Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-24 23:57:14

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
33.4 neutral
20d Trend
-9.7%
5d Trend
-7.1%
EMA20 Dist
-5.9%
ATR%
3.2%
Range Pos
3%
Bounce Ratio
0.7×
Green/Red 10d
4/6

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

25
Lifetime
Confidence: 97%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
4.8/35
Total Return
14.5/25
Win Rate
0.3/15
Profit Factor
0.8/15
Consistency
5.0/10
Raw Quality 25.4/100
× Confidence 0.97 = 24.6

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (97%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
77,798
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-09-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
536 days
Data Gaps
None (21 market holidays)

Market Closed (21 days)

2024-11-28 — Thanksgiving, 2024-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2025-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2025-01-09 — National Day of Mourning (Carter), 2025-01-20 — MLK Jr. Day, 2025-02-17 — Presidents' Day, 2025-04-18 — Good Friday, 2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed) ... and 1 more
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary

Starting Capital
$17,655.26
Current Value
$15,475.57
Total P&L
$-2,179.64
Max Drawdown
-40.2%
Sharpe Ratio
0.00

Trade Statistics

Total Trades
64
Winners / Losers
23 / 41
Best Trade
+12.46%
Worst Trade
-12.84%
Avg Trade Return
-0.02%
Avg Hold Time
8.2d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$2,446,538.52
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-2,179.64
Net P&L (after fees)
$-2,179.64
Gross Return
-12.35%
Net Return (after fees)
-12.35%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 NVDA Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 536 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Complete Trade History

