SOLUSD Victor Volume's Analysis
Last 6 Months: 2026-03-25 to present • 47 trades in period
-11.07%
Last 6 Months Return
$684.31
Current Value
36%
Win Rate
$570.44
Period Start
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.
Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
20.6 oversold
20d Trend
-38.8%
5d Trend
-41.0%
EMA20 Dist
-37.6%
ATR%
13.7%
Range Pos
0%
Bounce Ratio
0.3×
Green/Red 10d
3/7
Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026
4
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.2/10
Raw Quality
4.2/100
× Confidence 0.98
= 4.2
30-Day Momentum
6
-10.4%
30d Return
25%
Win Rate
8
Trades
0.7×
Profit Factor
Quality: 7.1
Conf: 0.81×
Steady (+2 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
53,047
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-25 → 2026-09-25
Trading Days
185 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Crypto: 0.15% maker / 0.25% taker (volume-tiered) • 24/7/365 trading
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)
Period Start Capital
$570.44
Current Value
$684.31
Period P&L
$-63.14
Max Drawdown
-95.8%
Sharpe Ratio
0.09
Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)
Trades in Period
47
Winners / Losers
17 /
30
Best Trade
+22.96%
Worst Trade
-5.17%
Avg Trade Return
+0.60%
Avg Hold Time
4d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)
Asset Type
₿ Crypto
Fee Rate
0.25% per trade
Total Volume
$51,937.86
Estimated Fees
$129.84
Gross P&L
$-63.14
Net P&L (after fees)
$-192.99
Gross Return
-11.07%
Net Return (after fees)
-33.83%
⚠️ Crypto: Alpaca charges 0.25% taker fee (or 0.15% maker).
This simulation uses the conservative 0.25% estimate on all trades.
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 SOLUSD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 185 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last 6 Months - 47 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Victor Volume had $570.44 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 22, 2026 4:25am ET | $87.29 | 7 | $595.86 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 27, 2026 6:40am ET | $83.37 | 7 | $569.10 | $569.10 |
$-29.67 (-4.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5.1d held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 29, 2026 12:55am ET | $82.78 | 7 | $569.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 29, 2026 6:50pm ET | $79.46 | 7 | $546.28 | $546.28 |
$-25.61 (-4.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
17.9h held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 30, 2026 4:45am ET | $84.52 | 6 | $546.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 31, 2026 5:55am ET | $80.63 | 6 | $521.14 | $521.14 |
$-27.81 (-4.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 31, 2026 12:40pm ET | $82.14 | 6 | $521.14 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 1, 2026 10:15pm ET | $78.68 | 6 | $499.19 | $499.19 |
$-24.50 (-4.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.4d held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 2, 2026 2:20pm ET | $78.92 | 6 | $499.19 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 7, 2026 7:10pm ET | $85.53 | 6 | $541.00 | $541.00 |
+$39.21 (+8.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
5.2d held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 8, 2026 12:05am ET | $84.90 | 6 | $541.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 12, 2026 10:45am ET | $81.43 | 6 | $518.89 | $518.89 |
$-24.76 (-4.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4.4d held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 13, 2026 7:00am ET | $81.87 | 6 | $518.89 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 16, 2026 2:50pm ET | $88.58 | 6 | $561.42 | $561.42 |
+$39.83 (+8.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3.3d held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 16, 2026 8:00pm ET | $89.18 | 6 | $561.42 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 18, 2026 10:25pm ET | $85.38 | 6 | $537.50 | $537.50 |
$-26.67 (-4.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.1d held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 19, 2026 1:30am ET | $85.70 | 6 | $537.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 29, 2026 2:10pm ET | $81.95 | 6 | $513.98 | $513.98 |
$-26.15 (-4.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
10.5d held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 29, 2026 2:35pm ET | $81.73 | 6 | $513.98 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 6, 2026 4:45am ET | $88.42 | 6 | $556.05 | $556.05 |
+$39.40 (+8.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
6.6d held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | May 7, 2026 12:25am ET | $88.15 | 6 | $556.05 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 10, 2026 1:20pm ET | $95.43 | 6 | $601.97 | $601.97 |
