Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-25 04:07:07

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 2.8
Storm
⛈️ 1 storm day in 7d
RSI(14)
23.9 oversold
20d Trend
-14.4%
5d Trend
-9.1%
EMA20 Dist
-9.2%
ATR%
3.4%
Range Pos
3%
Bounce Ratio
0.4×
Green/Red 10d
3/7
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

4
Lifetime
Confidence: 90%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.2/10
Raw Quality 4.2/100
× Confidence 0.90 = 3.8

30-Day Momentum

0
-9.7%
30d Return
33%
Win Rate
3
Trades
0.7×
Profit Factor
Quality: 0.0 Conf: 0.61×
Cooling (-4 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (90%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
49,692
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-09-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
530 days
Data Gaps
None (21 market holidays)

Market Closed (21 days)

2024-11-28 — Thanksgiving, 2024-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2025-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2025-01-09 — National Day of Mourning (Carter), 2025-01-20 — MLK Jr. Day, 2025-02-17 — Presidents' Day, 2025-04-18 — Good Friday, 2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed) ... and 1 more
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary

Starting Capital
$10,007.61
Current Value
$6,644.68
Total P&L
$-3,362.94
Max Drawdown
-40.4%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.10

Trade Statistics

Total Trades
56
Winners / Losers
21 / 35
Best Trade
+10.50%
Worst Trade
-11.48%
Avg Trade Return
-0.59%
Avg Hold Time
11.2d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$832,920.38
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-3,362.94
Net P&L (after fees)
$-3,362.94
Gross Return
-33.60%
Net Return (after fees)
-33.60%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 ADBE Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 530 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Complete Trade History