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Victor Volume had $17,655.26 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Sep 20, 2024 9:30am ET $117.97 151 $17,812.72 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 7, 2024 10:55am ET $127.69 151 $19,281.30 $19,310.30 +$1,468.58
(+8.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
17.1d held
2 🟢 BUY Oct 8, 2024 2:35pm ET $132.75 145 $19,248.72 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 21, 2024 3:55pm ET $143.70 145 $20,836.50 $20,898.08 +$1,587.78
(+8.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
13.1d held
3 🟢 BUY Oct 23, 2024 9:35am ET $140.80 148 $20,838.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 31, 2024 9:45am ET $134.42 148 $19,894.16 $19,953.84 $-944.24
(-4.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
8d held
4 🟢 BUY Nov 1, 2024 3:55pm ET $135.43 147 $19,908.21 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 6, 2024 1:05pm ET $146.28 147 $21,503.16 $21,548.79 +$1,594.95
(+8.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
4.9d held
5 🟢 BUY Nov 7, 2024 2:55pm ET $148.46 145 $21,527.37 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 15, 2024 10:15am ET $142.49 145 $20,660.33 $20,681.75 $-867.04
(-4.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
7.8d held
6 🟢 BUY Nov 18, 2024 3:55pm ET $140.20 147 $20,609.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 27, 2024 9:30am ET $133.75 147 $19,661.25 $19,733.60 $-948.15
(-4.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
8.7d held
7 🟢 BUY Dec 2, 2024 9:35am ET $139.94 141 $19,731.54 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 10, 2024 3:00pm ET $134.19 141 $18,921.40 $18,923.45 $-810.14
(-4.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
8.2d held
8 🟢 BUY Dec 11, 2024 3:55pm ET $139.26 135 $18,800.10 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 13, 2024 11:05am ET $133.15 135 $17,975.25 $18,098.60 $-824.85
(-4.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.8d held
9 🟢 BUY Dec 16, 2024 2:10pm ET $131.14 138 $18,097.32 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 24, 2024 9:55am ET $141.64 138 $19,546.58 $19,547.87 +$1,449.26
(+8.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
7.8d held
10 🟢 BUY Dec 26, 2024 3:50pm ET $140.13 139 $19,478.18 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 31, 2024 12:35pm ET $134.36 139 $18,676.60 $18,746.28 $-801.59
(-4.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.9d held
11 🟢 BUY Jan 2, 2025 3:50pm ET $138.40 135 $18,683.33 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 6, 2025 9:45am ET $150.26 135 $20,285.37 $20,348.33 +$1,602.05
(+8.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.7d held
12 🟢 BUY Jan 8, 2025 3:55pm ET $140.06 145 $20,308.70 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 10, 2025 10:05am ET $134.32 145 $19,476.40 $19,516.03 $-832.30
(-4.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.8d held
13 🟢 BUY Jan 13, 2025 3:50pm ET $133.19 146 $19,445.78 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 22, 2025 9:30am ET $145.02 146 $21,173.20 $21,243.44 +$1,727.41
(+8.9%)
🎯 +5% Target
8.7d held
14 🟢 BUY Jan 23, 2025 3:05pm ET $146.30 145 $21,213.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 27, 2025 9:30am ET $127.51 145 $18,488.95 $18,518.89 $-2,724.55
(-12.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.8d held
15 🟢 BUY Jan 28, 2025 3:50pm ET $128.39 144 $18,488.16 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 29, 2025 10:35am ET $123.19 144 $17,738.64 $17,769.37 $-749.52
(-4.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
18.8h held
16 🟢 BUY Jan 30, 2025 3:50pm ET $123.96 143 $17,726.28 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 3, 2025 9:30am ET $114.41 143 $16,360.63 $16,403.72 $-1,365.65
(-7.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.7d held
17 🟢 BUY Feb 4, 2025 9:30am ET $117.82 139 $16,376.98 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 6, 2025 11:45am ET $127.46 139 $17,717.61 $17,744.35 +$1,340.63
(+8.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.1d held
18 🟢 BUY Feb 7, 2025 3:40pm ET $129.42 137 $17,729.86 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 18, 2025 9:30am ET $143.02 137 $19,593.74 $19,608.23 +$1,863.89
(+10.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
10.7d held
19 🟢 BUY Feb 19, 2025 12:40pm ET $140.79 139 $19,569.82 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 21, 2025 2:40pm ET $135.08 139 $18,776.12 $18,814.53 $-793.70
(-4.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.1d held
20 🟢 BUY Feb 25, 2025 9:35am ET $129.64 145 $18,797.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 27, 2025 2:25pm ET $123.75 145 $17,943.03 $17,959.75 $-854.77
(-4.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.2d held
21 🟢 BUY Feb 28, 2025 3:50pm ET $124.45 144 $17,920.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 3, 2025 9:55am ET $119.00 144 $17,136.00 $17,174.95 $-784.80
(-4.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.8d held
22 🟢 BUY Mar 4, 2025 3:55pm ET $115.96 148 $17,162.08 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 6, 2025 12:45pm ET $110.97 148 $16,423.56 $16,436.43 $-738.52
