Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-24 23:31:16

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
19.1 oversold
20d Trend
-20.9%
5d Trend
-12.4%
EMA20 Dist
-13.6%
ATR%
4.1%
Range Pos
3%
Bounce Ratio
0.5×
Green/Red 10d
2/8

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

5
Lifetime
Confidence: 97%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
5.2/10
Raw Quality 5.2/100
× Confidence 0.97 = 5.0

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (97%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
57,040
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-09-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
533 days
Data Gaps
None (21 market holidays)

Market Closed (21 days)

2024-11-28 — Thanksgiving, 2024-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2025-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2025-01-09 — National Day of Mourning (Carter), 2025-01-20 — MLK Jr. Day, 2025-02-17 — Presidents' Day, 2025-04-18 — Good Friday, 2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed) ... and 1 more
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary

Starting Capital
$8,518.74
Current Value
$8,369.06
Total P&L
$-149.70
Max Drawdown
-42.3%
Sharpe Ratio
0.03

Trade Statistics

Total Trades
68
Winners / Losers
28 / 40
Best Trade
+10.20%
Worst Trade
-9.89%
Avg Trade Return
+0.18%
Avg Hold Time
8.8d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,217,705.00
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-149.70
Net P&L (after fees)
$-149.70
Gross Return
-1.76%
Net Return (after fees)
-1.76%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 ARKK Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 533 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Complete Trade History

