%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
9,906
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
127 days
Data Gaps
None (5 market holidays)

Market Closed (5 days)

2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)

Period Start Capital
$86,289.34
Current Value
$75,516.34
Period P&L
$-10,772.97
Max Drawdown
-25.9%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.17

Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)

Trades in Period
11
Winners / Losers
3 / 8
Best Trade
+9.30%
Worst Trade
-6.30%
Avg Trade Return
-1.02%
Avg Hold Time
4d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,978,049.18
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-10,772.97
Net P&L (after fees)
$-10,772.97
Gross Return
-12.48%
Net Return (after fees)
-12.48%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 PLTR Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 127 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 6 Months - 11 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Victor Volume had $86,289.34 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Apr 15, 2026 9:35am ET $138.17 624 $86,218.08 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 21, 2026 10:10am ET $149.31 624 $93,169.44 $93,240.67 +$6,951.36
(+8.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
6d held
2 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 3:55pm ET $152.17 612 $93,128.04 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 3, 2026 9:35am ET $145.99 612 $89,342.82 $89,455.45 $-3,785.22
(-4.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
17.7h held
3 🟢 BUY Jun 4, 2026 3:50pm ET $141.82 630 $89,346.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2026 1:55pm ET $135.95 630 $85,645.35 $85,754.20 $-3,701.25
(-4.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
22.1h held
4 🟢 BUY Jun 25, 2026 1:30pm ET $106.89 802 $85,725.78 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 29, 2026 9:30am ET $116.83 802 $93,697.66 $93,726.08 +$7,971.88
(+9.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.8d held
5 🟢 BUY Jun 30, 2026 9:30am ET $115.49 811 $93,664.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 1, 2026 10:00am ET $125.00 811 $101,375.00 $101,436.58 +$7,710.50
(+8.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
1d held
6 🟢 BUY Jul 10, 2026 1:30pm ET $126.51 801 $101,338.51 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 23, 2026 10:55am ET $121.44 801 $97,275.44 $97,373.51 $-4,063.07
(-4.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
12.9d held
7 🟢 BUY Jul 24, 2026 2:40pm ET $123.92 785 $97,273.28 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 28, 2026 9:50am ET $118.02 785 $92,645.70 $92,745.93 $-4,627.58
(-4.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.8d held
8 🟢 BUY Aug 21, 2026 3:50pm ET $179.94 515 $92,669.10 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 24, 2026 9:30am ET $172.06 515 $88,610.90 $88,687.73 $-4,058.20
(-4.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.7d held
9 🟢 BUY Aug 21, 2026 3:50pm ET $179.94 515 $92,669.10 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 26, 2026 9:30am ET $170.76 515 $87,941.40 $83,960.03 $-4,727.70
(-5.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.7d held
10 🟢 BUY Aug 31, 2026 9:30am ET $186.19 450 $83,785.45 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 2, 2026 9:30am ET $174.46 450 $78,507.00 $78,681.58 $-5,278.45
(-6.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held
11 🟢 BUY Sep 3, 2026 9:30am ET $177.41 443 $78,592.63 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 8, 2026 3:45pm ET $170.26 443 $75,427.39 $75,516.34 $-3,165.24
(-4.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5.3d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $75,516.34
Net Profit/Loss: +$65,516.34
Total Return: +655.16%
Back to Victor Volume