+$43.03 (+8.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3.5d held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | May 10, 2026 5:05pm ET | $95.02 | 6 | $601.97 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 13, 2026 11:15am ET | $91.11 | 6 | $577.20 | $577.20 |
$-27.72 (-4.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.8d held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | May 14, 2026 11:50am ET | $92.85 | 6 | $577.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 15, 2026 9:45am ET | $89.11 | 6 | $553.95 | $553.95 |
$-26.08 (-4.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
21.9h held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | May 15, 2026 9:45pm ET | $88.97 | 6 | $553.95 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 17, 2026 7:45pm ET | $84.39 | 6 | $525.43 | $525.43 |
$-31.21 (-5.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9d held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | May 18, 2026 11:35am ET | $83.97 | 6 | $525.43 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 27, 2026 11:55pm ET | $80.60 | 6 | $504.34 | $504.34 |
$-23.66 (-4.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
9.5d held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | May 28, 2026 9:50am ET | $80.74 | 6 | $504.34 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 2, 2026 10:30am ET | $77.18 | 6 | $482.10 | $482.10 |
$-24.70 (-4.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5d held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 2, 2026 5:25pm ET | $75.79 | 6 | $482.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 2, 2026 11:40pm ET | $72.75 | 6 | $462.76 | $462.76 |
$-21.70 (-4.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
6.3h held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 2, 2026 11:50pm ET | $72.88 | 6 | $462.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 3, 2026 9:15pm ET | $69.70 | 6 | $442.57 | $442.57 |
$-22.46 (-4.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
21.4h held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 3, 2026 10:20pm ET | $69.51 | 6 | $442.57 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 5, 2026 1:40am ET | $66.67 | 6 | $424.49 | $424.49 |
$-20.25 (-4.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 5, 2026 2:25am ET | $64.56 | 7 | $424.49 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 5, 2026 3:10pm ET | $61.89 | 7 | $406.93 | $406.93 |
$-19.63 (-4.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
12.8h held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 5, 2026 4:05pm ET | $64.00 | 6 | $406.93 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 6, 2026 12:15am ET | $61.27 | 6 | $389.58 | $389.58 |
$-19.35 (-4.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
8.2h held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 6, 2026 10:05pm ET | $63.65 | 6 | $389.58 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 13, 2026 5:45pm ET | $69.25 | 6 | $423.86 | $423.86 |
+$32.24 (+8.8%) |
🎯 +5% Target
6.8d held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 13, 2026 10:15pm ET | $68.99 | 6 | $423.86 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 15, 2026 11:40am ET | $74.52 | 6 | $457.84 | $457.84 |
+$31.77 (+8.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.6d held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 15, 2026 8:45pm ET | $74.30 | 6 | $457.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 17, 2026 6:05pm ET | $71.09 | 6 | $438.06 | $438.06 |
$-22.02 (-4.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9d held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 17, 2026 8:00pm ET | $72.04 | 6 | $438.06 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 18, 2026 11:45am ET | $68.95 | 6 | $419.27 | $419.27 |
$-20.93 (-4.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
15.8h held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 18, 2026 3:50pm ET | $69.22 | 6 | $419.27 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 22, 2026 9:50am ET | $74.83 | 6 | $453.25 | $453.25 |
+$31.80 (+8.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3.8d held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 23, 2026 12:00pm ET | $68.87 | 7 | $453.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 24, 2026 1:20pm ET | $65.31 | 7 | $429.82 | $429.82 |
$-25.64 (-5.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 24, 2026 3:50pm ET | $66.07 | 7 | $429.82 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 26, 2026 10:20am ET | $71.45 | 7 | $464.82 | $464.82 |
+$32.76 (+8.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.8d held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 26, 2026 12:00pm ET | $72.65 | 6 | $464.82 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 1, 2026 6:20pm ET | $78.56 | 6 | $502.63 | $502.63 |
+$35.39 (+8.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
5.3d held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 24, 2026 3:50pm ET | $66.07 | 7 | $429.82 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 3, 2026 7:30am ET | $81.24 | 7 | $528.51 | $601.32 |