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Victor Volume had $10,007.61 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Sep 19, 2024 3:20pm ET $525.38 19 $9,982.13 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 1, 2024 11:10am ET $504.10 19 $9,577.90 $9,629.12 $-404.23
(-4.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
11.8d held
2 🟢 BUY Oct 2, 2024 1:45pm ET $507.91 18 $9,142.38 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 7, 2024 2:45pm ET $487.02 18 $8,766.36 $9,253.10 $-376.02
(-4.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5d held
3 🟢 BUY Oct 8, 2024 2:55pm ET $497.06 18 $8,947.08 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 29, 2024 2:55pm ET $484.02 18 $8,712.36 $9,018.38 $-234.72
(-2.6%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
4 🟢 BUY Oct 30, 2024 3:55pm ET $486.90 18 $8,764.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 12, 2024 10:35am ET $526.36 18 $9,474.48 $9,728.66 +$710.28
(+8.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
12.8d held
5 🟢 BUY Nov 14, 2024 12:35pm ET $530.68 18 $9,552.24 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 15, 2024 9:50am ET $506.60 18 $9,118.71 $9,295.13 $-433.53
(-4.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
21.3h held
6 🟢 BUY Nov 18, 2024 3:50pm ET $499.09 18 $8,983.62 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 4, 2024 10:30am ET $539.37 18 $9,708.66 $10,020.17 +$725.04
(+8.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
15.8d held
7 🟢 BUY Dec 5, 2024 3:50pm ET $536.97 18 $9,665.46 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 12, 2024 9:30am ET $493.00 18 $8,874.00 $9,228.71 $-791.46
(-8.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6.7d held
8 🟢 BUY Dec 13, 2024 3:45pm ET $462.13 19 $8,780.55 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 18, 2024 3:35pm ET $443.06 19 $8,418.14 $8,866.31 $-362.41
(-4.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5d held
9 🟢 BUY Dec 19, 2024 3:35pm ET $440.96 20 $8,819.10 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 7, 2025 1:55pm ET $423.30 20 $8,466.00 $8,513.21 $-353.10
(-4.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
18.9d held
10 🟢 BUY Jan 8, 2025 3:15pm ET $420.19 20 $8,403.70 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 29, 2025 3:15pm ET $441.90 20 $8,838.00 $8,947.51 +$434.30
(+5.2%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
11 🟢 BUY Jan 31, 2025 12:05pm ET $439.59 20 $8,791.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 21, 2025 12:05pm ET $450.33 20 $9,006.50 $9,162.21 +$214.70
(+2.4%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
12 🟢 BUY Feb 24, 2025 1:05pm ET $445.05 20 $8,901.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 13, 2025 9:30am ET $393.96 20 $7,879.20 $8,140.41 $-1,021.80
(-11.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
16.8d held
13 🟢 BUY Mar 14, 2025 9:30am ET $384.86 21 $8,082.06 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 3, 2025 10:00am ET $368.21 21 $7,732.41 $7,790.76 $-349.65
(-4.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
20d held
14 🟢 BUY Apr 4, 2025 1:30pm ET $355.79 21 $7,471.59 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2025 9:30am ET $337.00 21 $7,077.00 $7,396.17 $-394.59
(-5.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.8d held
15 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2025 1:20pm ET $337.86 21 $7,095.06 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 25, 2025 10:10am ET $364.97 21 $7,664.29 $7,965.39 +$569.23
(+8.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
16.9d held
16 🟢 BUY Apr 28, 2025 3:50pm ET $368.96 21 $7,748.16 — — —
🔴 SELL May 13, 2025 11:15am ET $398.75 21 $8,373.75 $8,590.98 +$625.59
(+8.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
14.8d held
17 🟢 BUY May 14, 2025 3:15pm ET $398.61 21 $8,370.71 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 4, 2025 3:15pm ET $414.09 21 $8,695.89 $8,916.17 +$325.18
(+3.9%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
18 🟢 BUY Jun 5, 2025 3:20pm ET $414.78 21 $8,710.38 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 13, 2025 9:30am ET $393.39 21 $8,261.09 $8,466.87 $-449.30
(-5.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
7.8d held
19 🟢 BUY Jun 16, 2025 9:30am ET $396.89 21 $8,334.69 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 18, 2025 12:15pm ET $380.47 21 $7,989.86 $8,122.05 $-344.83
(-4.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.1d held
20 🟢 BUY Jun 20, 2025 3:00pm ET $374.38 21 $7,861.98 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 11, 2025 3:00pm ET $362.80 21 $7,618.80 $7,878.87 $-243.18
(-3.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
21 🟢 BUY Jul 14, 2025 3:00pm ET $366.46 21 $7,695.66 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 1, 2025 9:55am ET $351.63 21 $7,384.23 $7,567.44 $-311.43
(-4.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
17.8d held
22 🟢 BUY Aug 4, 2025 3:50pm ET $339.27 22 $7,463.94 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 25, 2025 3:50pm ET $363.72 22 $8,001.73 $8,105.23 +$537.79
(+7.2%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
23 🟢 BUY Aug 27, 2025 3:45pm ET $356.49 22 $7,842.78 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 2, 2025 11:25am ET $342.17 22 $7,527.74 $7,790.19 $-315.04
(-4.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5.8d held
24 🟢 BUY Sep 3, 2025 3:45pm ET $347.14 22 $7,637.08 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 24, 2025 3:45pm ET $352.81 22 $7,761.71 $7,914.82 +$124.63
(+1.6%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
25 🟢 BUY Sep 25, 2025 3:50pm ET $354.29 22 $7,794.38 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 10, 2025 11:05am ET $340.03 22 $7,480.55 $7,600.99 $-313.83
(-4.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
14.8d held
26 🟢 BUY Oct 13, 2025 3:20pm ET $339.13 22 $7,460.86 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 3, 2025 2:20pm ET $337.72 22 $7,429.84 $7,569.97 $-31.02
(-0.4%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
27 🟢 BUY Nov 4, 2025 3:45pm ET $334.74 22 $7,364.28 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 19, 2025 9:30am ET $320.04 22 $7,040.88 $7,246.57 $-323.40
(-4.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
14.7d held
28 🟢 BUY Nov 21, 2025 9:30am ET $315.21 22 $6,934.51 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 5, 2025 9:50am ET $341.15 22 $7,505.27 $7,817.33 +$570.76