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Victor Volume had $8,518.74 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Sep 18, 2024 1:40pm ET $46.38 180 $8,347.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 9, 2024 1:40pm ET $46.82 180 $8,426.70 $8,467.47 +$79.20
(+0.9%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
2 🟢 BUY Oct 11, 2024 9:30am ET $45.67 185 $8,448.95 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 1, 2024 9:30am ET $46.19 185 $8,545.80 $8,564.32 +$96.85
(+1.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
3 🟢 BUY Nov 4, 2024 9:35am ET $46.08 185 $8,524.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 6, 2024 9:30am ET $50.78 185 $9,394.30 $9,433.82 +$869.50
(+10.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
2d held
4 🟢 BUY Nov 7, 2024 11:25am ET $52.69 179 $9,431.51 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 11, 2024 10:10am ET $57.10 179 $10,220.90 $10,223.21 +$789.39
(+8.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
4d held
5 🟢 BUY Nov 12, 2024 3:35pm ET $56.84 179 $10,173.47 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 14, 2024 12:40pm ET $54.56 179 $9,766.24 $9,815.98 $-407.23
(-4.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9d held
6 🟢 BUY Nov 15, 2024 3:20pm ET $53.41 183 $9,773.12 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 25, 2024 10:40am ET $57.79 183 $10,574.66 $10,617.52 +$801.54
(+8.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
9.8d held
7 🟢 BUY Nov 26, 2024 2:10pm ET $56.34 188 $10,591.92 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 5, 2024 9:30am ET $61.23 188 $11,511.24 $11,536.84 +$919.32
(+8.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
8.8d held
8 🟢 BUY Dec 6, 2024 9:30am ET $61.37 187 $11,476.19 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 18, 2024 3:35pm ET $58.48 187 $10,934.83 $10,995.48 $-541.36
(-4.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
12.3d held
9 🟢 BUY Dec 19, 2024 3:55pm ET $58.16 189 $10,992.24 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 10, 2025 9:30am ET $57.50 189 $10,867.50 $10,870.74 $-124.74
(-1.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21.7d held
10 🟢 BUY Jan 13, 2025 9:30am ET $56.09 193 $10,825.37 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 21, 2025 9:30am ET $60.80 193 $11,734.40 $11,779.77 +$909.03
(+8.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
8d held
11 🟢 BUY Jan 22, 2025 9:30am ET $61.96 190 $11,772.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 12, 2025 9:30am ET $61.07 190 $11,603.30 $11,610.67 $-169.10
(-1.4%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
12 🟢 BUY Feb 13, 2025 9:30am ET $63.32 183 $11,587.56 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 21, 2025 1:55pm ET $60.76 183 $11,119.08 $11,142.19 $-468.48
(-4.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
8.2d held
13 🟢 BUY Feb 24, 2025 3:05pm ET $59.35 187 $11,098.45 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 25, 2025 9:50am ET $56.75 187 $10,612.25 $10,655.99 $-486.20
(-4.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
18.8h held
14 🟢 BUY Feb 26, 2025 1:05pm ET $56.84 187 $10,629.08 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 28, 2025 9:30am ET $53.26 187 $9,959.62 $9,986.53 $-669.46
(-6.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9d held
15 🟢 BUY Mar 3, 2025 9:30am ET $56.96 175 $9,968.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 3, 2025 1:10pm ET $54.61 175 $9,556.77 $9,575.29 $-411.23
(-4.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.7h held
16 🟢 BUY Mar 4, 2025 2:40pm ET $53.83 177 $9,527.91 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 7, 2025 10:30am ET $51.37 177 $9,092.49 $9,139.87 $-435.42
(-4.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.8d held
17 🟢 BUY Mar 10, 2025 11:30am ET $49.40 185 $9,138.98 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 10, 2025 2:55pm ET $47.40 185 $8,769.00 $8,769.89 $-369.98
(-4.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.4h held
18 🟢 BUY Mar 12, 2025 9:30am ET $50.05 175 $8,758.75 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 13, 2025 9:55am ET $47.77 175 $8,359.75 $8,370.89 $-399.00
(-4.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
19 🟢 BUY Mar 14, 2025 10:00am ET $48.86 171 $8,355.06 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 24, 2025 9:30am ET $53.05 171 $9,071.55 $9,087.38 +$716.49
(+8.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
10d held
20 🟢 BUY Mar 25, 2025 2:05pm ET $53.54 169 $9,047.42 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 26, 2025 2:55pm ET $51.38 169 $8,683.22 $8,723.19 $-364.19
(-4.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
21 🟢 BUY Mar 28, 2025 2:00pm ET $48.75 178 $8,677.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 31, 2025 9:30am ET $46.08 178 $8,202.24 $8,247.93 $-475.26
(-5.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.8d held
22 🟢 BUY Apr 1, 2025 2:10pm ET $47.51 173 $8,219.23 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 3, 2025 10:05am ET $45.60 173 $7,888.80 $7,917.50 $-330.43
(-4.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.8d held
