Compendium › Victor Volume › QQQ
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
QQQ
Alpaca Tradeable

Victor Volume's Analysis

Last 6 Months: 2026-03-24 to present • 5 trades in period

-14.45%
Last 6 Months Return
$13,495.68
Current Value
20%
Win Rate
$15,775.77
Period Start
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PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-24 23:53:59

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
31.7 neutral
20d Trend
-3.6%
5d Trend
-4.6%
EMA20 Dist
-3.6%
ATR%
1.8%
Range Pos
21%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
4/6

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

32
Lifetime
Confidence: 84%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
7.6/35
Total Return
12.9/25
Win Rate
7.3/15
Profit Factor
2.5/15
Consistency
7.2/10
Raw Quality 37.6/100
× Confidence 0.84 = 31.6

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (84%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
9,984
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
128 days
Data Gaps
None (5 market holidays)

Market Closed (5 days)

2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)

Period Start Capital
$15,775.77
Current Value
$13,495.68
Period P&L
$-2,280.07
Max Drawdown
-16.1%
Sharpe Ratio
-1.33

Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)

Trades in Period
5
Winners / Losers
1 / 4
Best Trade
+0.53%
Worst Trade
-5.81%
Avg Trade Return
-3.00%
Avg Hold Time
17.5d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$144,231.93
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-2,280.07
Net P&L (after fees)
$-2,280.07
Gross Return
-14.45%
Net Return (after fees)
-14.45%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 QQQ Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 128 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 6 Months - 5 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Victor Volume had $15,775.77 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 12:50pm ET $745.45 21 $15,654.45 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2026 12:40pm ET $715.39 21 $15,023.09 $15,144.38 $-631.37
(-4.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
3d held
2 🟢 BUY Jun 25, 2026 3:55pm ET $716.26 21 $15,041.46 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 16, 2026 3:55pm ET $706.02 21 $14,826.42 $14,929.34 $-215.04
(-1.4%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
3 🟢 BUY Jul 20, 2026 9:30am ET $704.35 21 $14,791.45 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 28, 2026 9:30am ET $674.47 21 $14,163.87 $14,301.75 $-627.59
(-4.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
8d held
4 🟢 BUY Jun 25, 2026 3:55pm ET $716.26 21 $15,041.46 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 30, 2026 9:35am ET $674.64 21 $14,167.44 $13,427.73 $-874.02
(-5.8%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
34.7d held
5 🟢 BUY Aug 24, 2026 3:45pm ET $707.07 18 $12,727.17 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 14, 2026 3:45pm ET $710.84 18 $12,795.12 $13,495.68 +$67.95
(+0.5%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $13,495.68
Net Profit/Loss: +$3,495.68
Total Return: +34.96%
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