Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-24 23:57:20

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
17.7 oversold
20d Trend
-28.4%
5d Trend
-8.8%
EMA20 Dist
-13.1%
ATR%
4.1%
Range Pos
12%
Bounce Ratio
0.1×
Green/Red 10d
3/7

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

3
Lifetime
Confidence: 97%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
3.4/10
Raw Quality 3.4/100
× Confidence 0.97 = 3.4

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (97%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
9,984
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
128 days
Data Gaps
None (5 market holidays)

Market Closed (5 days)

2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)

Period Start Capital
$2,490.65
Current Value
$2,360.04
Period P&L
$-130.62
Max Drawdown
-78.8%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.06

Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)

Trades in Period
10
Winners / Losers
3 / 7
Best Trade
+9.15%
Worst Trade
-4.44%
Avg Trade Return
-0.37%
Avg Hold Time
4.1d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$51,346.30
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-130.62
Net P&L (after fees)
$-130.62
Gross Return
-5.24%
Net Return (after fees)
-5.24%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 RIVN Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 128 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 6 Months - 10 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Victor Volume had $2,490.65 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Apr 6, 2026 9:30am ET $15.57 159 $2,476.42 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 6, 2026 11:25am ET $14.94 159 $2,375.46 $2,389.69 $-100.97
(-4.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9h held
2 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 3:50pm ET $17.31 138 $2,388.09 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2026 12:15pm ET $16.60 138 $2,291.49 $2,293.09 $-96.60
(-4.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.9d held
3 🟢 BUY Jun 25, 2026 1:10pm ET $14.48 158 $2,288.63 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 29, 2026 9:30am ET $15.81 158 $2,498.00 $2,502.46 +$209.37
(+9.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.8d held
4 🟢 BUY Jun 30, 2026 9:30am ET $16.85 148 $2,493.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 2, 2026 9:35am ET $18.23 148 $2,698.05 $2,706.71 +$204.25
(+8.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
2d held
5 🟢 BUY Jul 13, 2026 3:15pm ET $17.15 157 $2,692.55 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 15, 2026 9:50am ET $18.53 157 $2,909.99 $2,924.16 +$217.45
(+8.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.8d held
6 🟢 BUY Jul 16, 2026 2:05pm ET $16.69 175 $2,921.62 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 24, 2026 10:40am ET $16.00 175 $2,800.87 $2,803.40 $-120.75
(-4.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
7.9d held
7 🟢 BUY Jul 27, 2026 12:25pm ET $16.76 167 $2,798.90 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 28, 2026 9:40am ET $16.01 167 $2,674.50 $2,679.01 $-124.40
(-4.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
21.3h held
8 🟢 BUY Jul 29, 2026 11:55am ET $16.25 164 $2,664.18 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 31, 2026 10:20am ET $15.58 164 $2,555.10 $2,569.93 $-109.08
(-4.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9d held
9 🟢 BUY Aug 21, 2026 3:30pm ET $16.97 151 $2,562.09 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 26, 2026 10:45am ET $16.24 151 $2,451.49 $2,459.32 $-110.61
(-4.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.8d held
10 🟢 BUY Aug 31, 2026 3:50pm ET $16.03 153 $2,452.16 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 15, 2026 9:35am ET $15.38 153 $2,352.88 $2,360.04 $-99.28
(-4.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
14.7d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $2,360.04
Net Profit/Loss: $-7,639.96
Total Return: -76.40%
Back to Victor Volume