(+8.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
14d held
29 🟢 BUY Dec 8, 2025 3:55pm ET $339.12 23 $7,799.76 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 29, 2025 3:55pm ET $353.06 23 $8,120.38 $8,137.95 +$320.62
(+4.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
30 🟢 BUY Dec 31, 2025 3:50pm ET $349.98 23 $8,049.54 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 2, 2026 10:20am ET $335.35 23 $7,713.05 $7,801.46 $-336.49
(-4.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.8d held
31 🟢 BUY Jan 5, 2026 11:30am ET $330.13 23 $7,593.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 13, 2026 10:25am ET $316.40 23 $7,277.20 $7,485.66 $-315.80
(-4.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
8d held
32 🟢 BUY Jan 14, 2026 3:50pm ET $304.62 24 $7,310.88 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 20, 2026 9:35am ET $292.12 24 $7,010.88 $7,185.66 $-300.00
(-4.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5.7d held
33 🟢 BUY Jan 21, 2026 9:35am ET $292.34 24 $7,016.04 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 3, 2026 9:50am ET $280.60 24 $6,734.40 $6,904.02 $-281.64
(-4.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
13d held
34 🟢 BUY Feb 4, 2026 1:55pm ET $281.60 24 $6,758.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 5, 2026 12:55pm ET $270.20 24 $6,484.92 $6,630.54 $-273.48
(-4.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23h held
35 🟢 BUY Feb 6, 2026 2:50pm ET $266.67 24 $6,399.96 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 12:30pm ET $267.97 24 $6,431.28 $6,661.86 +$31.32
(+0.5%)
📅 Sim Ended
3.9d held
36 🟢 BUY Feb 17, 2026 1:30pm ET $260.29 25 $6,507.31 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 23, 2026 9:45am ET $249.23 25 $6,230.63 $6,385.17 $-276.69
(-4.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5.8d held
37 🟢 BUY Feb 25, 2026 10:50am ET $254.60 25 $6,364.88 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 4, 2026 11:05am ET $275.08 25 $6,877.00 $6,897.29 +$512.12
(+8.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
7d held
38 🟢 BUY Mar 6, 2026 9:30am ET $281.41 24 $6,753.84 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 10, 2026 10:05am ET $269.50 24 $6,468.00 $6,611.45 $-285.84
(-4.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held
39 🟢 BUY Mar 11, 2026 3:50pm ET $273.73 24 $6,569.52 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 13, 2026 9:30am ET $252.22 24 $6,053.28 $6,095.21 $-516.24
(-7.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.7d held
40 🟢 BUY Mar 16, 2026 10:45am ET $248.44 24 $5,962.56 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 24, 2026 11:10am ET $238.49 24 $5,723.76 $5,856.41 $-238.80
(-4.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
8d held
41 🟢 BUY Mar 26, 2026 9:30am ET $237.34 24 $5,696.16 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2026 2:25pm ET $227.77 24 $5,466.60 $5,626.85 $-229.56
(-4.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
14.2d held
42 🟢 BUY Apr 13, 2026 9:30am ET $228.13 24 $5,475.12 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 16, 2026 9:30am ET $251.55 24 $6,037.20 $6,188.93 +$562.08
(+10.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
3d held
43 🟢 BUY Apr 24, 2026 9:30am ET $240.96 25 $6,024.00 — — —
🔴 SELL May 15, 2026 9:30am ET $242.65 25 $6,066.25 $6,231.18 +$42.25
(+0.7%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
44 🟢 BUY May 22, 2026 9:30am ET $247.35 25 $6,183.87 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 1, 2026 9:40am ET $267.30 25 $6,682.50 $6,729.80 +$498.62
(+8.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
10d held
45 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 3:50pm ET $262.01 25 $6,550.25 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2026 11:30am ET $250.88 25 $6,271.88 $6,451.42 $-278.38
(-4.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.8d held
46 🟢 BUY Jun 8, 2026 12:40pm ET $246.07 26 $6,397.77 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 9, 2026 12:00pm ET $235.34 26 $6,118.84 $6,172.49 $-278.93
(-4.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.3h held
47 🟢 BUY Jun 16, 2026 9:30am ET $205.47 30 $6,164.10 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 17, 2026 3:35pm ET $197.21 30 $5,916.45 $5,924.84 $-247.65
(-4.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.3d held
48 🟢 BUY Jun 18, 2026 3:50pm ET $194.99 30 $5,849.70 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 1, 2026 9:40am ET $211.05 30 $6,331.50 $6,406.64 +$481.80
(+8.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
12.7d held
49 🟢 BUY Jun 18, 2026 3:50pm ET $194.99 30 $5,849.70 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 6, 2026 9:30am ET $215.46 30 $6,463.65 $7,020.59 +$613.95
(+10.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
17.7d held
50 🟢 BUY Jul 7, 2026 9:30am ET $222.52 31 $6,898.12 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 23, 2026 11:35am ET $213.37 31 $6,614.47 $6,736.94 $-283.65
(-4.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
16.1d held
51 🟢 BUY Jul 27, 2026 9:30am ET $230.82 29 $6,693.78 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 28, 2026 10:15am ET $249.65 29 $7,239.71 $7,282.86 +$545.92
(+8.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
1d held
52 🟢 BUY Jul 29, 2026 3:50pm ET $263.84 27 $7,123.68 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 30, 2026 9:30am ET $251.55 27 $6,791.85 $6,951.03 $-331.83
(-4.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
17.7h held
53 🟢 BUY Aug 3, 2026 9:30am ET $259.82 26 $6,755.32 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 24, 2026 9:30am ET $275.49 26 $7,162.74 $7,358.45 +$407.42
(+6.0%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
54 🟢 BUY Aug 3, 2026 9:30am ET $259.82 26 $6,755.32 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 26, 2026 9:30am ET $265.52 26 $6,903.52 $7,506.65 +$148.20
(+2.2%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
23d held
55 🟢 BUY Aug 28, 2026 9:30am ET $290.17 25 $7,254.13 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 4, 2026 9:30am ET $266.70 25 $6,667.50 $6,920.03 $-586.62
(-8.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
7d held
56 🟢 BUY Sep 10, 2026 9:30am ET $251.72 27 $6,796.44 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 11, 2026 9:30am ET $241.52 27 $6,521.09 $6,644.68 $-275.35
(-4.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $6,644.68
Net Profit/Loss: $-3,355.32
Total Return: -33.55%
Back to Victor Volume