XRPUSD Victor Volume's Analysis
Last 6 Months: 2026-03-25 to present • 40 trades in period
-38.59%
Last 6 Months Return
$2,417.50
Current Value
33%
Win Rate
$2,859.22
Period Start
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.
Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
19.7 oversold
20d Trend
-37.8%
5d Trend
-40.3%
EMA20 Dist
-38.0%
ATR%
13.2%
Range Pos
3%
Bounce Ratio
0.3×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026
4
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.2/10
Raw Quality
4.2/100
× Confidence 1.00
= 4.2
30-Day Momentum
7
-1.6%
30d Return
33%
Win Rate
9
Trades
0.9×
Profit Factor
Quality: 8.6
Conf: 0.84×
Steady (+3 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
53,043
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-25 → 2026-09-25
Trading Days
185 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Crypto: 0.15% maker / 0.25% taker (volume-tiered) • 24/7/365 trading
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)
Period Start Capital
$2,859.22
Current Value
$2,417.50
Period P&L
$-1,103.32
Max Drawdown
-83.8%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.06
Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)
Trades in Period
40
Winners / Losers
13 /
27
Best Trade
+8.79%
Worst Trade
-7.51%
Avg Trade Return
-0.37%
Avg Hold Time
4.8d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)
Asset Type
₿ Crypto
Fee Rate
0.25% per trade
Total Volume
$184,130.24
Estimated Fees
$460.33
Gross P&L
$-1,103.32
Net P&L (after fees)
$-1,563.65
Gross Return
-38.59%
Net Return (after fees)
-54.69%
⚠️ Crypto: Alpaca charges 0.25% taker fee (or 0.15% maker).
This simulation uses the conservative 0.25% estimate on all trades.
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 XRPUSD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 185 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last 6 Months - 40 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Victor Volume had $2,859.22 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 22, 2026 3:35pm ET | $1.39 | 2,174 | $3,013.43 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 27, 2026 8:20am ET | $1.33 | 2,174 | $2,891.53 | $2,891.53 |
$-136.67 (-4.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4.7d held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 27, 2026 11:05am ET | $1.33 | 2,168 | $2,891.53 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 5, 2026 8:50am ET | $1.28 | 2,168 | $2,773.82 | $2,773.82 |
$-131.87 (-4.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
8.9d held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 5, 2026 1:10pm ET | $1.30 | 2,133 | $2,773.82 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 15, 2026 10:40pm ET | $1.40 | 2,133 | $2,997.30 | $2,997.30 |
+$209.05 (+8.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
10.4d held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 15, 2026 11:45pm ET | $1.41 | 2,128 | $2,997.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 29, 2026 2:15pm ET | $1.35 | 2,128 | $2,875.08 | $2,875.08 |
$-136.90 (-4.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
13.6d held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 30, 2026 9:45am ET | $1.37 | 2,093 | $2,875.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 10, 2026 1:20pm ET | $1.49 | 2,093 | $3,111.66 | $3,111.66 |
+$221.61 (+8.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
10.1d held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | May 11, 2026 1:45am ET | $1.45 | 2,140 | $3,111.66 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 17, 2026 7:45pm ET | $1.39 | 2,140 | $2,969.45 | $2,969.45 |
$-157.41 (-4.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
6.8d held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | May 18, 2026 7:25am ET | $1.38 | 2,149 | $2,969.45 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 23, 2026 3:50am ET | $1.30 | 2,149 | $2,802.04 | $2,802.04 |
$-181.84 (-5.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4.9d held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | May 24, 2026 3:00am ET | $1.36 | 2,058 | $2,802.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 27, 2026 7:20pm ET | $1.31 | 2,058 | $2,689.20 | $2,689.20 |
$-126.56 (-4.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.7d held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | May 27, 2026 7:30pm ET | $1.30 | 2,064 | $2,689.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 2, 2026 10:25am ET | $1.24 | 2,064 | $2,565.18 | $2,565.18 |
$-137.16 (-4.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5.6d held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 2, 2026 11:35am ET | $1.22 | 2,102 | $2,565.18 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 3, 2026 9:20pm ET | $1.17 | 2,102 | $2,461.68 | $2,461.68 |
$-116.07 (-4.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.4d held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 3, 2026 10:05pm ET | $1.15 | 2,133 | $2,461.68 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 5, 2026 2:20am ET | $1.10 | 2,133 | $2,341.59 | $2,341.59 |
$-132.10 (-4.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.2d held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 5, 2026 5:00am ET | $1.13 | 2,075 | $2,341.59 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 5, 2026 2:50pm ET | $1.08 | 2,075 | $2,243.34 | $2,243.34 |
$-109.72 (-4.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
9.8h held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 3, 2026 10:05pm ET | $1.15 | 2,133 | $2,461.68 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 6, 2026 12:25am ET | $1.07 | 2,133 | $2,276.84 | $2,058.50 |
$-196.69 (-7.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.1d held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 8, 2026 7:15am ET | $1.15 | 1,784 | $2,058.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 10, 2026 2:35am ET | $1.11 | 1,784 | $1,974.95 | $1,974.95 |
$-93.63 (-4.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.8d held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 10, 2026 8:30am ET | $1.12 | 1,770 | $1,974.95 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 15, 2026 7:10am ET | $1.21 | 1,770 | $2,136.49 | $2,136.49 |
+$151.26 (+8.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4.9d held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 15, 2026 11:25am ET | $1.26 | 1,694 | $2,136.49 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 16, 2026 10:35am ET | $1.21 | 1,694 | $2,049.75 | $2,049.75 |
$-97.21 (-4.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
23.2h held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 16, 2026 7:25pm ET | $1.22 | 1,685 | $2,049.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 18, 2026 12:50am ET | $1.17 | 1,685 | $1,965.17 | $1,965.17 |