(-4.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9d held
23 🟢 BUY Mar 7, 2025 3:55pm ET $112.72 145 $16,344.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 10, 2025 10:25am ET $108.06 145 $15,669.34 $15,761.37 $-675.06
(-4.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.7d held
24 🟢 BUY Mar 11, 2025 2:50pm ET $111.94 140 $15,671.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 14, 2025 11:15am ET $120.96 140 $16,934.15 $17,023.92 +$1,262.55
(+8.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.9d held
25 🟢 BUY Mar 18, 2025 3:55pm ET $115.58 147 $16,990.26 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 27, 2025 9:35am ET $110.71 147 $16,274.37 $16,308.03 $-715.89
(-4.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
8.7d held
26 🟢 BUY Mar 28, 2025 9:35am ET $112.18 145 $16,266.10 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 31, 2025 9:30am ET $104.49 145 $15,151.05 $15,192.98 $-1,115.05
(-6.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held
27 🟢 BUY Apr 1, 2025 3:50pm ET $109.77 138 $15,147.57 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 3, 2025 9:30am ET $104.81 138 $14,463.78 $14,509.19 $-683.79
(-4.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.7d held
28 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2025 9:30am ET $88.22 164 $14,468.08 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2025 10:10am ET $99.21 164 $16,270.44 $16,311.55 +$1,802.36
(+12.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
42m held
29 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2025 3:50pm ET $96.52 168 $16,215.36 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2025 1:15pm ET $104.26 168 $17,516.15 $17,612.34 +$1,300.79
(+8.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
21.4h held
30 🟢 BUY Apr 11, 2025 3:50pm ET $110.59 159 $17,583.81 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 16, 2025 9:30am ET $105.80 159 $16,822.20 $16,850.73 $-761.61
(-4.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.7d held
31 🟢 BUY Apr 17, 2025 3:55pm ET $101.42 166 $16,835.72 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 21, 2025 9:55am ET $96.84 166 $16,075.44 $16,090.45 $-760.28
(-4.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.8d held
32 🟢 BUY Apr 22, 2025 3:40pm ET $98.08 164 $16,084.30 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 24, 2025 12:30pm ET $105.96 164 $17,377.46 $17,383.60 +$1,293.16
(+8.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held
33 🟢 BUY Apr 25, 2025 12:35pm ET $110.26 157 $17,310.82 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 30, 2025 9:30am ET $105.15 157 $16,508.55 $16,581.33 $-802.27
(-4.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.9d held
34 🟢 BUY May 1, 2025 9:30am ET $113.27 146 $16,537.41 — — —
🔴 SELL May 12, 2025 12:10pm ET $122.38 146 $17,867.67 $17,911.60 +$1,330.26
(+8.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
11.1d held
35 🟢 BUY May 14, 2025 9:30am ET $134.80 132 $17,792.94 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 4, 2025 9:30am ET $141.63 132 $18,695.16 $18,813.82 +$902.22
(+5.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
36 🟢 BUY Jun 5, 2025 11:40am ET $143.84 130 $18,698.55 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 26, 2025 9:55am ET $155.77 130 $20,250.10 $20,365.37 +$1,551.55
(+8.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
20.9d held
37 🟢 BUY Jun 27, 2025 3:50pm ET $157.63 129 $20,333.63 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 15, 2025 9:30am ET $170.51 129 $21,995.25 $22,026.99 +$1,661.62
(+8.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
17.7d held
38 🟢 BUY Jul 16, 2025 9:35am ET $171.12 128 $21,902.72 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 6, 2025 9:35am ET $177.31 128 $22,695.68 $22,819.95 +$792.96
(+3.6%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
39 🟢 BUY Aug 7, 2025 9:35am ET $183.09 124 $22,702.54 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 19, 2025 3:50pm ET $175.65 124 $21,780.60 $21,898.01 $-921.94
(-4.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
12.3d held
40 🟢 BUY Aug 20, 2025 3:50pm ET $175.09 125 $21,886.78 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 2, 2025 11:40am ET $168.08 125 $21,010.00 $21,021.24 $-876.77
(-4.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
12.8d held
41 🟢 BUY Sep 3, 2025 3:50pm ET $169.99 123 $20,908.77 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 22, 2025 12:30pm ET $183.61 123 $22,584.03 $22,696.50 +$1,675.26
(+8.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
18.9d held
42 🟢 BUY Sep 23, 2025 1:40pm ET $177.85 127 $22,586.77 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 9, 2025 9:40am ET $192.50 127 $24,446.87 $24,556.59 +$1,860.09
(+8.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
15.8d held
43 🟢 BUY Oct 10, 2025 10:10am ET $194.71 126 $24,533.46 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 10, 2025 1:05pm ET $186.84 126 $23,541.84 $23,564.97 $-991.62
(-4.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.9h held
