XLE Victor Volume's Analysis
2024-01-02 00:00:00+00 to 2026-09-24 19:55:00+00 • 51 trades executed
+49.48%
2 Years Return
$15,645.86
Current Value
54%
Win Rate
$10,466.89
Period Start
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.
Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
70 neutral
20d Trend
+11.0%
5d Trend
+2.0%
EMA20 Dist
+4.4%
ATR%
2.1%
Range Pos
76%
Bounce Ratio
3.3×
Green/Red 10d
8/2
Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026
36
Lifetime
Confidence: 88%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
12.2/35
Total Return
14.6/25
Win Rate
4.9/15
Profit Factor
3.6/15
Consistency
6.1/10
Raw Quality
41.4/100
× Confidence 0.88
= 36.3
30-Day Momentum
Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (88%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
55,690
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-09-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
533 days
Data Gaps
None (21 market holidays)
Market Closed (21 days)
2024-11-28 — Thanksgiving, 2024-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2025-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2025-01-09 — National Day of Mourning (Carter), 2025-01-20 — MLK Jr. Day, 2025-02-17 — Presidents' Day, 2025-04-18 — Good Friday, 2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed) ... and 1 more
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary
Starting Capital
$10,466.89
Current Value
$15,645.86
Total P&L
$5,178.97
Max Drawdown
-16.2%
Sharpe Ratio
0.27
Trade Statistics
Total Trades
37
Winners / Losers
20 /
17
Best Trade
+9.42%
Worst Trade
-4.49%
Avg Trade Return
+1.39%
Avg Hold Time
16d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$825,471.50
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$5,178.97
Net P&L (after fees)
$5,178.97
Gross Return
+49.48%
Net Return (after fees)
+49.48%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 XLE Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 533 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Complete Trade History
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Victor Volume had $10,466.89 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 12, 2024 10:35am ET | $42.37 | 233 | $9,872.21 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 3, 2024 10:10am ET | $45.85 | 233 | $10,683.05 | $10,706.89 |
+$810.84 (+8.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
21d held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 4, 2024 11:55am ET | $46.48 | 230 | $10,691.41 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 25, 2024 11:55am ET | $45.00 | 230 | $10,349.17 | $10,364.65 |
$-342.24 (-3.2%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 28, 2024 12:25pm ET | $44.52 | 232 | $10,328.06 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 18, 2024 11:25am ET | $47.78 | 232 | $11,084.40 | $11,120.99 |
+$756.34 (+7.3%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 19, 2024 1:45pm ET | $47.62 | 233 | $11,095.46 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 6, 2024 9:45am ET | $45.72 | 233 | $10,651.60 | $10,677.13 |
$-443.86 (-4.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
16.8d held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 9, 2024 12:55pm ET | $45.85 | 232 | $10,637.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 16, 2024 11:35am ET | $44.01 | 232 | $10,209.16 | $10,249.09 |
$-428.04 (-4.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
6.9d held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 17, 2024 3:30pm ET | $43.31 | 236 | $10,219.98 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 23, 2024 9:35am ET | $41.55 | 236 | $9,805.80 | $9,834.91 |
$-414.18 (-4.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5.8d held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 24, 2024 12:55pm ET | $42.33 | 232 | $9,821.14 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 14, 2025 12:55pm ET | $45.40 | 232 | $10,532.22 | $10,545.99 |
+$711.08 (+7.2%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 15, 2025 1:55pm ET | $46.24 | 228 | $10,541.58 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 31, 2025 9:45am ET | $44.19 | 228 | $10,074.18 | $10,078.59 |
$-467.40 (-4.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
15.8d held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 3, 2025 3:50pm ET | $44.09 | 228 | $10,051.95 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 24, 2025 3:50pm ET | $45.49 | 228 | $10,370.58 | $10,397.22 |
+$318.63 (+3.2%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 25, 2025 3:55pm ET | $44.81 | 232 | $10,395.92 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 4, 2025 9:40am ET | $42.96 | 232 | $9,966.14 | $9,967.44 |
$-429.78 (-4.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
6.7d held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 5, 2025 9:50am ET | $42.66 | 233 | $9,939.78 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 19, 2025 9:50am ET | $46.21 | 233 | $10,765.77 | $10,793.42 |
+$825.99 (+8.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
14d held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 20, 2025 12:00pm ET | $46.38 | 232 | $10,759.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 3, 2025 10:00am ET | $44.40 | 232 | $10,299.64 | $10,334.06 |
$-459.36 (-4.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
13.9d held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 4, 2025 3:00pm ET | $39.58 | 261 | $10,330.38 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 7, 2025 9:35am ET | $37.97 | 261 | $9,910.17 | $9,913.85 |
$-420.21 (-4.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.8d held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 8, 2025 12:45pm ET | $39.12 | 253 | $9,897.36 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 9, 2025 10:10am ET | $37.47 | 253 | $9,479.91 | $9,496.40 |
$-417.45 (-4.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