$-94.62 (-4.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.2d held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 18, 2026 6:35pm ET | $1.15 | 1,715 | $1,965.17 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 23, 2026 4:30am ET | $1.10 | 1,715 | $1,880.23 | $1,880.23 |
$-94.56 (-4.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4.4d held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 23, 2026 9:45pm ET | $1.11 | 1,695 | $1,880.23 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 24, 2026 11:35am ET | $1.06 | 1,695 | $1,802.72 | $1,802.72 |
$-86.72 (-4.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
13.8h held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 24, 2026 1:25pm ET | $1.05 | 1,715 | $1,802.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 3, 2026 3:15pm ET | $1.14 | 1,715 | $1,955.33 | $1,955.33 |
+$143.21 (+8.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
9.1d held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 3, 2026 7:25pm ET | $1.13 | 1,726 | $1,955.33 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 8, 2026 2:35am ET | $1.09 | 1,726 | $1,875.97 | $1,875.97 |
$-88.94 (-4.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4.3d held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 8, 2026 6:25am ET | $1.08 | 1,738 | $1,875.97 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 29, 2026 6:25am ET | $1.09 | 1,738 | $1,888.22 | $1,888.22 |
+$2.84 (+0.7%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 8, 2026 6:25am ET | $1.08 | 1,738 | $1,875.97 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 30, 2026 9:35am ET | $1.08 | 1,738 | $1,874.21 | $1,886.46 |
$-11.13 (-0.1%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
22.1d held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 30, 2026 9:50pm ET | $1.08 | 1,746 | $1,886.46 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 6, 2026 2:40pm ET | $1.04 | 1,746 | $1,808.98 | $1,808.98 |
$-86.72 (-4.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
6.7d held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 6, 2026 6:15pm ET | $1.04 | 1,746 | $1,808.98 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 11, 2026 11:00am ET | $0.9949 | 1,746 | $1,736.61 | $1,736.61 |
$-81.24 (-4.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4.7d held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 11, 2026 4:05pm ET | $1.02 | 1,707 | $1,736.61 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 19, 2026 4:55pm ET | $1.10 | 1,707 | $1,878.98 | $1,878.98 |
+$133.33 (+8.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
8d held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 19, 2026 7:50pm ET | $1.10 | 1,706 | $1,878.98 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 20, 2026 7:40am ET | $1.19 | 1,706 | $2,033.69 | $2,033.69 |
+$144.92 (+8.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
11.8h held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 21, 2026 3:25pm ET | $1.39 | 1,467 | $2,033.69 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 21, 2026 9:45pm ET | $1.50 | 1,467 | $2,197.19 | $2,197.19 |
+$152.93 (+8.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
6.3h held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 21, 2026 10:05pm ET | $1.51 | 1,458 | $2,197.19 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 22, 2026 12:35am ET | $1.64 | 1,458 | $2,386.50 | $2,386.49 |
+$177.85 (+8.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.5h held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 22, 2026 1:20am ET | $1.49 | 1,599 | $2,386.49 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 22, 2026 3:25am ET | $1.61 | 1,599 | $2,578.49 | $2,578.49 |
+$179.58 (+8.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.1h held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 22, 2026 8:10am ET | $1.52 | 1,700 | $2,578.49 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 22, 2026 10:45am ET | $1.45 | 1,700 | $2,456.48 | $2,456.48 |
$-134.60 (-4.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.6h held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 22, 2026 10:55am ET | $1.45 | 1,693 | $2,456.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 26, 2026 9:20am ET | $1.39 | 1,693 | $2,345.80 | $2,345.81 |
$-122.68 (-4.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.9d held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 27, 2026 12:35pm ET | $1.47 | 1,598 | $2,345.81 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 28, 2026 6:05am ET | $1.40 | 1,598 | $2,244.46 | $2,244.46 |
$-112.83 (-4.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
17.5h held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 28, 2026 9:30am ET | $1.42 | 1,582 | $2,244.46 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 30, 2026 7:35pm ET | $1.35 | 1,582 | $2,138.94 | $2,138.94 |
$-116.48 (-4.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.4d held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 28, 2026 9:30am ET | $1.42 | 1,582 | $2,244.46 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 10, 2026 8:50am ET | $1.36 | 1,582 | $2,153.41 | $2,047.89 |
$-102.04 (-4.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
13d held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 10, 2026 11:35am ET | $1.36 | 1,510 | $2,047.89 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 14, 2026 2:45pm ET | $1.48 | 1,510 | $2,227.88 | $2,227.88 |
+$169.30 (+8.8%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4.1d held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 19, 2026 2:35pm ET | $1.43 | 1,561 | $2,227.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 19, 2026 11:15pm ET | $1.37 | 1,561 | $2,137.39 | $2,137.39 |
$-101.40 (-4.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
8.7h held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 20, 2026 4:45am ET | $1.38 | 1,552 | $2,137.39 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 21, 2026 6:30am ET | $1.49 | 1,552 | $2,311.56 | $2,311.56 |
+$163.05 (+8.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.1d held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 21, 2026 11:00pm ET | $1.52 | 1,525 | $2,311.56 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 23, 2026 12:15am ET | $1.65 | 1,525 | $2,513.08 | $2,513.08 |
+$189.46 (+8.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.1d held |
|
| 40 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 21, 2026 11:00pm ET | $1.52 | 1,525 | $2,311.56 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 24, 2026 6:30am ET | $1.45 | 1,525 | $2,215.98 | $2,417.50 |
$-106.89 (-4.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.3d held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$2,417.50
Net Profit/Loss:
$-7,582.50
Total Return:
-75.83%