Compendium › Victor Volume › XLF
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
XLF
Alpaca Tradeable

Victor Volume's Analysis

Last 6 Months: 2026-03-25 to present • 4 trades in period

+15.98%
Last 6 Months Return
$14,419.28
Current Value
75%
Win Rate
$12,432.45
Period Start
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PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:03:39

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
44.4 neutral
20d Trend
-1.7%
5d Trend
+0.1%
EMA20 Dist
-0.7%
ATR%
1.2%
Range Pos
44%
Bounce Ratio
1.3×
Green/Red 10d
5/5

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

40
Lifetime
Confidence: 82%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
17.5/35
Total Return
13.8/25
Win Rate
6.4/15
Profit Factor
5.1/15
Consistency
6.3/10
Raw Quality 49.1/100
× Confidence 0.82 = 40.4

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (82%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
9,906
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
127 days
Data Gaps
None (5 market holidays)

Market Closed (5 days)

2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)

Period Start Capital
$12,432.45
Current Value
$14,419.28
Period P&L
$1,986.85
Max Drawdown
-8.8%
Sharpe Ratio
1.37

Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)

Trades in Period
4
Winners / Losers
3 / 1
Best Trade
+5.99%
Worst Trade
-0.96%
Avg Trade Return
+3.91%
Avg Hold Time
24.4d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$107,861.53
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,986.85
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,986.85
Gross Return
+15.98%
Net Return (after fees)
+15.98%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 XLF Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 127 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 6 Months - 4 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Victor Volume had $12,432.45 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 11:45am ET $51.44 241 $12,395.84 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 23, 2026 11:45am ET $53.92 241 $12,993.52 $13,030.11 +$597.68
(+4.8%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
2 🟢 BUY Jun 25, 2026 3:50pm ET $53.49 243 $12,999.28 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 16, 2026 3:50pm ET $56.70 243 $13,778.10 $13,808.93 +$778.82
(+6.0%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
3 🟢 BUY Jun 25, 2026 3:50pm ET $53.49 243 $12,999.28 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 30, 2026 9:35am ET $56.58 243 $13,748.94 $14,558.59 +$749.66
(+5.8%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
34.7d held
4 🟢 BUY Aug 24, 2026 9:30am ET $57.94 251 $14,542.94 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 14, 2026 9:30am ET $57.38 251 $14,403.63 $14,419.28 $-139.31
(-1.0%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $14,419.28
Net Profit/Loss: +$4,419.28
Total Return: +44.19%
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