Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:34:20

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
14.6 oversold
20d Trend
-30.9%
5d Trend
-17.8%
EMA20 Dist
-19.9%
ATR%
6.6%
Range Pos
2%
Bounce Ratio
0.1×
Green/Red 10d
1/9

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

39
Lifetime
Confidence: 96%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
15.2/35
Total Return
18.1/25
Win Rate
1.0/15
Profit Factor
1.5/15
Consistency
5.2/10
Raw Quality 40.9/100
× Confidence 0.96 = 39.1

30-Day Momentum

0
-0.4%
30d Return
33%
Win Rate
3
Trades
1.0×
Profit Factor
Quality: 0.0 Conf: 0.61×
Declining (-39 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (96%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
9,906
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
127 days
Data Gaps
None (5 market holidays)

Market Closed (5 days)

2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)

Period Start Capital
$28,171.00
Current Value
$25,201.46
Period P&L
$-2,969.53
Max Drawdown
-35.1%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.15

Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)

Trades in Period
10
Winners / Losers
3 / 7
Best Trade
+8.45%
Worst Trade
-9.13%
Avg Trade Return
-0.92%
Avg Hold Time
3.1d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$562,423.99
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-2,969.53
Net P&L (after fees)
$-2,969.53
Gross Return
-10.54%
Net Return (after fees)
-10.54%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 SOFI Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 127 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 6 Months - 10 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Victor Volume had $28,171.00 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Apr 15, 2026 9:35am ET $18.35 1,534 $28,156.57 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 17, 2026 9:40am ET $19.87 1,534 $30,480.58 $30,495.01 +$2,324.01
(+8.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
2d held
2 🟢 BUY Jun 4, 2026 9:30am ET $16.74 1,822 $30,491.17 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2026 11:25am ET $16.07 1,822 $29,270.43 $29,274.27 $-1,220.74
(-4.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held
3 🟢 BUY Jun 26, 2026 9:30am ET $17.20 1,701 $29,265.70 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 1, 2026 11:00am ET $18.60 1,701 $31,647.10 $31,655.67 +$2,381.40
(+8.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
5.1d held
4 🟢 BUY Jul 10, 2026 3:50pm ET $18.81 1,683 $31,648.82 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 15, 2026 12:10pm ET $18.03 1,683 $30,352.90 $30,359.76 $-1,295.91
(-4.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.8d held
5 🟢 BUY Jul 16, 2026 3:55pm ET $17.33 1,752 $30,353.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 17, 2026 9:30am ET $16.58 1,752 $29,048.16 $29,054.52 $-1,305.24
(-4.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
17.6h held
6 🟢 BUY Jul 20, 2026 12:20pm ET $17.28 1,680 $29,038.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 23, 2026 11:00am ET $16.57 1,680 $27,833.07 $27,848.78 $-1,205.73
(-4.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.9d held
7 🟢 BUY Jul 24, 2026 11:15am ET $16.65 1,673 $27,847.09 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 29, 2026 9:30am ET $15.13 1,673 $25,304.13 $25,305.82 $-2,542.96
(-9.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.9d held
8 🟢 BUY Aug 24, 2026 12:40pm ET $18.53 1,365 $25,293.45 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 31, 2026 9:35am ET $17.78 1,365 $24,276.52 $24,288.89 $-1,016.93
(-4.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6.9d held
9 🟢 BUY Sep 2, 2026 9:30am ET $17.10 1,419 $24,271.99 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 3, 2026 9:30am ET $18.55 1,419 $26,322.59 $26,339.49 +$2,050.60
(+8.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
1d held
10 🟢 BUY Sep 8, 2026 9:30am ET $18.26 1,442 $26,329.77 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 9, 2026 11:05am ET $17.47 1,442 $25,191.74 $25,201.46 $-1,138.03
(-4.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $25,201.46
Net Profit/Loss: +$15,201.46
Total Return: +152.01%
Back to Victor Volume