44 🟢 BUY Oct 13, 2025 3:50pm ET $188.66 124 $23,393.22 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 14, 2025 9:35am ET $180.79 124 $22,417.96 $22,589.71 $-975.26
(-4.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
17.8h held
45 🟢 BUY Oct 15, 2025 3:55pm ET $179.88 125 $22,484.38 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 28, 2025 9:30am ET $195.29 125 $24,411.25 $24,516.59 +$1,926.88
(+8.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
12.7d held
46 🟢 BUY Oct 29, 2025 9:30am ET $210.79 116 $24,451.64 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 30, 2025 9:35am ET $201.86 116 $23,415.50 $23,480.45 $-1,036.14
(-4.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
47 🟢 BUY Oct 31, 2025 9:35am ET $207.49 113 $23,446.38 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 4, 2025 2:35pm ET $199.01 113 $22,488.13 $22,522.20 $-958.25
(-4.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.3d held
48 🟢 BUY Nov 6, 2025 9:30am ET $196.93 114 $22,449.74 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 6, 2025 11:35am ET $188.55 114 $21,494.70 $21,567.16 $-955.04
(-4.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.1h held
49 🟢 BUY Nov 7, 2025 2:30pm ET $185.68 116 $21,538.88 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 21, 2025 9:35am ET $177.59 116 $20,600.44 $20,628.72 $-938.44
(-4.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
13.8d held
50 🟢 BUY Nov 24, 2025 3:50pm ET $182.79 112 $20,472.48 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 25, 2025 9:30am ET $173.99 112 $19,486.88 $19,643.12 $-985.60
(-4.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
17.7h held
51 🟢 BUY Nov 26, 2025 9:30am ET $182.09 107 $19,483.63 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 17, 2025 9:30am ET $174.55 107 $18,676.85 $18,836.34 $-806.78
(-4.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
21d held
52 🟢 BUY Dec 18, 2025 9:40am ET $172.87 108 $18,669.95 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 23, 2025 11:05am ET $186.80 108 $20,174.40 $20,340.79 +$1,504.45
(+8.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
5.1d held
53 🟢 BUY Dec 26, 2025 9:30am ET $191.27 106 $20,274.62 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 14, 2026 9:30am ET $183.43 106 $19,443.58 $19,509.75 $-831.04
(-4.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
19d held
54 🟢 BUY Jan 15, 2026 9:30am ET $187.12 104 $19,460.48 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 20, 2026 12:40pm ET $179.50 104 $18,667.48 $18,716.75 $-793.00
(-4.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5.1d held
55 🟢 BUY Jan 21, 2026 2:25pm ET $182.98 102 $18,663.96 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 4, 2026 11:00am ET $174.64 102 $17,813.28 $17,866.07 $-850.68
(-4.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
13.9d held
56 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 3:55pm ET $171.82 103 $17,697.46 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 6, 2026 3:35pm ET $185.71 103 $19,128.64 $19,297.26 +$1,431.18
(+8.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
23.7h held
57 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 3:55pm ET $222.82 86 $19,162.52 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 4, 2026 9:40am ET $212.95 86 $18,313.70 $18,448.44 $-848.82
(-4.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.7d held
58 🟢 BUY Jun 25, 2026 3:50pm ET $195.18 94 $18,346.86 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 10, 2026 3:55pm ET $210.95 94 $19,829.30 $19,930.88 +$1,482.44
(+8.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
15d held
59 🟢 BUY Jul 14, 2026 3:50pm ET $212.18 93 $19,732.74 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 17, 2026 9:30am ET $200.23 93 $18,620.93 $18,819.06 $-1,111.81
(-5.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.7d held
60 🟢 BUY Jul 20, 2026 9:30am ET $206.75 91 $18,814.25 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 27, 2026 10:40am ET $197.67 91 $17,987.97 $17,992.78 $-826.28
(-4.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
7d held
61 🟢 BUY Jun 25, 2026 3:50pm ET $195.18 94 $18,346.86 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 30, 2026 9:35am ET $192.21 94 $18,068.21 $17,714.13 $-278.65
(-1.5%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
34.7d held
62 🟢 BUY Aug 6, 2026 9:35am ET $222.61 79 $17,586.19 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 24, 2026 9:30am ET $213.19 79 $16,842.01 $16,969.95 $-744.18
(-4.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
18d held
63 🟢 BUY Aug 6, 2026 9:35am ET $222.61 79 $17,586.19 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 26, 2026 9:30am ET $212.50 79 $16,787.50 $16,171.26 $-798.69
(-4.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
20d held
64 🟢 BUY Aug 31, 2026 3:50pm ET $220.73 73 $16,113.29 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 14, 2026 9:30am ET $211.20 73 $15,417.60 $15,475.57 $-695.69
(-4.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
13.7d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $15,475.57
Net Profit/Loss: +$5,475.57
Total Return: +54.76%
Back to Victor Volume