23 🟢 BUY Apr 4, 2025 1:45pm ET $42.33 187 $7,915.71 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2025 9:30am ET $39.68 187 $7,420.16 $7,421.95 $-495.55
(-6.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.8d held
24 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2025 12:45pm ET $42.08 176 $7,406.08 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2025 3:15pm ET $40.20 176 $7,075.20 $7,091.07 $-330.88
(-4.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.5h held
25 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2025 3:50pm ET $47.42 149 $7,065.58 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 10, 2025 9:30am ET $45.47 149 $6,775.03 $6,800.52 $-290.55
(-4.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
17.7h held
26 🟢 BUY Apr 11, 2025 9:45am ET $45.13 150 $6,769.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2025 9:30am ET $48.79 150 $7,318.50 $7,349.52 +$549.00
(+8.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
12d held
27 🟢 BUY Apr 24, 2025 12:25pm ET $49.37 148 $7,306.02 — — —
🔴 SELL May 12, 2025 9:30am ET $54.14 148 $8,012.19 $8,055.69 +$706.17
(+9.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
17.9d held
28 🟢 BUY May 13, 2025 9:30am ET $55.89 144 $8,047.44 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 3, 2025 9:30am ET $57.17 144 $8,232.44 $8,240.68 +$185.00
(+2.3%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
29 🟢 BUY Jun 4, 2025 12:15pm ET $57.93 142 $8,226.06 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 10, 2025 9:35am ET $62.85 142 $8,924.70 $8,939.32 +$698.64
(+8.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
5.9d held
30 🟢 BUY Jun 11, 2025 2:05pm ET $63.64 140 $8,908.90 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 13, 2025 10:15am ET $61.05 140 $8,547.00 $8,577.42 $-361.90
(-4.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.8d held
31 🟢 BUY Jun 16, 2025 10:20am ET $65.10 131 $8,528.10 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 24, 2025 11:00am ET $70.36 131 $9,216.51 $9,265.83 +$688.41
(+8.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
8d held
32 🟢 BUY Jun 25, 2025 1:10pm ET $69.34 133 $9,222.22 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 16, 2025 1:10pm ET $74.63 133 $9,925.79 $9,969.40 +$703.57
(+7.6%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
33 🟢 BUY Jul 17, 2025 2:30pm ET $76.30 130 $9,919.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 1, 2025 9:30am ET $71.79 130 $9,332.70 $9,383.10 $-586.30
(-5.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
14.8d held
34 🟢 BUY Aug 4, 2025 3:15pm ET $73.51 127 $9,335.77 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 25, 2025 3:15pm ET $75.90 127 $9,638.67 $9,685.99 +$302.89
(+3.2%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
35 🟢 BUY Aug 26, 2025 3:20pm ET $76.06 127 $9,658.99 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 16, 2025 3:20pm ET $81.05 127 $10,293.35 $10,320.36 +$634.36
(+6.6%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
36 🟢 BUY Sep 18, 2025 2:05pm ET $83.04 124 $10,296.96 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 6, 2025 9:30am ET $90.54 124 $11,226.96 $11,250.36 +$930.00
(+9.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
17.8d held
37 🟢 BUY Oct 7, 2025 11:10am ET $89.87 125 $11,233.13 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 10, 2025 3:35pm ET $86.27 125 $10,783.75 $10,800.98 $-449.38
(-4.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.2d held
38 🟢 BUY Oct 13, 2025 3:50pm ET $87.80 123 $10,799.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 22, 2025 1:20pm ET $84.14 123 $10,349.22 $10,350.80 $-450.18
(-4.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
8.9d held
39 🟢 BUY Oct 23, 2025 3:55pm ET $87.89 117 $10,283.12 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 4, 2025 1:35pm ET $84.23 117 $9,854.33 $9,922.01 $-428.79
(-4.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
11.9d held
40 🟢 BUY Nov 5, 2025 3:50pm ET $85.07 116 $9,867.54 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 6, 2025 11:15am ET $81.58 116 $9,463.28 $9,517.75 $-404.26
(-4.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
19.4h held
41 🟢 BUY Nov 7, 2025 11:40am ET $77.97 122 $9,511.73 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 14, 2025 9:30am ET $74.83 122 $9,129.26 $9,135.28 $-382.47
(-4.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6.9d held
42 🟢 BUY Nov 17, 2025 9:35am ET $76.55 119 $9,109.45 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 19, 2025 12:35pm ET $73.43 119 $8,738.17 $8,764.00 $-371.28
(-4.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.1d held
43 🟢 BUY Nov 20, 2025 3:50pm ET $71.74 122 $8,752.28 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 26, 2025 9:30am ET $77.81 122 $9,492.21 $9,503.93 +$739.93
(+8.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
5.7d held
44 🟢 BUY Nov 28, 2025 12:55pm ET $79.65 119 $9,478.35 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 19, 2025 12:55pm ET $80.05 119 $9,525.95 $9,551.53 +$47.60
(+0.5%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
45 🟢 BUY Dec 22, 2025 2:05pm ET $81.69 116 $9,476.04 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 30, 2025 9:30am ET $78.42 116 $9,096.72 $9,172.21 $-379.32
(-4.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
7.8d held