21.4h held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 10, 2025 11:40am ET | $38.64 | 245 | $9,466.19 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 1, 2025 11:40am ET | $40.57 | 245 | $9,939.04 | $9,969.25 |
+$472.85 (+5.0%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | May 2, 2025 12:00pm ET | $41.00 | 243 | $9,961.79 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 23, 2025 12:00pm ET | $40.74 | 243 | $9,898.61 | $9,906.07 |
$-63.18 (-0.6%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | May 27, 2025 2:25pm ET | $41.35 | 239 | $9,883.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 17, 2025 2:25pm ET | $44.56 | 239 | $10,648.65 | $10,671.47 |
+$765.40 (+7.7%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 18, 2025 3:15pm ET | $44.10 | 241 | $10,628.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 24, 2025 2:35pm ET | $42.30 | 241 | $10,193.70 | $10,237.07 |
$-434.40 (-4.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
6d held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 26, 2025 9:30am ET | $42.53 | 240 | $10,206.19 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 17, 2025 9:30am ET | $42.95 | 240 | $10,308.00 | $10,338.88 |
+$101.81 (+1.0%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 18, 2025 9:45am ET | $43.48 | 237 | $10,304.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 8, 2025 9:45am ET | $42.59 | 237 | $10,093.83 | $10,127.95 |
$-210.93 (-2.0%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 11, 2025 2:35pm ET | $42.16 | 240 | $10,119.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 2, 2025 9:30am ET | $45.12 | 240 | $10,827.60 | $10,836.55 |
+$708.60 (+7.0%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
21.8d held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 3, 2025 9:30am ET | $45.12 | 240 | $10,828.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 8, 2025 10:00am ET | $43.22 | 240 | $10,371.60 | $10,379.35 |
$-457.20 (-4.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5d held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 9, 2025 10:00am ET | $44.36 | 233 | $10,335.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 30, 2025 10:00am ET | $44.62 | 233 | $10,397.04 | $10,440.51 |
+$61.16 (+0.6%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 1, 2025 3:35pm ET | $44.81 | 233 | $10,440.15 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 10, 2025 12:00pm ET | $43.00 | 233 | $10,019.58 | $10,019.94 |
$-420.57 (-4.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
8.9d held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 13, 2025 3:25pm ET | $43.12 | 232 | $10,004.86 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 3, 2025 2:25pm ET | $44.12 | 232 | $10,236.42 | $10,251.50 |
+$231.56 (+2.3%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 4, 2025 3:35pm ET | $43.65 | 234 | $10,214.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 25, 2025 3:35pm ET | $44.41 | 234 | $10,391.36 | $10,428.76 |
+$177.26 (+1.7%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 28, 2025 12:35pm ET | $45.31 | 230 | $10,420.15 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 19, 2025 12:35pm ET | $44.30 | 230 | $10,187.85 | $10,196.46 |
$-232.30 (-2.2%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 22, 2025 3:25pm ET | $44.32 | 230 | $10,192.45 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 12, 2026 3:25pm ET | $46.22 | 230 | $10,629.45 | $10,633.46 |
+$437.00 (+4.3%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 13, 2026 3:50pm ET | $46.99 | 226 | $10,619.74 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 29, 2026 9:30am ET | $51.42 | 226 | $11,619.79 | $11,633.51 |
+$1,000.05 (+9.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
15.7d held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 30, 2026 12:30pm ET | $50.11 | 232 | $11,624.36 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 10, 2026 12:30pm ET | $53.52 | 232 | $12,416.64 | $12,425.79 |
+$792.28 (+6.8%) |
📅 Sim Ended
11d held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 26, 2026 9:30am ET | $54.44 | 228 | $12,411.18 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 17, 2026 10:10am ET | $58.79 | 228 | $13,405.26 | $13,419.87 |
+$994.08 (+8.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
19d held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 17, 2026 9:40am ET | $54.38 | 246 | $13,376.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 29, 2026 12:00pm ET | $58.74 | 246 | $14,450.04 | $14,493.66 |
+$1,073.79 (+8.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
12.1d held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 2, 2026 3:50pm ET | $58.04 | 249 | $14,451.96 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 15, 2026 9:30am ET | $55.45 | 249 | $13,807.05 | $13,848.75 |
$-644.91 (-4.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
12.7d held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 25, 2026 11:10am ET | $54.02 | 256 | $13,829.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 16, 2026 11:10am ET | $57.14 | 256 | $14,627.84 | $14,647.55 |
+$798.80 (+5.8%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 25, 2026 11:10am ET | $54.02 | 256 | $13,829.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 30, 2026 9:35am ET | $58.43 | 256 | $14,958.08 | $15,776.59 |
+$1,129.04 (+8.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
34.9d held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 24, 2026 9:30am ET | $63.56 | 248 | $15,763.15 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 14, 2026 9:30am ET | $66.00 | 248 | $16,367.75 | $16,381.19 |
+$604.60 (+3.8%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 17, 2026 3:50pm ET | $64.44 | 254 | $16,369.03 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 22, 2026 9:30am ET | $61.55 | 254 | $15,633.70 | $15,645.86 |
$-735.33 (-4.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4.7d held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$15,645.86
Net Profit/Loss:
+$5,645.86
Total Return:
+56.46%