+$96.29 (+23.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
8.7d held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 3, 2026 8:25pm ET | $82.43 | 7 | $601.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 7, 2026 9:40pm ET | $78.99 | 7 | $576.23 | $576.23 |
$-28.04 (-4.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4.1d held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 8, 2026 7:30am ET | $77.07 | 7 | $576.23 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 17, 2026 9:05am ET | $73.76 | 7 | $551.48 | $551.48 |
$-27.57 (-4.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
9.1d held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 8, 2026 7:30am ET | $77.07 | 7 | $576.23 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 30, 2026 9:35am ET | $74.05 | 7 | $553.65 | $528.90 |
$-25.40 (-3.9%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
22.1d held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 30, 2026 2:40pm ET | $74.52 | 7 | $528.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 1, 2026 2:30pm ET | $71.47 | 7 | $507.25 | $507.25 |
$-24.24 (-4.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 2, 2026 1:00am ET | $73.55 | 7 | $507.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 19, 2026 10:55am ET | $80.54 | 7 | $555.46 | $555.46 |
+$45.55 (+9.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
17.4d held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 19, 2026 11:05am ET | $81.41 | 7 | $555.46 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 20, 2026 7:40am ET | $87.98 | 7 | $600.29 | $600.29 |
+$41.94 (+8.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
20.6h held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 20, 2026 11:20am ET | $87.05 | 7 | $600.29 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 21, 2026 6:05pm ET | $94.28 | 7 | $650.15 | $650.15 |
+$46.73 (+8.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.3d held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 20, 2026 11:20am ET | $87.05 | 7 | $600.29 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 21, 2026 10:30pm ET | $94.79 | 7 | $653.66 | $703.52 |
+$50.24 (+8.9%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.5d held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 22, 2026 9:20am ET | $93.80 | 8 | $703.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 24, 2026 8:40pm ET | $101.81 | 8 | $763.60 | $763.60 |
+$56.41 (+8.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.5d held |
|
| 40 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 25, 2026 12:45am ET | $101.02 | 8 | $763.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 25, 2026 9:25am ET | $96.96 | 8 | $732.91 | $732.91 |
$-34.43 (-4.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
8.7h held |
|
| 41 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 25, 2026 9:35am ET | $97.91 | 7 | $732.91 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 27, 2026 10:00am ET | $105.96 | 7 | $793.17 | $793.17 |
+$56.44 (+8.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2d held |
|
| 42 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 27, 2026 12:45pm ET | $108.93 | 7 | $793.17 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 28, 2026 10:05am ET | $104.03 | 7 | $757.49 | $757.49 |
$-39.56 (-4.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
21.3h held |
|
| 43 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 28, 2026 10:50am ET | $106.02 | 7 | $757.49 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 30, 2026 7:35pm ET | $101.53 | 7 | $725.41 | $725.41 |
$-35.79 (-4.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.4d held |
|
| 44 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 30, 2026 11:30pm ET | $101.75 | 7 | $725.41 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 2, 2026 6:45am ET | $97.66 | 7 | $696.25 | $696.25 |
$-32.71 (-4.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.3d held |
|
| 45 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 28, 2026 10:50am ET | $106.02 | 7 | $757.49 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 4, 2026 8:35am ET | $101.59 | 7 | $725.84 | $664.60 |
$-35.36 (-4.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
6.9d held |
|
| 46 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 5, 2026 2:10am ET | $101.99 | 7 | $664.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 15, 2026 2:45pm ET | $97.00 | 7 | $632.08 | $632.08 |
$-35.76 (-4.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
10.5d held |
|
| 47 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 15, 2026 10:30pm ET | $97.29 | 6 | $632.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 18, 2026 12:20am ET | $105.33 | 6 | $684.31 | $684.31 |
+$48.94 (+8.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.1d held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$684.31
Net Profit/Loss:
$-9,315.69
Total Return:
-93.16%