46 🟢 BUY Dec 31, 2025 9:40am ET $77.72 118 $9,170.37 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 21, 2026 9:40am ET $79.43 118 $9,372.74 $9,374.58 +$202.37
(+2.2%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
47 🟢 BUY Jan 22, 2026 12:30pm ET $82.05 114 $9,353.70 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 29, 2026 9:30am ET $78.47 114 $8,945.58 $8,966.46 $-408.12
(-4.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6.9d held
48 🟢 BUY Jan 30, 2026 9:30am ET $77.34 115 $8,894.10 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 2, 2026 9:40am ET $74.23 115 $8,536.45 $8,608.81 $-357.65
(-4.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held
49 🟢 BUY Feb 3, 2026 11:40am ET $73.47 117 $8,595.99 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 4, 2026 11:00am ET $70.42 117 $8,239.14 $8,251.96 $-356.85
(-4.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.3h held
50 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 12:40pm ET $68.13 121 $8,243.73 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 12:30pm ET $73.03 121 $8,836.63 $8,844.86 +$592.90
(+7.2%)
📅 Sim Ended
5d held
51 🟢 BUY Feb 26, 2026 9:40am ET $73.43 120 $8,811.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 3, 2026 10:20am ET $70.29 120 $8,434.80 $8,468.06 $-376.80
(-4.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5d held
52 🟢 BUY Mar 5, 2026 9:30am ET $74.86 113 $8,459.18 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 9, 2026 10:05am ET $71.72 113 $8,104.36 $8,113.24 $-354.82
(-4.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held
53 🟢 BUY Mar 10, 2026 10:50am ET $74.16 109 $8,083.44 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 12, 2026 10:30am ET $71.11 109 $7,750.99 $7,780.79 $-332.45
(-4.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held
54 🟢 BUY Mar 13, 2026 3:55pm ET $70.21 110 $7,723.10 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 26, 2026 3:10pm ET $67.39 110 $7,413.45 $7,471.14 $-309.65
(-4.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
13d held
55 🟢 BUY Apr 2, 2026 10:35am ET $68.45 109 $7,461.05 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 14, 2026 9:35am ET $74.29 109 $8,097.96 $8,108.05 +$636.91
(+8.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
12d held
56 🟢 BUY Apr 15, 2026 2:50pm ET $77.10 105 $8,094.98 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 9:35am ET $73.66 105 $7,734.30 $7,747.38 $-360.67
(-4.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
13.8d held
57 🟢 BUY May 7, 2026 11:50am ET $78.57 98 $7,699.86 — — —
🔴 SELL May 15, 2026 9:45am ET $75.39 98 $7,388.22 $7,435.74 $-311.64
(-4.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
7.9d held
58 🟢 BUY May 20, 2026 11:20am ET $75.54 98 $7,402.43 — — —
🔴 SELL May 29, 2026 11:30am ET $81.61 98 $7,997.78 $8,031.09 +$595.35
(+8.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
9d held
59 🟢 BUY Jun 1, 2026 2:15pm ET $82.06 97 $7,959.82 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 3, 2026 9:30am ET $78.48 97 $7,612.75 $7,684.02 $-347.07
(-4.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.8d held
60 🟢 BUY Jun 4, 2026 9:30am ET $78.30 98 $7,673.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2026 12:40pm ET $74.88 98 $7,338.24 $7,348.86 $-335.16
(-4.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held
61 🟢 BUY Jun 11, 2026 1:30pm ET $74.21 99 $7,346.79 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 16, 2026 9:45am ET $80.41 99 $7,960.59 $7,962.66 +$613.80
(+8.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
4.8d held
62 🟢 BUY Jun 23, 2026 1:10pm ET $77.90 102 $7,945.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 6, 2026 12:10pm ET $84.19 102 $8,587.52 $8,604.38 +$641.72
(+8.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
13d held
63 🟢 BUY Jul 8, 2026 12:35pm ET $79.28 108 $8,562.24 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 17, 2026 9:30am ET $74.50 108 $8,046.00 $8,088.14 $-516.24
(-6.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
8.9d held
64 🟢 BUY Jul 20, 2026 12:10pm ET $75.99 106 $8,054.41 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 24, 2026 9:40am ET $72.82 106 $7,718.92 $7,752.65 $-335.49
(-4.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.9d held
65 🟢 BUY Jul 8, 2026 12:35pm ET $79.28 108 $8,562.24 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 30, 2026 9:35am ET $71.44 108 $7,715.52 $6,905.93 $-846.72
(-9.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
21.9d held
66 🟢 BUY Aug 3, 2026 2:05pm ET $73.66 93 $6,850.38 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 10, 2026 9:35am ET $79.72 93 $7,414.42 $7,469.97 +$564.04
(+8.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
6.8d held
67 🟢 BUY Aug 11, 2026 1:25pm ET $80.47 92 $7,403.24 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 27, 2026 9:40am ET $86.99 92 $8,003.08 $8,069.81 +$599.84
(+8.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
15.8d held
68 🟢 BUY Aug 28, 2026 12:25pm ET $84.50 95 $8,027.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 18, 2026 12:25pm ET $87.65 95 $8,326.75 $8,369.06 +$299.25
(+3.7%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $8,369.06
Net Profit/Loss: $-1,630.94
Total Return: -16.31%
Back to Victor Volume